Lending standards for most types of residential mortgages were essentially unchanged but overall demand was weaker in the fourth quarter of 2025, according to the recent release of the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS). However, for commercial real estate (CRE) loans, lending standards for multifamily were looser, while standards for construction & development were essentially unchanged. Demand for construction & development loans was stronger, while demand for multifamily loans was essentially unchanged for the quarter.
After three consecutive 25 basis point cuts to finish 2025, the Federal Reserve decided to maintain its key short-term interest rate (i.e., Federal Funds) unchanged during its first meeting of 2026. Participants on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) continue to assess how to weigh the components of its dual mandate, as inflation continues to be above the stated target of 2% (i.e., the case for higher rates) while the economy is experiencing further deceleration in job growth (i.e., the case for lower rates). Given the current macroeconomic landscape and a change in leadership at the Fed as Jerome Powell’s term as Chair ends in May, NAHB anticipates that any further rate cuts will occur in the latter half of this year.
Residential Mortgages
In the fourth quarter of 2025, three of seven residential mortgage loan categories; GSE-eligible, Qualified Mortgage (QM) non-jumbo non-GSE eligible, and Government, saw a positive net easing index for lending conditions with an additional two (non-QM non-jumbo and QM jumbo) recording a neutral reading (i.e., 0). Subprime and non-QM jumbo loans experienced tighter lending conditions, as evidenced by a negative value, -8.3 and -4.2 respectively.
All seven residential mortgage loan categories reported weaker demand in the fourth quarter of 2025, with the weakest demand coming from subprime loans. This category has experienced weaker demand for 22 consecutive quarters.
Commercial Real Estate (CRE) Loans
For the CRE loan categories, multifamily registered a net easing index of +5.5 for the fourth quarter of 2025, indicating looser credit conditions for the first time since Q1 2022. As a reminder, this was when the Federal Reserve began their aggressive rate hiking path, which saw the Federal Funds rate increase by 525 basis points over a year and a half period. For construction & development loans, the net easing index was -1.8, or essentially unchanged.
The net percentage of banks reporting stronger demand was 8.9% for construction & development loans, with a positive number indicating stronger demand. This is the first time construction & development has been positive since Q4 2021. For multifamily loans, demand was -1.9% in the fourth quarter of 2025, which is essentially unchanged according to the Fed’s classification scheme (i.e., between -5.0% and +5.0%).
This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .
