Tag

Updates

Browsing


Think you’re too young to start buying rentals and building wealth? You’re not! If you want to know how to invest in real estate while in college, or in your 20s, Daniel Kaplan has the blueprint. In three years, he went from having just $10,000 to his name to owning 99 rental units (and counting)!

As a college sophomore, Daniel bought a rental property for less than $50,000 (yes, really!). Then, he used the Section 8 investing strategy to mitigate his risk, earn consistent rent checks, and lock in over $600 in monthly cash flow. This first investment was a home run, but as you’re about to find out, it was just the first of many deals for Daniel. Today, he’s closing in on 100 total units!

Recently graduated, Daniel now uses wholesale real estate to help fund his investments and has a large real estate portfolio that spans three completely different markets—all because he took action with his limited money and resources. In this episode, you’ll learn how to do the same, no matter your age, experience, or season of life!

Dave:
Can you invest in real estate while in college? It is possible and it can give you a headstart on the compounding returns that make investing in rental properties so powerful in the long run. But you need to start your investing journey on the right foot and overcome some very common challenges. If you’re anything like me during college, you don’t have a lot of cash sitting around and most people aren’t really eager to lend you their money. So today we’re talking about the right way to invest during your college years, so you graduate with a headstart on achieving financial freedom instead of an anchor weighing you down.
Hey everyone, I’m Dave Meyer, head of Real Estate Investing at BiggerPockets, and on the show we teach you how to achieve financial freedom through real estate. Today we’re talking about investing in real estate during college, and my guest on the show is investor Daniel Kaplan from Chicago. Daniel graduated from the University of Wisconsin just a couple of months ago, but he has already built a sizable and very profitable portfolio of properties while he was living in a frat house. Daniel is going to share with us his own journey from real estate education to buying his first deal to scaling up within just a couple of years, and he’s going to explain how he overcame those common hurdles. Any college student who wants to invest is going to face those, of course, including accumulating, starting capital, but also things like finding financing and building a team who’s going to take a college kid with big and bitches seriously. Daniel has a really cool, impressive story and is going to share great advice for those of you in a similar situation during school or really for anyone really in their investing journey. Let’s bring ’em on. Daniel, welcome to the BiggerPockets podcast. Thanks for being here.

Daniel:
Oh yeah, very excited to be here. I appreciate it, Dave.

Dave:
So tell us a little bit about where were you and when in your life did you first get into real estate investing?

Daniel:
Yeah, so a little bit in high school I always had that entrepreneur spirit. I started off in this sneaker and street wear flipping business just so I could make a quick buck here and there During high school, made maybe 10 20 grand, maybe a little bit upwards of 30. Actually,

Dave:
I don’t think I had seen that amount of money until I was like 24, so that sounds like a lot.

Daniel:
As a high schooler, I was stoked and for me, as I was getting closer to college, I wanted to figure out what was that next jump I was going to make. And somehow one of my buddies, his name is Tanner, he said, Daniel, check out this video. He knew I had that entrepreneurial bug, and so he, and he sent me a video of this individual talking about section eight real estate on, Hey, it’s this amazing program. You can buy such cheap properties. It’s backed by the government guaranteed rent. And he was like, yeah, people are getting 30, 40% year over year returns. And I was like, what’s the catch? I got to dive into this. And that was what initially sparked that bug of, wow, I need to dive into this rabbit hole of real estate and try and figure this thing out.

Dave:
Wow, very cool. And so were you a freshman in college then?

Daniel:
Yeah, so at this point I was a freshman in college. I think we were kind of towards second semester, got a little bit more comfortable, got into my groove there, and this is when we decided, Hey, let’s dive deep into this stuff. So we partnered up, we were like, Hey, this is the exact route we want to go, but we were like, what’s next? We don’t know anything about real estate. None of our parents were in real estate. We didn’t have the experience. We were a little bit lost, and that was where we came across BiggerPockets and trying to consume as much content as humanly possible because we needed that baseline understanding before we went ahead and somehow miraculously we ended up on Birmingham, Alabama.

Dave:
Okay,

Daniel:
I’m from Chicago, he’s from Boston. We’re at school in Madison, but yet we decided on Birmingham, Alabama as our choice too, really dive into find our property. Why? Because we only had 20 grand. We’re like, Hey, we can’t go and buy a million dollar property here. So our first sniff test was, we need to find some cheap properties. I know you are big at numbers oriented individual and buy the data for this. It was honestly just, you know what? Let’s go and decide on Birmingham. And it worked out one of the cheapest property tax states in the us. We were seeing some decent growth over there, massive section eight demand. So I mean, we got lucky there with choosing that market, but okay, what was next? We’ve never been, there’ve never even been to the state of Alabama, nor has he. So we knew we had to build a team because I’ve never been in the market. I know nothing about Alabama. So we luckily kind of just started cold calling a bunch of real estate agents. We were like, that’s probably the best first step to make

Dave:
Smart.

Daniel:
And after maybe 10 of those conversations, we found one individual who was willing to dive deep into this with us and this individual, her name was Amanda and she was the one that really helped us out throughout this whole journey because like I said, we didn’t have any lenders lined up. We didn’t have any GCs, any handymen. We didn’t know anything about the market that we were looking into. So we used Amanda as that key piece to then build the team around us and really piggyback off of her experience there.

Dave:
Wow, that’s great. I mean, I love that story, just sort of hustling your way into it, which congratulations seem. That’s kind of like your personality and spirit, but still it takes a lot of work, especially when you start getting rejected like that, it can feel a little bit discouraging, but you stuck with it.

Speaker 3:
Oh yeah.

Dave:
Okay. So 20 grand was enough to buy something that she recommended. What did the buy box ultimately look like?

Daniel:
So the buy box was, we wanted a three bedroom property. We wanted our rehab to be under 10 grand. We wanted to aim for a more turnkey property, but in that market it was hard to really find true turnkey properties.
And we also didn’t want to have too big of a property. We knew we wanted to take that section eight route, so we didn’t want a property that was over 1500 square feet just because the more square footage, the more maintenance we were going to have, which would’ve diminished our returns. A long-term time horizon in 2022, market was still pretty hot. How hard was it to find something like that? How it would work is Amanda, at the end of every week, she would send us an Excel file in column A, it had the address column B, the bedrooms, column C, the bathrooms, and then a link to the deal as well as the estimate of what we thought it was worth slash the list price. And then she would give us a little back of napkin rehab budget just off first glance.

Dave:
That’s awesome.

Daniel:
And from there we would kind of underwrite it ourselves, and this was where a big skill that we gained throughout this process was the ability to underwrite these deals. We were getting maybe 20, 30 properties a week and we would go line by line analyzing these and you guys had this calculator on the BiggerPockets website and we were just plugging every single deal into there, understanding the numbers, and maybe took us 80, 90 deals until we found the one that worked for us.

Dave:
Wow, 80 or 90. Okay.

Daniel:
Yes. I mean it took us maybe three months to go and get this first deal.

Dave:
A couple of things I want to call out here. First and foremost, I love the fact that you looked at 90 to a hundred deals. That is just the way to do this. And I know people get discouraged if you look at eight, 10 deals and you don’t find them. This is just the job of an investor. Your job is to go out and find the good assets, and sometimes that takes 90 or a hundred and you probably got faster at this too, right? The first one’s really hard, second one’s hard, but by the 50th one, you’re probably pretty quick at it. And I guess with section eight, the rents, so that’s one of the harder parts of underwriting the deal that is actually done for you,

Daniel:
Right? Yep, exactly. That was what was nice about the section eight is we could see on the housing authority website that hey, we will get 1300 bucks for a three bed. We’ve learned now that actually deviates a little bit given the area that you’re in.
And like you said, those first 10 deals that we were underwriting, maybe each deal took us an hour to dive into, try and figure out all this information, and once we got to deal 70 and deal 80, boom in two minutes, we could look at a deal and know exactly what kind of return we would get. It was just a big volume game. We’re big believers in volume, negates luck, and we knew that we just needed enough times at bat until we found that deal, and that was kind of when we decided to go and pull the trigger there.

Dave:
That’s totally right. I say this to people all the time, I buy deals mostly on the market. People say you can’t find deals on the market. It’s like you’re just not looking at enough of them. If you just keep looking, there are things that are inefficiently priced all the time, it’s your job to spot that and go out and find it. The other thing I love about what doing this many reps is that it also really helps you sort of benchmark your expectations. I often advise people to do this, that if you’re between deals, you’re saving up money, just keep running deals because you’ll know what to expect. You learn that the average cash on cash return is 8% or whatever, and then when you do that 91st analysis and it’s 12%, you’re like, wow, okay, now I’ve actually found the good deal. And that really helps staving off analysis paralysis.
You don’t get overwhelmed because you’re like, oh, I know that most deals are in this range and I found one that is significantly better. Those are the ones I’m going to go out and buy. Exactly. So I want to hear about what it was like for you actually closing on this deal site unseen, but we’ve got to take a quick break. We’ll be right back. Alright, let’s talk about something. We’ve all dealt with funding that takes forever. You got the property lined up, the numbers make sense, everything is ready to go, but the funding, that’s often where things start falling apart. Either it’s too slow, it’s too rigid, or just way more complicated than it needs to be. But here’s the thing, it doesn’t have to be this way. I want to tell you about express capital financing. They understand how investors operate and they’ve built a system that works for us. Quick approvals, flexible terms, and none of the endless paperwork that slows things down. Whether you’re working on a flip, buying a rental, or tackling a big commercial project, they give you the speed and flexibility you need to make it happen. Great deals don’t wait and neither should you get your funding locked in by going to express capital financing.com or click the link in the description, trust me on this one. It’ll save you a ton of headaches. Visit express capital financing.com/biggerpockets for more information.
Welcome back to the BiggerPockets podcast. I’m here with investor Daniel Kaplan talking about how he and a partner bought their first deal as college sophomores across the country. So you found this deal, Daniel, did you go visit it in person at all?

Daniel:
We have still to this date, never even seen the property, and I think now I bought almost 10 properties in Birmingham and still have never even been to the state of Alabama.

Dave:
Really?

Daniel:
Okay. We were shooting blind here.

Dave:
And what gave you that confidence?

Daniel:
We just knew we had to take action and we were confident in our team, in the systems and people we put in place that we could execute on this deal, and it really came down to finding that key player that we trusted with everything to make that decision that we could blindly trust them. I mean, we FaceTimed her as they walked the property and as the GCs were on site, we were getting that feedback loop, but it really just came down to the people and the team that we built in that market that allowed us to feel confident buying that deal without ever even being in the state ourselves.

Dave:
How did you build that rapport with Amanda? Because yeah, I am sure you get a vibe right when you talk to someone, but was there anything particular you did because that’s a lot of trust you’re putting in someone.

Daniel:
Oh yeah. The biggest thing with us with building rapport is we really wanted someone who believed in our story and believed in our vision. At the end of the day, we’re two 19-year-old college kids with a 20 grand net worth who are trying to go all in on real estate, and most people are not going to take you seriously. Most people are going to call you guys dumb, Hey, maybe wait another five years, Daniel, maybe wait till you get a job and recoup and get some more capital. But for us, we really wanted to sell our story and sell our dream, and I think Amanda really bought into that and really resonated with it, and I think she saw some potential in us, kind of saw us as a penny stock that she wanted to invest in. I don’t see it as a disadvantage of you being young and in college, use that to your advantage. I’ve got no mortgage, I don’t have a car payment, I don’t have a family, I don’t have kids. I’m going all in on this. And we really just wanted to find that person who was willing to go and work with us and buy into our story.

Dave:
Very cool. Well, that is bold and brave. I don’t know if I would advise everyone to do that. I honestly think for the right person you can do it. I have bought properties site unseen in new markets, but I’ve been to the market. I go and just look around. But I respect the faith you had in yourself and the team that you put in place.

Daniel:
That was a big piece of it too, is what we realized is if we can buy good enough deals where we have a big margin of error, where we can still be profitable, that was our key is, hey, even if we messed up and let’s say, hey, we’re vacant for an extra one or two months, or we go over in our rehab budget, we knew that because of how good of a deal that we were buying, we had that room for error. We could make mistakes and still stay profitable and not go underwater. How long did it take? The work took us about a month and then it took us another two months to actually go and lease the property, which was longer than we anticipated because we thought that, hey, in the snap of our fingers we can get this thing rented. But the housing authorities, they thought differently. They were a little bit slower to get everything in place. So we closed on it in, I think it was November of 22 and then come January of 23 we were leased and cash flowing.

Dave:
Awesome. I mean overall pretty good. Three months to stabilize essentially. And how much rent could you get for this when you filled it out?

Daniel:
So we ended up renting this for $1,300 and your

Dave:
Mortgage was what?

Daniel:
It was like a couple hundred bucks a month. So too crazy.

Dave:
So what does your cash look like?

Daniel:
So it was about 600 bucks a month for those kind of first six months. After fully leasing it, we got a 28% cash on cash return, which blew all expectations out of the water. And we built in 2030 grand in equity from buying it at such a good price and at such a good basis where hey, we had that equity gap as well where in the future if we want to refi or want to go and capture some of that equity, we can.

Dave:
Yeah, that’s great. Wow. One of the reasons I wanted to call us out because yeah, the 28% cash and cash return is great, but as you alluded to, for you to really understand cash and cash return, you got to put in those repairs CapEx. So over the years, have you figured out on average what those repair and CapEx that you need to set aside for? Because this is a common error a lot of investors make is they take their rent, they subtract their taxes, their insurance, their mortgage payment, and then that’s cashflow. But as you now know there are other expenses. So how have you changed your underwriting, I guess, to account for those expenses?

Daniel:
So what we do is we’ll look at the asset, we’ll see, hey, this property is going to rent for and just for easy math, let’s say it was renting for $2,000, how we do our underwriting in these Class C, a little bit rougher of areas. We assume that of that top line rent that we’re collecting, 40 to 45% of that is going to go to our operating expenses. So our property managements, our repairs, our utilities, our taxes, our insurance. So we underwrite pretty conservatively now with every asset that we look at. It’s that back of napkin rent times 0.6 minus your mortgage payment and boom, that’s your bottom line cashflow.

Dave:
That’s a good way to do it. Makes a lot of sense. So I want to ask you, you said it took a little bit while to get it rented. What was it like working with the housing authorities and going with the section eight approach?

Daniel:
So it’s not all sunshine and rainbows unfortunately as if anyone in college is looking into buying real estate, they see these section eight guys who say how easy it is, oh, you’re going to get this guaranteed rent. There’s a lot of headaches that go into

Speaker 3:
It.

Daniel:
And at the time, if it was still a three month lease up period today I would be stoked for some of other assets that we bought. It’s now pushing six months to get these things leased. It’s maybe only a couple people in the office with very lackluster systems. So we could have our property fully renovated on December 1st, submit everything to them and even have a tenant lined up and it still just might take two months to do all the paperwork to get all the inspections in place just to go and start cash flowing. So now what we underwrite with our deals is, hey, when we buy these, we’re going to be vacant for 3, 4, 5, 6 months. It is a massive headache. And then also a big fallacy I see people kind of follow is the look at the housing authority website. They can see the rent that they get. You almost will never get that rent

Dave:
Really,

Daniel:
Because what they’re doing is they’re saying, Hey, that is the most we’ll rent for, but they’re also going to be looking at conventional comps with regular cash tenants and they’re going to say, Hey, I know you submitted for 1300, we’re only going to approve you for 1200,

Speaker 3:
Which

Daniel:
That a hundred dollars difference could mean a deal or no deal. So I always tell people when you’re underwriting a section eight deal, assume it’s going to take you four months to even start cash flowing and also that rent you see in the housing authorities, just do a 10% reduction because you likely won’t get that figure. And if you do, amazing, but if not, you got to be happy with that figure.

Dave:
I like this approach a lot because people look at some of these market conditions like, oh, it’s going to take six months, I can’t do section eight. Yeah, you, you just need to underwrite it. It all just comes down to putting these assumptions and accurate assumptions into the way that you’re analyzing deals. Because if you’re doing what Daniel does and say, Hey, I know I’m going to put six months of vacancy in the front of this, if you say I’m going to get 90% of the maximum listed rent and the deal still pencils still do the deal. And if it doesn’t, don’t, don’t blur the lines. Don’t get overly optimistic rose tinted glasses, especially in this type of market, you can’t assume everything is going to go right when you’re underwriting a deal, something always goes wrong. You have to just assume for that and then when it goes wrong, you’re not even mad about it. You were just waiting for it to happen instead of hoping that everything goes perfectly and getting frustrated what it doesn’t. That’s just not how the industry works.

Daniel:
Exactly.

Dave:
Well it sounds like you got an awesome first deal, Daniel. I want to hear about how you’ve grown your portfolio from there. We got to take one more quick break though. We’ll be right back. Welcome back to the BiggerPockets podcast here with Daniel Kaplan talking about his portfolio in Birmingham, Alabama. Or I guess I should ask you, you bought your first one in Birmingham, Daniel. Did you keep buying there After that?

Daniel:
Kept buying over there, but then also expanded into other markets. And again, this has all been throughout my college career, those four years, I now scaled up to about 99 units now. Oh wow. And that is across Wisconsin, Texas, and Alabama in Birmingham. I now have, I think it’s nine units, but what we realized is that three month lease period started to shift to six

Speaker 3:
Months, and

Daniel:
When it took six months to lease up these assets, we knew it was tough. We were really struggling with being vacant for that long and the housing authorities only got worse and worse from 2022 to today, we thought that, hey, we might want to diversify and get into some other markets. We were in school in Madison, Wisconsin, so we decided to, hey, let’s maybe stay in state this time. And we started buying in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Dave:
Oh,

Daniel:
Cool. And then bought about six doors over there as well.

Dave:
You bought a really good first deal, but it sounds like that used up pretty much all of your capital after that first one. How did you finance the second one?

Daniel:
Yeah, so after that first deal I was like, this is amazing. I love real estate, but what’s next? I got no cash. Well, what can I do here? I don’t want to sit here twiddling my thumbs all day. So that was where we decided, okay, how can we stay in the real estate industry but get some active income so we can use that capital to fund deals? And that’s where we dove into the wholesaling rabbit hole because we knew the way you find success in real estate is you need to find really good deals. So we wanted to keep mastering that process with finding those deals and hey, we can make a quick buck in doing so. That’s kind of how we came across with wholesaling. And over the course of six months, I mean it was super tough. It took me maybe six months in wholesaling to get my first check. So it was six months, eight hours every single day to make a 12 grand check. So I mean it was maybe three bucks an hour if you waited out. Yeah, it’s not good when you think about it. No, it was not great. But we learned some skills, which was amazing. So it took six months to make that 12 grand and then another two months to go and find that next deal.

Dave:
What did the second deal you land look like?

Daniel:
We actually got this next deal from cold calling a homeowner, so it was a duplex that she lived in herself and she had to go and move states now due to a job relocation. So she was living in one unit, the other unit was rented, and this was in Milwaukee. She had to go move to Georgia. So we cold called her and she said, Hey, you know what? I’m in this situation, I need to relocate. And yeah, we ended up buying that next property directly from the seller without an agent this time. So that one was a super interesting one as well. And we went from that first single family property to now leveling up to actually getting a duplex. So it was exciting to slowly improve the kind of assets that we were buying. And since it’s only an hour drive from Madison, did you go check this one out? At least before he bought it? We drove around the area just to get a feel for it because Milwaukee was one of those places where it’s a super block by block area. You could have one block be super nice, the other block could be a war zone. So we wanted to get an idea of that market and we drove around with some connections that we met who were like, oh, you don’t want to be down this street, or, oh, this corner over here is not a place you want to be at night.
So we understood the market a little bit as it was in our backyard this time.

Dave:
Cool. And so what was it like building another team? It sounds like obviously put a lot of effort into finding Amanda in Alabama who connected you to the right contractors and property managers. Was it a similar experience in Milwaukee?

Daniel:
Exactly. The beauty of this time though is I actually had a track record that I could utilize. So now I could go the same approach of calling all these agents and finding those key players and all that fun stuff. But now we had a track record, which was helpful. So when we were talking to people, they would take us more seriously that, hey, we actually own some real estate, but the beauty of this is it was just copy and paste, but in a different market. Of course there’s some other nuances that go along with that, but we did the same exact process that we had. We found that key player, that key player that introduced us to everybody else that we needed on our team.

Dave:
Well, it sounds like those first two deals while you were in college were awesome. I think this is a really unique cool story that a lot of our audience will be interested in, whether you’re in college or just really getting started relatively early into your professional career, it’s very appealing because the longer you’re in the business, the more time you have to compound. It can be very beneficial to start early, but it can be really challenging. So Daniel, curious if you just have any advice for our audience, if you’re in college or on the younger side, how to get into the game, things that you recommend to those people.

Daniel:
Initially when we got started, I had that fear of cold calling people, cold calling my friends, my family, people in this market because I wasn’t experienced. I thought they wouldn’t take me seriously. I didn’t know what I was doing, but when you find the right individuals, they’re going to want to see you win. So a big thing that I recommend to all individuals is find somebody that can help you along this journey. For us, we found Amanda and we found some people on our network that were able to coach us along this journey. So though you don’t have experience use, that’s your advantage. People want to buy into people who are young, hungry and ambitious and want to figure out this industry, try and have as many conversations as possible. You want to obsess overall things real estate and try to talk to as many people as you can because those individuals are the ones that are going to help you find these deals and operate these deals. Because we had people who we’d be underwriting a deal, we would think it was good, we’d send it to Amanda or someone else in our network and they would say, Daniel, you’re an idiot. This deal is never going to work out because of X, Y, and Z. So piggyback off of other people’s experience if you don’t have any.

Dave:
I love that. That’s really a really good way to put it and to have realistic expectations about what you can contribute and what people can contribute back to you given that. And there’s nothing right or wrong about it. I just think that you need to bring something to the table for people to take you seriously. That’s super important. The other thing you said earlier that I think is really, really important is that you needed to find an active income to fuel your business. And I know there’s tons of people on social media who say, oh, you just get into real estate, you just passive income, bing, bang, boom, you’re rich. It’s like that’s not really how it works. So you need to find a way to make money. And I know not everyone wants to go out and find a job, but that’s kind of what you have to do. Whether it’s working for yourself like Daniel did and went into a wholesaling business, which you would probably call it a job, I would assume.

Daniel:
Yeah, pretty much.

Dave:
Yeah. You’re working right? You’re putting a lot of effort into it.

Daniel:
Exactly.

Dave:
That’s what I always tell people. It’s like you could choose to go into real estate full-time like Daniel’s done in wholesale. If you can make money that way, awesome, go do it. But it’s active income. If you find a job that pays you well and you want to use that to fuel your investing, I don’t care, whatever makes you money, but you’re going to have to find some active income to be able to pursue a portfolio even if you’re buying relatively inexpensive properties.

Daniel:
Exactly. And yeah, the vehicle that I chose to try and make some active income was wholesaling, but for other individuals it could be getting a job or hey, maybe working at someone’s property management company or working under a real estate agent. If you want to stay in the industry, you can, but in order to really grow in this business is you do need some form of active income to keep the lights on here. Because for us, if we tried to live off that cashflow from that first rental property that we had, it would’ve not gone well because with that one, unfortunately down the line, we came across some bigger issues that required that capital. So whether it’s getting a side hustle or getting a part-time job, especially at college where, hey, you only have classes for two or three hours a day. Yes, you can still go out every weekend and have fun, but find a way to get that active income. I mean, I was at school in Madison, of course, I was still having fun going to the bars out there, but find a way to make some capital too, as you are in this business and just live below your means, save that money and just keep trying to compound because the earlier you start, the bigger benefits down the line.

Dave:
Do you think there are other advantages that college students have? Because I know there are disadvantages. It’s hard to start early, but like you said, having more time can be an advantage over people who have kids or full-time jobs. Are there other advantages you think they have in starting early

Daniel:
In college? I mean, of course it’s dependent based on the major and the school that you’re at, but your classes may be only two or three, maybe four hours a day. This is the one point in your life where you have no other obligations, you don’t have a family, you don’t have a kids, you don’t have a mortgage. There’s no better time than right now because you do have that freedom as a college kid, and it’s okay if you make mistakes. You also have that safety net of having a degree if for some reason it doesn’t work.

Speaker 3:
Yeah, that’s true.

Daniel:
Just try and find time, build a schedule, be like, Hey, I’m going to allocate these three hours every single day to consume as much content as possible, or to go and work that side hustle so I can go and stack some capital. But there’s no better time than now when you don’t have obligations, when you have that free time and you’re young and you’ve got energy and utilize that to something productive.

Dave:
That’s what I was just going to say. Don’t wait, man. If you could go out and have fun, wake up, put three hours into real estate, do your courses, do that while you can, because at 38, I definitely don’t have that level of energy anymore. But at 23, that’s what I was doing. So yeah, it’s definitely a way of just taking the advantages that you got at any given point. There are advantages of being 38 too, but look at the things that you have around you and how to leverage those to build your business.

Daniel:
Yep, exactly.

Dave:
Daniel, this has been a lot of fun learning about your journey. Where does your portfolio stand today?

Daniel:
Like I said, I currently have 99 units, and that is across Wisconsin, Texas, Alabama. And then with that, luckily given that kind of moat I’ve built, I also really am full-time into the wholesaling side of things. So kind of post-grad now that I graduated in May, and I’m kind of full-time into this now, it’s focusing on scaling that rental portfolio, whether that’s buying more properties, buying bigger assets, and then just kind of keeps staying in the real estate industry and scaling up all those endeavors.

Dave:
I’m not big on door count, but man, you got to get to a hundred if you’re at 99, you just got to get that next one.

Daniel:
Exactly. I’m right there. We’re one away.

Dave:
Well, thanks so much, Daniel. I really appreciate you being here. Super cool story. Thank you for sharing it with us. Think it’s a really inspirational, cool lesson for anyone who’s getting started while they’re in college or relatively young just starting out in their career, showing that this blueprint is absolutely possible, and we’d love to stay in touch with you to hear how your story and your portfolio progresses over the next few years.

Daniel:
Yeah, hopefully in a year when I come back over here, we’ll be closer to that two, 300 unit level and maybe getting into some better areas as well with nicer properties. So super excited. I don’t know what the future’s going to look like, but just continue scaling within real estate.

Dave:
Awesome. Well, congratulations Daniel, and thanks again. And thank you all so much for listening to this episode of the BiggerPockets Podcast. We’ll see you next time.

 

Help us reach new listeners on iTunes by leaving us a rating and review! It takes just 30 seconds and instructions can be found here. Thanks! We really appreciate it!

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].



Source link


Ashley:
What if losing your very first deal isn’t the end of your investing journey, but the push you need to win the next one? And what if the perfect market you’re searching for is the one that forces you to make a tough choice? Travel to chase cashflow or settle for lower returns in your own backyard.

Tony:
Today we’re answering these questions and breaking down what every rookie needs to know before signing up for their first Burr partnership contract.

Ashley:
This is the Real Estate Rookie podcast. I’m Ashley Kehr.

Tony:
And I’m Tony j Robinson. And with that, let’s get into today’s first question. Our first question today comes from Jeremy and he says, A few days ago I lost my first real estate deal. The property had offers from both investors and families who were going to reside in the property. The bank chose the family over investors. I put in an application with RCN capital for funding on the property. I’m curious as to how someone gets close to 100% of the RV for the rehab and all of the other costs. Is that realistic? RCN referred me to another hard money lender who also gave me the scoop that typically they only fund deals that either 90% of the value or 65% of the rv, whichever is less. To give some numbers on this deal, he’s projecting the RV to be $150,000, but that would leave him with a pretty large gap for rehab, which is he says about $25,000 approximately.

Tony:
So his question is on my next deal, can you get some advice on how to approach this? So Ash, there’s really, I feel like two different questions baked into this one question, right? There’s one side where it’s just questions about hard money lending and best practices there. But the other part of his question, and the title was that he lost a deal and how can he maybe be more competitive? So let’s maybe attack those two things separately. I think the first thing that I call out is that he says that he lost the deal, but he didn’t really lose the deal. It’s not like he had it under contract and something fell apart. He just got outbid by someone else. Right?

Ashley:
Well, and it says the bank chose the family over the investors. So was this a foreclosure property too? Which makes me curious because usually I feel like a bank is just non-emotional and just picks the highest. But also this could have been a HUD house where sometimes there’ll be a provision where it has to be only someone who’s actually going to live their primary residence. They have X amount of days to put in offers, and then that could be, and then it could go to investors and it could have been they got a high enough offer from someone who is actually going to live there as their primary residence.

Tony:
And just to add to what Ashley’s saying, so hud, they have auctions for homes that they’ve repossessed, foreclosed on, whatever it may be, and you can literally go to the HUD website. I just Googled HUD auctions and I’m on the website. Homes for sale. Right? A bunch of single family homes all across the country. So if you guys are ever looking for auction type properties, it is a place to go. But yeah, so it is I think a different way of phrasing it. Again, I don’t know if you’ve lost on your first deal, but I think we can just maybe briefly cover Ash. What are some things that a Ricky can do to make their offer more competitive? Because I think that’s maybe the crux of this question here. What he’s really trying to get at, and we talked about this before, but there are a few levers that you as the buyer have to make your offer more competitive.

Tony:
You have the purchase price, which is the first thing that comes to mind for most people. Sometimes just offering more and money tends to get the deal done. You have speed. How quickly can you close? Sometimes sellers will take a discount on price if it means they can close tomorrow versus a larger price or a higher price that closes in 30 days. So you have speed, you have contingencies. If someone offers a higher price, but it’s loaded with a bunch of contingencies that can make the deal fall apart, there’s less certainty there. If you go with no contingencies at the other end of the spectrum, there’s more certainty that you’ll close. And I think maybe the other piece too is just like your earnest money deposit that could tie into creating more certainty for the seller. If you have a larger EMD, it shows you’re a little bit more serious versus a smaller EMD. Maybe someone’s like, okay, I’m fine losing 500 bucks versus $10,000. So those are some things you can focus on to maybe make your deal or your offer more competitive. Would you add anything to that Ash?

Ashley:
Yeah, the one thing I would add is to the speed to close, like saying you can close quickly, but also being flexible. So maybe it is not in the example of this being a foreclosure property, but maybe it is a family and they’re building a new house and their house isn’t going to be ready right away, giving the flexibility to close when it’s convenient for them. So maybe they want to have it under contract and to get their contingency removed on purchasing another house, but they want to be able to stay in their house until their new one is done so they don’t have to pay for a short-term rental live in a hotel or whatever. So that could also be something if you’re able to find out information about the seller as to why they’re selling, what they’re doing, what their plans are for the money too.

Ashley:
The other thing I thought of was their junk. Leave it. They can leave it. You’ll take care of it, and this works great for estate sales. Or someone’s going into some kind of senior living, or maybe it was a hoarder house and they’re just starting fresh. Those are things that it works great to offer that as in the family doesn’t need to do anything else. You will take care of it. You will unload all of, unload everything and get rid of it. They can take what they want, the rest they can leave. You’ll take care of it. That is a huge burden off someone’s shoulders. It may seem like it’s not a big deal to rent a dumpster and go and throw it out, but oftentimes that’s the last thing anybody wants to do, especially after maybe they just lost a loved one and they’re selling the property.

Ashley:
The next thing is, even though you’re saying basically I’ll take care of everything, leave it. As a rookie investor, especially in today’s market, one thing I would not skip is to do the inspection, especially if you have no knowledge or you’re not confident in what needs to be done for repairs. Still have the inspection done. And one way you could do it to be competitive is to say that you’re not going to ask for anything with the inspection. You just want to make sure that what you are estimating is going to be correct. So you could say, I’m not going to ask for a price reduction, I just want to make sure that my numbers are correct and what I’m running. So basically it’s only there for if you’re going to go forward with the deal. So that does limit your offer because you’re basically saying, I’m going to back out of the deal if there’s more repairs that needs to be done than I essentially thought. So that can be a negative against you, but I think definitely in this market you have a more wiggle room to add an inspection into your property because I would rather you lose out on a deal than go into a deal that needs way more than you expected and now you’re underwater on your property and in over your head and don’t have the money to completely finish this property.

Tony:
Couldn’t agree more. I know when rates were super low and the market was going crazy, there were a lot of folks just waving everything. And if you’re an experienced investor who sold a bunch of homes or rehabbed a bunch of stuff in that market, it really well. Okay,

Ashley:
Maybe. Yeah, that’re a contractor.

Tony:
Yeah, you’re a contractor.

Tony:
Yeah. But if you are first time rookie investor, couldn’t agree more. The second part of that question was about the terms that hard money lenders offer, and I think what was discussed here is in line with what a lot of hard money lenders offer. Typically what you’ll see with hard money folks is that they want you as the buyer to have unquote skin in the game. And the amount of skin relates to how much money you are putting into the deal yourselves, right? Because for them it’s like, Hey, if you have nothing in the deal, that’s a little bit more risky for us because what incentive do you have to really see this thing through? But if you put some money into it, then there’s the likelihood or the likelihood increases that you actually want to see this deal through. Every hard money lender varies, and I think oftentimes you’ll get different terms based on your skillset.

Tony:
So you’ll see hard money lenders, Ricky’s complete newbies, one rate, one term sheet, and they’ll quote more experienced investors, a different rate, a different term sheet, but typically they’re looking at two things. There’s the cost of the deal, so acquisition plus the rehab, and then there’s the rv, right? What the property will be worth afterwards. And he kind of alluded to it in the initial part of his question, but a lot of times they, they’ll look at those two things and help, sorry. A lot of times they’ll look at both of those things and use to come up with the terms they’ll offer to you. So it could be, Hey, we’ll give you 90% of your cost. So if you’re buying your property for $100,000 and you’re spending another $100,000 in the rehab, your total cost is $200,000. They’ll say, Hey, we’ll give you 90% of your total cost.

Tony:
So they’ll give you 90% of 200 or $180,000. That means you’re coming up with the other $20,000 to get this deal done. That’s one way to look at it. They might say, oh, we’ll give you 65% of your after repair value, right? So on that same deal, say that you were all in for 200 and it’s worth 300 afterwards, whatever, 300 times 65% is, can’t do that math fast enough today. That’s what they’ll give you there. So those are the two different ways I’ve seen har many lenders approach their terms. So I think what he said is pretty in line. Now, I’ve gotten quotes from many lenders. I’ve talked to him before, but I’ve never actually used one. I’ve been more of a private money guy or traditional bank financing. Ash, I know you’ve used private money at least once or twice before. How do those terms compare to what you’ve seen?

Ashley:
It was the worst experience of my life. I’ll say that. I used one hard money lender and I did it for, I was supposed to do three deals with them, and then I ended up just paying cash for one of the deals because the process was just so awful. Part of it was my fault for not asking the right questions and for not being fully aware of what the process is and what the fees are. So that was a big mistake on my part, but I actually did a line of credit with the hard money lender and just to have the line of credit and have the money upfront, there was a one and a half percent point paid, so one and a half percent of whatever the line of credit was, and then the line of credit was available, but it worked very, very differently than if my other lines of credit that I just have at the bank, I would be able to get 80% of the purchase price of the property, 100% of the rehab that it would need.

Ashley:
But I’d have to present to them the property they would do, they would wanted an appraisal on each of the properties, which isn’t always common for hard money lenders is wanting an appraisal on the property. So they did an appraisal and then also I had to submit all my contractor bids to them, my scope of work to them for the rehab, which is common. And then after that, once the project was done, I had to refinance them. If I didn’t refinance with them, I had to pay another penalty. One thing I didn’t know was that they will only refinance when you have five properties. So I didn’t want to keep paying this. I think it was at the time, 10% interest and wait until I had two more properties with them to actually go and refinance because they wanted you to keep those on the line of credit.

Ashley:
And so I actually paid the fee to get out of them and went and refinance with another bank for a way better interest rate. So I definitely did not ask enough questions. And it was even my one closing the title, they didn’t understand how title works in New York, and we were supposed to close on a Friday. I ended up having to hire a title attorney to try to mediate the situation, and finally by Monday we were able to close with a, we told you so you can’t do that here. But still that ended up cost me more money that obviously the hard money lender didn’t pay. I had to pay out of pocket to hire that title attorney to basically tell them what to do. And one question I had asked, and they said, yes, we do, is to do you work with properties in New York?

Ashley:
And they said, yes, we have done properties there a ton of them or whatever. But when it came down to it, they did not even know how to close. So I think more specific questions should have been asked and who actually deals with that. One thing I didn’t like also was that there wasn’t one central contact person. It was, okay, you’re this person for that, this person for this. And it was just too many hands in the pot where one person couldn’t answer questions for me or one person wasn’t my advocate or my representative. So I really had a bad experience with it. But that was also a nationwide hard money lender where maybe if you get somebody more local and more, maybe they only operate in two or three states or something like that, where they’re very niche and specific in knowing how to actually close on a property. But in New York state, it is completely different than a lot of other states do.

Tony:
I have a lender who works in every state except for New York State?

Ashley:
Yeah. Every time I see you, I ask, are you guys in New York yet? Nope. Nope. Even my one private money lender, he’s not from New York, and he always says like, oh, the New York. Okay, fine. One more. I’ll load. I’ll do,

Tony:
Yeah, New York is tricky. But I think you bring up a good point, Ash, of just asking more questions because every hard money lender does operate differently. So for all the rookies that are listening, if you do want to go the heart money route, it would definitely be in your best interest to talk to multiple different lenders, nationwide, regional, local, because each person or each company is going to have a slightly different flavor of how they do it.

Ashley:
Hey guys, it’s Ashley. I wanted to pop in here real quick to tell you that managing rentals shouldn’t be stressful. That’s why landlords love rent ready. Get your rent in your account just two days faster, cash flow, less waiting, need to message a tenant chat instantly in app. No more lost emails or texts, plus schedule maintenance repairs with just a few taps. No more phone tag. Ready to simplify your rentals. Get six months of rent ready for just $1 using promo code BP 2025. Sign up at the link in the bio because new landlords are loving rent ready? We are here with our second question. So this question comes from Craig in the BP forums. I’m in Central Valley, California. I’ve been looking for a deal on and off market. The off market deals are really hard to find, and whenever I do find something and I work my numbers, I can never follow the 1% rule.

Ashley:
I’ve looked all over the county for deals and find them in a decent amount, but by the time I factor cost of travel to check them out, difficulty of doing rental, I’d have to drive there with my tools and paying a property management company and also lack of knowledge of the new area. My profits seem to be eaten up. My question is, do I just purchase locals since I don’t have to pay property management and can do the work myself or out of market and just pay the travel expenses, et cetera. How do you research a new area you’ve never been to before? How often do you travel to check out the property? If you travel, how long do you generally give yourself to checkout deals? How can you find a reputable agent out of market? Thanks in advance? Okay, first of all, Craig, I really have to commend you for analyzing your deals.

Ashley:
Factoring in a cost that no one ever does. No one ever adds in their time or their travel to the property. And so just right away, congrats on even considering that because that does add up to what your actual profit is on the deal, the property. The next thing I’ll say is don’t follow the 1% rule hard and fast. Any property, maybe two properties that I’ve had have exceeded the 1% rule. One was three and a half percent, these two or three properties that I’ve had. And it’s like, wow, those must be great properties. No, because they don’t fit the 50% rule because their property taxes are so high that my expenses are way more than 50%. So don’t get caught up that just because a property doesn’t meet the 1% rule that it doesn’t mean it’s a good deal because it still possibly could be a great deal. You just have to look at all of the metrics, all of the numbers, and not just the 1% rule.

Tony:
And just to define the 1% rule, it basically states that as a quick of the napkin way to check a deal, the purchase price should be represented as 1%. Sorry, the rent should be 1% of your purchase price. So if you buy a home for $100,000, 1% of that is 1000. So it should rent for at least 1000 bucks every month. And I think that is getting harder to come by in many markets and probably even more so in a high cost of living area like California. So there’s a few questions in Craig’s question here, right? So do I just purchase local? That way he can take care of it himself. How do you research new area? How do you build the team? How long do you travel? So there’s a few things here. Maybe the first thing we can answer, Ash, is just local versus out state.

Tony:
I say this all the time, but I think that decision comes down to what your motivations are for investing in real estate. Craig, I was actually talking to someone yesterday who’s looking to get into short-term rentals, and they’re a pilot and he loves being a pilot, doesn’t ever want to stop being a pilot until it’s time for him to retire. But he’s looking to invest in short-term rentals just as a way to diversify his retirement portfolio. Right now it’s all in. He’s got I think one or two long-term rentals and mostly in the stock market. He’s like, I just want some other diversification. Tax benefits are great, but I don’t want to quit my job. I don’t even need the cashflow. That is a very different perspective than me. When I really got started and I lost my job, and I was like, we need cashflow today, right?

Tony:
So I think the motivation that you have to get into real estate investing will dictate whether or not staying local in California makes sense or going to a higher cashflow market makes more sense. If you love what you do and you don’t have any plans of leaving and you don’t need the cashflow today, and you’re just looking to diversify, who cares about the 1% rule? As long as you’re net positive, right? With some level of margin, I wouldn’t want you to be like zero net profit, but some amount of net profit on an annual basis, and you’re able to invest in a market that’s going to, if history repeats itself, continue to appreciate rapidly in comparison to the rest of the market, especially some of these higher cashflow markets, then yeah, staying in your local area could be a fantastic idea. But if you are more focused on cashflow and trying to build those multiple streams of income today, then I think that’s where going to the other markets might make sense.

Ashley:
Well, Tony, I think to the point too is you read the book on outstate investing or talk about outstate investing. Everyone says you should be able to do a deal without ever having to go there. But I think what you and I have learned over the years from Gus being on and also you investing out of state, is that what’s a plane ticket to go to your property? And I love that Craig would incorporate the travel cost to going wherever. Because if you’re buying a $500,000 property as your investment, you can buy a $500 plane ticket as part of your due diligence, work that into the cost of the purchase price of the property if you want. But more and more, I believe that definitely when you’re purchasing the property, if you don’t have somebody trusted there that can walk through the property and is knowledgeable about the property, then you need to go and be your own boots on the ground.

Ashley:
I would not personally rely on just the real estate agent to be the person to say, yes, this is a great deal. No offense to the real estate agent, but I don’t know what their motive is. Is their motive just to close the deal? Is it to really establish a long-term working relationship with me? I don’t know. So that wouldn’t be my trusted resource. Somebody who already has a benefit from the property being sold. Tony, even you went out to Oklahoma to look at properties in person and you have the knowledge and experience to know what a good dealer is or not, but you still took the time to be the boots on the ground. And what did the plane ticket cost you to go and do that?

Tony:
It was probably like a couple hundred bucks. I ended up paying for it with points. So I think it was free for me to go technically via, had I not used points, it would’ve been a couple hundred bucks for me to go out there.

Ashley:
And I think if you’re thinking that’s a lot of money for me, then I think you need to evaluate as in, okay, you need to have that amount of money saved just like you save for a down payment, just like you save for reserves is okay, I need to know that if I’m going to invest out of state, I need to have those travel costs saved. So the flight, the hotel to actually go in and check out the market, if you don’t have that person, that’s the boots on the ground, you can 100% definitely purchase a property without ever seeing it. Even if the property lives right next to you, you still could buy it without ever going to do it. But I think especially a rookie just starting out, being able to put your own eyes on it, I think is a benefit in the area too. So as far as the travel costs of going to the properties, Tony, how often do you actually travel to the Smoky Mountains or Joshua Tree to see your properties?

Tony:
Yeah, I mean, ideally for us, it’s slowed down a little bit since we’ve added a bunch of kids over the last couple of years. But previously we were trying to get out there probably twice a year. Recently, it’s probably been about once a year that we go through and check on the properties where we have to travel. Same for the hotel. I’ve gotten up to the hotel about once a little bit more than once a year, maybe once every eight months or so. So I’m not going out there six times a year, right? It’s really just to go there, see where maybe some things are that my team has missed that me as the owner would recognize. So it is not super frequent that you need to go out there. I think the bigger thing is if you do decide to go out of state, because he asked, how do I know which state or which market to go into?

Tony:
How do I know what a good market is versus a good market? And I think maybe spending more time there first as opposed to just hopping on a plane and going and trying to see it. I think there’s a lot of legwork you can do before you actually get on that plane to give you a good sense of, Hey, it’s this market actually going to work out for you or not? And again, depending on your goals, there are different things you can look at. But let’s say that it’s just cashflow. Okay, well, obviously you want to look at prices, rent, price to rent ratio. You want to look at job demand. Our big job options and opportunities there is the population growing or shrinking. Those are probably the key metrics that we want to focus on to say, does this market actually make sense for me to go in and buy a property and rent it out on a long-term basis?

Tony:
So there’s no magic bullet, I think. And it’s just doing the work of digging into the research. For all of you that are listening, this is before I even became the host on the podcast, but if you go to the real estate rookie Facebook group and you search my name, one of the first posts that I did in there, it was me while I was trying to figure out what market to do research in, and I had this massive spreadsheet with a bunch of different MSAs that I had put together with a bunch of different data in there. The data’s stale now, that was what, seven years ago or six years ago maybe. But the point is you can see the data that I was looking at to try and decide on which markets I should be investing into. So again, just go to the real estate, rookie Facebook groups, type my name in that, that should pop up as well.

Tony:
And then last piece here, he does ask, how can you find a reputable agent? I think that is one of the challenges for new investors, but BiggerPockets has the agent finder. So if you go to biggerpockets.com/agent finder, you’ll be able to find investor friendly agents. Many of these folks are investors themselves. They know what it means to be an investor, and you can get connected with them. Ash mentioned the trip that I took to OKC earlier, and the agent that showed me around, shout out to Laura, found her through the BiggerPockets Agent Finder, right? So I think it’s a great resource for most rookies if you’re looking for an agent in a new market. Alright, we’re going to take our last break before this next question, but while we’re gone, be sure to subscribe to the realestate Rookie YouTube channel. You can find us at realestate rookie, and we’ll be back with more right after this.

Tony:
Alright, let’s jump back in with our last question. This one comes from Dustin. Dustin says, does anyone have experience with partner contracts? Hoping to get something in writing between my brother and stepfather as we begin our first burr purchase? We have verbally agreed to what each of us will do, but working with family doesn’t always go as planned. Just want to protect ourselves. Dustin, Dustin. Dustin, great question and we applaud you for thinking about this before you jump into it. I think working with family can be challenging. Working with family can be rewarding. And I’ve met investors who’ve seen both sides of that coin. But I think a lot of it comes down to your ability and you, your brother and your stepfather’s ability to have the difficult conversations upfront beforehand, before they’re necessary, get it all written down and memorialized so that way you can never have to think about it again.

Tony:
I think that’s the biggest thing. So luckily Ashley and I have written a book. We’ve co-authored a book called Real Estate Partnerships. If you head over two bigger pocket.com/partnerships, you can pick up a copy of that. But in there we go through all the details of what a good partnership looks like and what you should be focusing on and how to make it work. But at a high level, it’s just have all those difficult conversations. What happens if someone’s sucking at their job? What happens if one of us passes away or dies? What happens if one of us just wants out? What happens if we end up hating each other? What happens to the property or the deal doesn’t pan out the way that we want it to? What happens if we need to put more money in? What happens if one of us runs out of money? What happens if one of us goes bankrupt? What happens if one of us gets a divorce? What happens if the sky turns to fire? Whatever you can think of. All of those scenarios are I think what you want to put into there and then just have a clear division of labor and responsibilities. So that will be my first start. Ask, what’s your take?

Ashley:
Yeah, and I think really the hard part is, okay, if you are saying what everybody’s role and responsibility is, or even a lot of the things you mentioned, but what happens if somebody doesn’t go along with that? I think that is the bigger issue you can put all these things in is what happens if someone wants out? Well, what if the other person can’t buy ’em out? What happens if somebody isn’t doing their job? What happens if somebody gets divorced? What happens if there is a complication, whether it’s stated or not, how is it handled? Because yes, everything could be in the contract as it is, but at the end of the day, you really need to ask yourself if your brother and your stepdad are actually going to go to court over this. If one of these things are violated or aren’t going along, will you actually go to court over it?

Ashley:
And I think thinking big picture, are there other, what exactly can we state in here that will even prevent us from having to go to court? As in, is there some way we can do this where if we have a decision, and if there’s three of you, I think it’s easier because then you have the tiebreaker. But I have seen in some circumstances, like small business owners having an advisory board where if there are the two owners or they don’t agree, it actually goes to the advisory board and they have given the final decision to the advisory board to prevent further disagreement between them that ultimately it’s not up to them. It’s five people who are on the advisory board and they get the ultimate say. And then it’s not one person has more power than the other, but they’re still both the owners. So I think having not only thinking of the situations as to what will happen if this happens, ultimately, if someone needs to step away, how do we buy them out?

Ashley:
What happens in that scenario if they need to get out of it? And it could be for a multiple of reasons, is the plan to go and refinance is the plan? Everybody’s just going to save up money. So if someone wants to leave, they can leave. If one person wants out, you’re going to sell all the properties. So I think really figuring out what those scenarios could be. Then the next step is what is the plan if those happen? And then the third thing is, is there something else that you could do to resolve something if in not going to court about it? And the biggest one I think of is me and Tony are in a partnership. I say, I’m going to do the bookkeeping. He says he’s going to do the maintenance. All of a sudden he finds out it’s tax time and I haven’t documented a single check.

Ashley:
I don’t even know where the receipts are, anything like that. And it’s been a full year now, no bookkeeping has been done. What is the action that would actually happen? Is it Tony suing me as his partner for not doing my job? And it says in the contract. So I think what are other things you can do to kind of be proactive? As in we are having a quarterly meeting where everybody is presenting what they’ve done, what is happening, their report, submitting the report Tony sends in, here’s all the maintenance requests I did, here’s the issues that are still outstanding. Here’s what improvements we need that are coming up, and here’s me presenting the financial statement. So I think along those lines too, or one of the preventative proactive measures you can do too. And our good friend Steve Rosenberg always recommends, what does he call those meetings at the end of the year with your partners to make sure you’re on the same page still?

Tony:
I don’t know.

Ashley:
You and Tony and Omar had, Tony and Omar, you and Sarah and Omar had

Tony:
Alignment meetings.

Ashley:
Yes. Alignment meeting.

Tony:
Meeting, okay.

Ashley:
Alignment meetings to make sure you’re all on the same page. And Steve always says too, incorporate your spouses, bring them into the meetings because they have a big impact on each of your partner’s lives too. So yeah, I think not only putting everything in the contract, but also being proactive. So it doesn’t come to the point in time where you’re taking your brother to court.

Tony:
And I think the alignment meetings are big too. And I’m glad you mentioned that because you can also just see if over time, because people change and their desires change and what they want are life changes. And if you can align on a regular basis, I think it does help keep the health of the partnership high, or at least give you guys visibility or insights into, okay, maybe this partnership isn’t serving us the way that it was in the past, and does it make sense for us to continue this partnership? So having those alignment meetings and just saying like, Hey, where are we going? What’s next? What are the goals? What are our challenges? How do we want to attack these things? Can keep you guys on the same path. And I think the last thing I’d add is, as you think about division of responsibilities, there are a few ways you can tackle that.

Tony:
One way is, hey, if I’m doing maintenance, I’m going to get paid an hourly wage for maintenance. Or if I’m doing property management, I’m going to get a percentage of the revenue for property management. That’s one way you can do it where you can actually get compensated for your time. The other way is just that the duties you agreed to are given to you or you’re doing them in exchange for your equity in the deal. Like, Hey, Ash and I split a deal, 50 50. We both put up half the cash. My duties and responsibilities represent my 50% ownership, and that’s what I’m doing to maintain the deal. And Ashley’s duties and responsibilities represent her 50% in what she’s doing to maintain the deal. So just know there are different ways. There’s no right or wrong answer. It really just comes down to what you and your partners agree and feel is right. But I think it is important to clarify compensation within the partnership because that can obviously be a sticking point where you jump in saying, I’m going to manage it, and you’re assuming you’re going to get some percentage of revenue. Your partners thinking, oh, great, Ashley’s going to manage this thing for free because we’re partners on this deal. And then that’s where conflict comes out. So just clarity on compensation I think is big as well.

Ashley:
And then the last piece of this to add is just even if you get a sample of a contract from somebody just to think about things, I would still have it run by an attorney or have an attorney create it for you. It’s not going to be that expensive. They do this all the time and have basically templates that they already have put together, and then they’re asking you the right questions to actually fill them out for you personally. So I would definitely seek an attorney to have them fill it out for you. Okay. Well, thank you guys so much for joining us today on Real Estate Ricky, this has been a Ricky reply. I’m Ashley. He’s Tony. And we’ll see you guys on the next episode.

 

Help us reach new listeners on iTunes by leaving us a rating and review! It takes just 30 seconds and instructions can be found here. Thanks! We really appreciate it!

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].



Source link


If you want to buy, sell, or rent real estate in the U.S., Zillow appears to be the only game in town. That’s according to the Semrush Traffic Analytics tool, which tracked over 225 million visits to the listing giant in September, more than double its closest rivals, Craigslist.com and Realtor.com. 

However, Zillow is alleged to have paid the price to be boss, as five states have filed lawsuits against the company for paying $100 million to rival Redfin to withdraw from the hotly contested rental listings market, thereby allowing Zillow dominance.

Why the U.S. Rental Market Is So Important to Listings Platforms

The U.S. residential rental market has gained increased importance in recent years, as would-be homebuyers have turned to rentals or are backing out of home purchases. For example, in August, buyers canceled around 56,000 purchase contracts, which represents 15.1% of homes that were under agreement, according to a Redfin report. The cancellations not only represent the highest number since 2017, but are also up from 14.3% of cancellations in August 2024.

“Home purchases are falling through more frequently because buyers and sellers oftentimes aren’t on the same page and aren’t willing to compromise,” the Redfin report stated. 

Redfin’s most recent report was unrelated to its alleged deal with Zillow, which occurred in February, when Zillow made a payment of $100 million on the condition that Redfin cease its apartment rental advertising operations and terminate its contracts with property managers advertising multifamily properties. Instead, Redfin was required to redirect these clients to Zillow’s platform, a move that states contend gave Zillow an unfair advantage over its competition.

What the Complaint Against Zillow and Redfin Alleges

According to the complaint filed jointly by state attorneys general from New York, Arizona, Connecticut, Washington, and Virginia, the lawsuit argues that this elimination of competition hurts both property managers and renters by raising advertising costs and reducing housing options. 

Zillow and Redfin also face legal challenges from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), which accused the companies of antitrust violations, alleging many of the same complaints that the state contends, as well as asserting that Redfin was operating as an extension of Zillow, as it served as an exclusive syndicator of Zillow’s listings instead of as an independent competitor. 

Zillow’s Response to the Allegations

A Zillow spokesperson said in a statement sent to Real Estate News:

“Our listing syndication with Redfin benefits both renters and property managers and has expanded renters’ access to multifamily listings across multiple platforms. It is pro-competitive and pro-consumer by connecting property managers to more high-intent renters so they can fill their vacancies, and more renters can get homes. We remain confident in this partnership and the enhanced value it has delivered and will continue to deliver to consumers.”

How the Zillow Lawsuits Affect Mom-and-Pop Real Estate Investors

While Craigslist and Facebook Marketplace remain relatively affordable to advertise on, they do not have the same safeguards in place as Zillow to protect landlords from fraud. However, if Zillow has a monopoly over the rental market, reducing competition can lead to higher advertising fees. 

This would hurt smaller investors, who are already squeezed by the costs of running a rental business, without factoring in the expense of advertising vacant units. Considering 41% of U.S. rental units are owned by individual investors, this is a sizable market. 

“Rent Is Completely Unaffordable”

To offset increased costs, landlords have already been forced to raise rent substantially. Adding the cost of marketing, traditionally one of the lesser expenses compared to maintenance, taxes, and insurance, will only lead landlords to further raise rents on tenants, many of whom are already cost-burdened.

According to the rental management software company Baseline, 85% of landlords increased rent in 2024, and 78% plan to increase rent in 2025 by a weighted average of 6.21%. 

“Rent is completely unaffordable right now, and this deal is going to make things worse,” William Tong, Connecticut attorney general, said. “This unfair and anticompetitive agreement between listing giants Zillow and Redfin will jack up costs for property managers, who will pass those costs on to renters.”

A Typical Family Needs to Earn $80,000 to Afford a Median Rental

Zillow’s rental market report shows that the typical asking rent in the U.S. was at $1,858 in April, up 28.7% since April 2020. A typical household currently spends 29.6% of its income on rent. It needs an annual income of $80,949 to afford the median rental.

Zillow is aware of the increased expenses landlords currently face, despite the cost of advertising with them. “Housing costs have surged since pre-pandemic, with rents growing quite a bit faster than wages,” Orphe Divounguy, senior economist at Zillow, stated in the company’s spring report. “This often leaves little room for other expenses, making it particularly difficult for those hoping to save for a down payment on a future home. High upfront costs are often overlooked, which can keep renters in their current homes.”

Zillow’s Ongoing Feud With CoStar

Plot twist: While Zillow dominates overall real estate volume, according to property tech strategist Mike Delprete, a scholar-in-residence at the University of Colorado Boulder, it still trails CoStar’s Apartments.com when it comes to visits to its rental site. 

There’s a lot of cash at stake. Apartments.com generated $1 billion in income in 2024.

In the first half of 2025, Zillow’s multifamily rental business earned around $200 million, while Apartments.com generated over $570 million, accounting for 38% of total company revenue. The increased focus on rentals has seen both companies grow significantly over the last two years. 

However, Zillow is gaining, cutting Apartments.com’s lead by 50% in 24 months. Things have grown increasingly contentious between the two real estate juggernauts. CoStar is currently suing Zillow over multifamily photo copyright infringement, with potential for $1 billion in damages.

Final Thoughts

No one likes being dictated to when it comes to running their business. Rental real estate continues to boom in the U.S., and now the tech platforms want their slice of the action. It would be foolish for landlords to expect the fees tech companies charge for listing on their platforms to abate because of a lawsuit. Even if the states’ AGs and FTC prevail, tech will be back.

There are a few things landlords can do. First, in the age of artificial intelligence (AI) and massive fraud, they will need safeguards against bad actors. Forking over protection money to listings platforms with robust security and vetting systems might be the cost of doing business. 

To cover this, increasing revenue is a necessity. But there also needs to be a sea change in the old-school ways investors choose to leverage their money. 

With expenses on the rise, it’s time to adopt more conservative investment strategies. In the modern age, real estate is a far less lucrative play than it once was. In the short term, it’s about covering costs and attaining tax write-offs and possibly gaining appreciation. Cash flow only comes into the picture in the long term, when the equity paydown is sufficient to allow it. 

While institutional investors and Wall Street REITs can afford to buy apartment buildings en masse to capitalize on the rising rental market, mom-and-pop investors need to be more judicious. Factoring in the cost of marketing their rentals on tech platforms is part of that strategy.

Increasing word-of-mouth networking locally and organically through trusted sources should also be a part of the plan. It’s much harder to commit rental fraud when a family member or close friend referred your tenant. That doesn’t mean you should screen them just as robustly as if they were a stranger, but at least you wouldn’t have given a tech listing site your money to find them.



Source link


Most investors are chasing the wrong thing. Equity returns are delayed. Savings account interest is fading. And market volatility makes every dollar feel like a gamble. 

Yet one vehicle quietly compounds wealth with consistency, safety, and monthly cash flow: properly structured debt funds.

If you’re an investor sitting on idle cash, or just craving more cash flow stability in your portfolio, we’ll take a look at why debt funds may be your most powerful path to millionaire momentum. Let’s unpack how it works.

The Strategic Blind Spot Most Investors Miss

Real estate investors love equity deals for the upside. But they often ignore the downside: the long timelines, high illiquidity, and unpredictable cash flow.

Or worse, they leave capital sitting in the bank at 3.5%, thinking that’s safe enough. But here’s the apples-to-apples math:

  • Investor A: $100K in a 3.5% savings account -> $141K in 10 years
  • Investor B: $100K invested in a debt fund compounding at 8% annually -> $221K in 10 years

The gap? That’s the hidden cost of inaction. It’s not about risk versus reward. It’s about speed, consistency, and compounding.

The New Lens: The Wealth Compounding Plan

For investors looking for a smoother ride to building wealth, with less hassle, I teach investors a simple model: The Wealth Compounding Plan.

This strategy rebalances your portfolio around three goals:

  1. Clarity: Know where you’re going and how long it’ll take.
  2. Control: Use cash-flowing assets to buy back your time.
  3. Compounding: Stack consistent gains that accelerate over time.

Debt funds become the engine. They produce monthly income, reinvest quickly, and provide a lower-risk base for your portfolio. And when structured correctly, they offer the liquidity most investors mistakenly assume doesn’t exist.

The Comparison: Who Reaches $1M First?

  • Investor A sits in cash at 3.5% with $100K to start and adds $50K/year. After 10 years: $876K.
  • Investor B uses a tiered-return debt fund, starting at 8% until their portfolio reaches $500K, then earning 9% until hitting $1M, and compounding at 10% thereafter. With $100K to start and $50K/year added consistently, Investor B reaches $1.15M in 10 years.
  • Investor C uses a 60/40 stock/bond portfolio (5.8% blended return) with $100K to start and adds $50K/year. After 10 years: $961K.

Investor B wins—by thousands. And does it with less volatility, less illiquidity, shorter capital lockups, and the option to create a predictable monthly cash flow once they hit their equity target.

Let’s also recognize that many real estate investors aren’t aiming for just $1 million. They want financial freedom, which often requires more.

But here’s why $1 million is a powerful milestone for debt fund investors:

  • At $1M, you can often demand a 10% preferred return in top-tier debt funds.
  • At $1M and a 10% return, that’s $100K/year in predictable income before accounting for other sources like Social Security or pensions.
  • And because your principal is protected and liquid in well-structured funds, you’re not forced to sell to access income.

Bottom line

The end goal is not $1M. This number is the inflection point where wealth becomes utility. And debt funds, when used with consistency, can get you there faster and safer.

The Framework: How to Implement the Plan

1. Define your timeline

Start by anchoring your investing approach to your life stage:

  • Accumulation mode: Growing your nest egg
  • Transition mode: Positioning for income and liquidity
  • Cash flow mode: Pulling regular income from your assets

Each mode comes with different risks, goals, and needs. Your timeline determines what kind of return profile and liquidity make sense, and what role debt funds should play.

2. Set your passive income target 

Before you allocate capital, define what you’re building toward. Use this hierarchy to clarify your income goal:

  • Financial security: Basic bills covered
  • Financial vitality: Comfortably covering lifestyle
  • Financial independence: Work becomes optional.
  • Financial freedom: Live fully on your terms.

This number gives purpose to your plan. It tells you how much cash flow you need monthly, and what investment mix will get you there.

3. Allocate for stability first 

Debt funds should make up 30% to 40% of your passive portfolio. Think of this as tier 2 in the 3-tier Fortress Plan—the income-producing layer that cushions market volatility, supports reinvestment, and creates predictable cash flow.

Why 30% to 40%? Data from top-performing portfolios (especially among high-net worth investors) consistently shows that allocating one-third of assets to fixed-income strategies—particularly those with short duration and liquidity, like properly structured debt funds—helps balance growth with stability. It also positions you to take advantage of equity deals when they arise, without sacrificing income in the meantime.

This layer is your base camp: stable, liquid, and always working for you.

4. Evaluate risk before you invest 

Once you’ve defined your income needs and stability allocation, the next critical step is assessing the risk of the investment, beyond the marketing materials.

Not all debt funds are created equal, and “first lien” doesn’t automatically mean “safe.” Many investors mistakenly assume that debt equals lower risk by default, but that’s not always the case. Hidden risk lives in the fund structure, and failing to identify it can turn a “safe” investment into a costly one.

Evaluate these four dimensions:

  • Asset type: Residential, commercial, land, or development?
  • Loan phase: Stabilized versus distressed
  • Capital stack position: Are you truly senior or subordinated?
  • Structure: Note, fund, or crowdfunding platform?

These categories reveal how your capital is deployed, what risk exposures exist, and how easily your investment can be monitored and protected.

5. Vet using the 3Ps checklist 

After you’ve evaluated the risk categories, it’s time to underwrite the opportunity with precision. Use the 3Ps Framework:

  • People: Track record, aligned incentives, lending expertise
  • Process: Borrower screening, conservative valuations, default protocols
  • Position: First lien, low LTV, secured loans, and liquidity features

Think of this as your underwriting checklist. Just as a strong foundation supports a durable building, these 3Ps support safe, scalable returns in your portfolio.

6. Layer in consistency 

Once you’ve chosen a vetted debt fund that aligns with your risk profile and cash flow goals, your next job is to make consistency your secret weapon.

Compounding isn’t just math; it’s behavior. Investors who consistently reinvest and contribute, even in small amounts, hit seven figures faster and with more stability than those who try to “time the market.”

Mini challenge

What phase are you in right now—and how are you allocating accordingly? Write it down.

Tactical Investor Insights

Debt funds are powerful, but they aren’t one size fits all. Here’s what strategic investors often ask before putting capital to work:

  • Can I use a HELOC or cash value insurance to invest? Yes, but only if the fund has the right structure. Look for short durations, liquidity features (like 90-day access), and protections in case of early exit. Using leverage amplifies your returns and your risk, so a fund’s consistency and conservatism matter even more.
  • What about taxes? Debt fund income is taxed as ordinary income. But here’s the twist: It’s also liquid and predictable, which makes it an ideal funding source for tax-advantaged strategies like cost segregation, oil and gas, or conservation easements. Many investors use their debt income to fuel their tax advantage investing elsewhere.
  • Is now a good time to invest in debt funds? Yes. With equity deals harder to pencil, cap rates compressed, and bank rates falling, properly structured debt funds are emerging as the smart bridge strategy, helping you grow and protect capital while waiting for equity to reprice.

Remember: Every dollar you keep idle is losing to inflation. But every dollar invested smartly can build momentum now and position you for the next move. That’s how high-level investors create flexibility without sacrificing growth.

Final Thoughts: Predictable Wealth Is a Choice

Most accredited investors optimize for returns. But millionaire investors optimize for consistency.

This isn’t about giving up equity. It’s about building your foundation.

When you use debt funds strategically, you stabilize income, protect principal, and unlock compounding in a way most investors never see. You don’t have to wait for equity deals to build momentum—you can start compounding today.

Want to run the math on your portfolio? Or see how debt funds could fast-track your path to predictable income? DM me here on BiggerPockets to talk strategy, compounding, and how to make your money move, without unnecessary risk or complexity.

Consistency beats complexity. Let’s map your next three investing moves—no guesswork required.

Protect your wealth legacy with an ironclad generational wealth plan

Taxes, insurance, interest, fees, bills…how can you acquire wealth, let alone pass it down, when there are major pitfalls at every turn? In Money for Tomorrow, Whitney will help you build an ironclad wealth plan so you can safeguard your hard-earned wealth and pass it on for generations to come.  



Source link


30% of all jobs could be affected by AI. And if you work in sales, marketing, software engineering, or really any other white-collar profession, there’s a chance your job will be much different (or no longer exist) in a decade. This means that the “work for 40 years and comfortably retire” plan is slowly becoming less realistic.

Today, we’re talking about how you can AI-proof your income with real estate investments. In fact, for those who own assets, AI will most likely help you make even more money in less time. But why real estate specifically? Why is this asset class so primed to be the AI-proof answer? And how can you start investing now, so if your job disappears, your income streams don’t?

AI may take your job, but it’s never going to take your real estate.

Dave:
As many as 30% of all jobs in the US could be affected by AI within the next five years. Are you confident your career path will last until retirement age? And what are you doing to protect yourself from the unknowns of this rapidly advancing new technology? Today, we’re giving you an investing solution to safeguard your financial future. AI might take your job or all of our jobs, but it can never take your real estate. Hey everyone. I’m Dave Meyer. I’m a rental property investor and the head of real estate investing here at BiggerPockets. And with me today on the podcast is my friend Henry Washington. Henry, how’s it going?

Henry:
What’s going on buddy? How are you?

Dave:
I’m

Henry:
Good,

Dave:
But I got to admit my AI anxiety is pretty high. How high would you It should be. Okay. I’m glad we’re on the same page about this because I just want to be vulnerable with you, man. For the

Henry:
Record, you should be for your day job. Your investments are probably okay, but you should totally be worried

Dave:
Being a data analyst.

Henry:
Yeah, 100%

Dave:
Or podcasters or both.

Henry:
Yeah, all of the above.

Dave:
Both, yes. So I think this is a good topic for us all to talk about because I don’t know anyone who’s just like, yeah, this is going to be fine. There’s going to be no disruptions. Even if you believe in the technology, which I do, I think long-term it’s probably going to be beneficial, but I think there’s a lot of uncertainty what happens as we transition to a AI supported economy in the next couple of years. So I wanted to talk about that on this podcast and how it relates to real estate. So today we’re going to talk about the best way to take control of your finance and how to get started right now. So Henry, you’re obviously roasting me. I do think data analyst is like number one job for a job that’s going to get replaced.

Henry:
It’s like the first job that’s going to go away,

Dave:
Which just sucks, man, because in 2014 or something, I saw all these reports like data scientist, data analyst, number one job for the future, and I went back to school and got a master’s degree in this. I’m like job security forever. 10 years later, it’s the worst job to have. I just totally got punked on this. But I mean your job before you went into real estate full-time was similar, right?

Henry:
It was almost the exact same thing. Yes.

Dave:
So you would also be screwed if you were in a full-time real estate investor

Henry:
Right now. 100%, yes.

Dave:
So I mean, I know you’re not an expert in this. I’m not an expert in ai. I’ve done some research before this show, but data analyst is definitely up there, but I have a hard time imagining who’s not going to be impacted by AI in the next couple of years. I think you look at a lot of businesses, a lot of white collar businesses. I’ve worked in tech my whole career and this whole industry is really getting shaken up, whether it’s product managers or software engineers. Another job that has been a really highly sought after highly paid skill over the last couple of years are coming for lawyers, paramedics. It’s really going to impact the whole economy. It’s just a matter of when even the jobs that we are now saying are somewhat safe from ai, they’re still going to be impacted by AI in some way sooner or later, right?

Henry:
100%. There’s not a way around it.

Dave:
So listen, I don’t want to be totally alarmist. I don’t think the sky is falling just yet, but I think there are already signs that AI is impacting the labor market, and I do think that is only going to continue as the technology gets better and better. And so I guess my question to you is from a financial perspective, how do you even think about that?

Henry:
I mean, I think it went out the window when pensions went out the window, right? Because the last time I could remember somebody saying they retired comfortably was because they had some sort of pension or some career where they have some sort of pension like retirement, like firefighters have great retirements, military have great retirement, where you get tenured, those kinds of things. Those people say they have comfortable retirements, but when’s the last time you personally ever heard somebody who had a 401k who was retired say, I have a comfortable retirement.

Dave:
I don’t really know, to be honest. I mean, I think every person who’s retired I know has some level of economic or financial anxiety and uncertainty.

Henry:
So I think that vision that you painted that we talked about has been gone for a while and AI’s just going to make it worse for people who don’t have a plan who are solely relying on that 401k income.

Dave:
The way I keep thinking about this, and I know I’m biased because I am a real estate investor, I’m thinking about all the things that I could do to try and quell my own fear about this and make sure that I have income. And I’m like the one thing AI really can’t do right now or probably for the foreseeable future is own assets. And to me, that just has sort of reinforced my belief and prioritization of real estate investing because even though we’re in a very uncertain economy, it does make me feel like real estate is going to provide a really strong backbone. For me. That has always been true, but especially in this new environment.

Henry:
And I think the value with real estate in terms of AI is it’s just way too people facing. We’re providing housing to people, whether you’re fixing and flipping, whether you’re short-term renting, long-term renting, the housing is built for people to live in, the population is still growing. Those people need to live somewhere. My concern from a real estate perspective with AI is if AI does have such a negative impact on the economy, those people still need to live somewhere. And is that going to drive housing prices down because people aren’t making enough money to pay for more housing to pay higher rents because there’s less jobs? How does that financial negative impact hurt or help real estate?

Dave:
We do have to take a quick break, but Henry and I will be back right after this. This week’s bigger news is brought to you by the Fundrise flagship fund, invest in private market real estate with the Fundrise flagship fund. Check out fundrise.com/pockets to learn more. Welcome back to the BiggerPockets podcast. I’m here with Henry Washington talking about how AI is disrupting our entire industry. Let’s jump back in. Okay. We’ve mused enough about AI and shared our thoughts about it, but maybe tell me what you think the benefits of real estate investing are in this kind of environment. Is it just the same as they’ve always been or is there anything different to you?

Henry:
The benefits of real estate and then the benefits of trade work?

Dave:
Yep. A hundred percent.

Henry:
Trade work got really uncool as technology started to advance. And so people were like, why would I go learn how to be a plumber and get my hands dirty when I can go and get this super cool technology job? And now technology has advanced so much that it’s like people are like, why would I go get that technology job that could go away in a week when I can go learn how to be a plumber and make 150 to $200,000 a year starting out? And so I think that owning the real estate, yes, you get the tax benefits, you get the cashflow, you get the appreciation, but the safety from an AI perspective is that it is people focused and AI

Speaker 4:
Will

Henry:
Help us operate our businesses better through helping us do things that typically took a lot more time to do, which can technically help you grow and scale your real estate business faster now by leveraging some of the AI tools. But you can’t take the people out of real estate. It’s not a thing for

Dave:
Sure. Yeah. I want to get back to how AI benefit real estate in just a minute and the trades, I want to talk to those. But yeah, I want to just hit on why real estate? Because you could say the same thing like, oh, AI is coming for your job. You should invest in Bitcoin or you should invest in the stock market. And to me, I think that the real lesson or the thing that I’m taking away from this is ownership. You need to be an entrepreneur and own your own business so that you have control over the way AI is being adopted around you. Because if you work for another corporation, someone else is going to make a decision about where they can cut people and where a machine can do that job. Now, as Henry said, AI is going to impact real estate in some way, and I think it just really is in these kinds of scenarios, you get to decide what you spend your time on and what AI is used for. That’s going to be like a defining differentiator for how people fare over the next few years. And I’m not saying that’s right, I just think that’s the way it is and that’s all the more reason for people to pursue entrepreneurship, whether it’s real estate investing or something else, to just have that say and have some control over your income and your future.

Henry:
Yeah, I mean that’s what I like about real estate is the amount of control that I have a yes, control over the income that I make control over where to implement technologies or not implement technologies, but also just control over my finances and being able to make money the way I want to make money. And when I choose to make money, which it was more of a luxury 10 years ago and even more of a luxury 20 years ago because that path of go to school, get a degree, get a job, work the corporate ladder and retire was easier to do. It was more achievable. But as technology has grown and the ease of that has dwindled away, becoming an owner of something has become more important. I hear and I see a lot, especially on social media where people say, stop telling people everybody needs to be a business owner or an entrepreneur. There’s always that crowd that’s like, this isn’t something you have to do, you can just go be an employee and you can,

Speaker 4:
Yeah, it can,

Henry:
But that path isn’t as guaranteed as it used to be in terms of being able to do that and then retire comfortably. And it comes with sacrifices. Both of these paths come with sacrifices because the sacrifice of the nine to five is less control. Somebody can take your job from you and then you have to go find another one. And for some that’ll be easy and for some that’ll be more challenging. But the sacrifice for entrepreneurs is you got to go get it. I saw a TikTok where a guy said, entrepreneurship broke is worse than nine to five broke.

Dave:
Yes.

Henry:
Because nine to five broke when your next paycheck is coming. If I can make it a couple more weeks, I got a little bit more money coming in. But entrepreneurship broke. You don’t know when that next paycheck is coming in. You got to go make the money. And so that’s the sacrifice you make with ownership is you got to go make the money and you may make it every couple of weeks. You may make it every couple of months. You may make it once a year, right. It depends on the industry that you’re in and how you set up your business. And so you’ve got to choose your heart for sure. I just think that the nine to five path isn’t as secure as it used to be, and you should be thinking about how to protect yourself and just here to tell you and talk to you about how to do that in a safe way, safer way with real estate. That’s the whole point of us being here.

Dave:
So my question though to you though is like let’s presume everyone agrees with this, that real estate is a good way to sort of hedge against the uncertainty that AI is bringing. Do you think you would change your advice to the average investor who’s not a full-time professional investor, how they would go about it in this era or would you keep giving the same advice you have been?

Henry:
No, it’s the same advice. That’s the coolest part about real estate. To me. How you do it essentially has remained unchanged over the course of its lifespan.

Henry:
The whole point of making money in real estate is finding something that has an opportunity for you to add value to it, buying that thing, adding the value, and then monetizing it at its new higher value, whether that’s renting it out, whether that’s selling it, whether that’s midterm renting the exit strategy isn’t important. The goal still is, has always been and will continue to be for the foreseeable future, is to find something that has opportunity for you to make it more valuable and then you make it more valuable and you monetize the higher value. Now as time has moved on and technology has advanced over the course of real estate being owned by the common person, there have been tools that have allowed you to do that more conveniently. It was a whole lot harder for someone to drive for dollars before apps like deal machine existed. And it was a whole lot harder for someone to identify distressed properties before the internet existed and you had to go down to the courthouse and look up all these properties that you drove by and saw and then manually look them up to build a list to reach out to those sellers,

Henry:
Like the people who were doing those tactics prior to the internet, had to spend a whole lot more time to get the result that you and I can get at the click of a button on our phone now. But how has always been the same. They were trying to identify properties that had opportunity to add value, and so all AI is going to do for us is help us get that more conveniently. But how hasn’t changed? And I don’t think it is changing.

Dave:
We got more about AI and how you can actually use AI for a positive benefit in your real estate investing business right after this quick break. Stay with us. Welcome back. I’m here with Henry Washington talking about how AI can help you in your business already and where we think the industry is heading as we adopt ai. We talk about on the show a lot, trying to figure out what you’re good at. So much to do in real estate investing. You can’t be good at all that you can’t do all of it. And for me, for 15 years that I’ve been doing it, I felt like I was good at market analysis and deal analysis and that doesn’t even matter anymore. I am just wondering if that is even a skill.

Henry:
It’s not a skill anymore, it’s a button on a piece of software.

Dave:
Exactly. And so I need to evolve I think as an investor and I’ve done value add stuff in probably not the most efficient way. I’m a long-term investor, so I’ll buy stuff. I’ll probably take longer to do value add than you do. Probably pay a little bit more than you do out of convenience. And I’ve thought hard about that. I’ve told you this, but I think I mentioned on the show that I’m flipping my first house actively not I necessarily want to flip houses, but I want to get better at construction. I want to learn the business a lot better because that’s a skill that you can read about, but you can’t really get good at it unless you’re on a job site learning about it. And so I’m just trying to learn new things, even 50, I told you before, I can’t learn new things here. I’m saying that I’m trying to learn new things, but I am just trying to think about what my advantage is going to be as an investor and it’s really, really changed for me over the last couple of years.

Henry:
Yeah, that’s a phenomenal point and very true because you’re right, those are skills that a real estate investor did need to know. And I’d argue that any real estate investor that’s going to grow a substantial portfolio, in other words, you’re going to own more than just a couple of houses, you should still probably understand those skills.

Dave:
Oh, for sure. It’s amazing to me how many people cite metrics to me like they’ve chatt it and they have no idea what the metric means. They’re using it in the complete wrong way or they look at, you can pull a list of top markets to invest, but that ability to connect why that market is good to your own personal strategy and your personal circumstances, absolutely you’re still going to need that, but that can probably be the first year of your investing learning how to do that. It’s not something that’s going to be a enduring benefit and skill that you’re going to outcompete other investors on.

Henry:
I think there are enough tools out there that are sophisticated enough that if you don’t know how to analyze a deal or analyze a market, you could probably use some of these tools and pick a decent enough deal in a decent enough market. Now does that mean it’s the right thing to buy? No, I think you do need that second tier of skillset that you were talking about, but for those who don’t want to put in that time and effort, it’s a whole lot easier to get the dart on the dartboard than it used to be.

Dave:
Oh, for sure. There’s just amazing tools that just run an estimated cash on cash return for every property on the MLS that used to take hours. And I thought that was part of skill good at that kind of thing. And I could run deals faster than other people and I could make an offer, whatever. Now it just doesn’t even matter. I mean, I would never invest based off those numbers, but I could sort down to 10 or 15 deals that I want to hand analyze a lot faster and soak in everyone else. So I think that’s the way I’ve been thinking a lot about this is there’s always going to be an ebb and flow of interest in residential real estate. When interest rates were really low, people flooded into this market and that’s when having skills like Henry had for deal finding super beneficial or my ability to analyze new markets or find new neighborhoods, that kind of stuff is what I used as an advantage. But I really think people need to focus on things that are going to give them a competitive advantage in an AI era in eras of high demand and low demand. And to me, you’re great at deal finding. I think that’s always going to be true. That’s not where I’m choosing to build my skillset right now, but I think that and value add construction are the two things that are really going to endure in this business. And they’re things that you really need to learn.

Henry:
And I think those are things that you can identify now. And I think we kind of have to give this some time to help us identify what problems AI is going to create so that we can figure out if our skill sets

Henry:
Can create solutions to those problems. We don’t know the problems yet. Real estate is, it takes time if people are using AI tools to help them build a real estate business or portfolio now that could have problems or impacts in the future that we just don’t see yet because there aren’t enough people probably doing that or leveraging it enough and making decisions purely based on data and tools that AI are providing. But every new solution to a problem then just creates new problems that need new solutions. And it’s going to take some time for us to be able to figure out what are those problems and then what skills do we have that can help us solve some of those problems. I mean, those things are coming, but I think the way you’re thinking is the right way to think. Given what I know now and given the skills that I have now, what can I educate myself on that’s going to help keep me relevant until I can find out what these new problems are?

Dave:
That’s a good way to put it. I’m not going to regret learning more about construction. Absolutely. You’re not going to regret getting great at off market deal finding. Those are things that are going to be good. I’m going to add a third one to that. Just normal human interaction. Get good at that because I actually think that’s going to be one of the things that is rare in the future. And real estate we always say, but it’s true. It’s person to person game. You’re going to meet with contractors, you’re going to meet with tenants, you’re going to meet with property managers and people who are good at not just learning about those people and vetting those people, but getting them to work together. That is so much of a real estate investor. And I do think AI will help with that in some respects with the nuts and bolts of it.

Dave:
But the face-to-face interactions are not going to go away. And that is something I think you can learn a lot. But you made a good point that I think is important is that the other skill that’s going to emerge for sure, it’s like who uses AI the best and it’s too early to know how that’s going to play out. But that is something probably myself everyone should be thinking about and probably something we should be updating everyone on the show very frequently about is what the best AI tools are and the best implementation of those tools are. Which sort of brings me to another question is like are you using AI in your investing

Henry:
Today? Probably not as much as other investors for sure, but absolutely. Some of the places we use it are through our list building. So I was using a tool that essentially what they do is they take county data, they take data from direct mail companies, they take data from other investors, they take all this real estate data and they try to put a score on every house within a neighborhood or a zip code to say what is the likelihood percentage wise that this particular seller would sell to an investor based on all these data points.

Dave:
Oh, interesting. So it’s lead scoring.

Henry:
Exactly.

Dave:
Okay.

Henry:
And so then marketing to that list to see if that has a higher conversion rate on deals than just a traditional list.

Henry:
Some other things that we’re testing is essentially there’s an AI tool that can cold call thousands of people at a time, right? Because it’s just an AI bot, it’s not a person talking. And so the sophistication level of some of these AI air quotes, people that talk have conversations with real people is getting better and better. And a lot of the times people don’t even know they’re speaking to an AI agent. And so like a use case for this is, let’s say you’ve got dead leads. Every real estate investor has dead leads, especially if you’re looking at off market deals. So say you have 5,000 to 10,000 just dead contacts, you put it in this AI calling tool, it calls them all and maybe you get one or two leads out of it. That’s why a lot of investors don’t work these dead leads further because you put in a lot of effort to get a low return on your effort, but if it doesn’t impact anybody’s time, if AI can call 10,000 people and kick you back five hot leads in a matter of minutes, that’s huge. Pretty good. That’s huge.

Henry:
You could make thousands of dollars for very minimal work. Previously you were going to spend weeks researching all these people and data to make these calls and get very limited results. And so people wouldn’t do it. And then there’s just other cool AI tools. Like I use an AI tool that it’s similar, it’s an AI calling agent, but it can just call and do a lot of the mundane task things that you need to do in your business. So we use it to call and turn on utilities. So all I need to do is say, Hey, call the city of Bella Vista and turn on electricity at 1 2, 3 Main Street and it’ll just call and have that whole conversation and then just produce the results For me. I’ve had it call and talk to this timeshare company my mom is a part of to get a bunch of information out of them so I can go and cancel the timeshare. I didn’t have to sit on a customer service call for 45 minutes to an hour.

Dave:
That’s your jam, dude. You don’t wait in line. I hate this is your digital answer. Yeah.

Henry:
So yeah, it’s perfect for you. Little stuff like that has been a tremendous times saving allows me to do more with the time that I have. I have to go sit on customer service calls. It’s pretty cool stuff. So there’s just, we’re not using it. I’m not building AI chatbots and going out there and talking. There are people that are at that level of sophistication who are developing true AI tools to custom using their business. I’m just using what’s available out there and seeing how it can help my business.

Dave:
I just think we’re in the infancy of this. In tech, there’s these adoption curves that they have where it’s like right now we’re with the enthusiasts. People who are super eager are going to go build those things and that’s great, but personally, I’m the kind of adopter who’s just going to wait to see who wins in the space and what the best tools emerge. I’m not going to go build my own. So I’m going to go wait and see, and for now I’m going to do things like what Henry’s doing. I don’t do cold calling or anything like that, but there are already tools that I’ve been using to scrape data from websites and to consolidate data that has really been a big help. I still check it all manually, but it helps aggregating data, which any data analyst will tell you is like 70% of the job. So that’s true. And then I don’t know if you’ve used this, but I love this thing. Have you heard of Cubi Casa or Cubi Casa,

Henry:
You pronounce it? Yes. KU is awesome. We use it on every

Dave:
List. It’s

Henry:
Magic. We use it. It’s for all of our properties. It’s

Dave:
Amazing. Yeah, KU Casa is awesome, and it just gives you as-builts and stuff for so easy, super easy. And you could do it the day you walk around the property and you already have as-builts. It’s amazing. So that was my little AI trick that I learned the other week. That was really cool.

Henry:
Yeah, dude, we have Ku Casas on every property, even when I’m just walking them. Having the layout and being able to walk your contractor through on just a layout that was super easy for you to make and you can move walls and things, it’s awesome. Super cool. It’s amazing.

Dave:
Well, those are the ones that I’ve learned so far. But yeah, I use chat T in my daily job all the time. I use it all the time just asking questions and that sort of thing. But I would love to know for people who are listening, real estate investors, active, aspiring, what AI tools are you using? Let us know if you’re watching this on YouTube in the comments, I would love for you to share with our community any tips that you have on using AI because we’re all learning about this at the same time together. Or if you’re listening on Spotify, you can actually leave comments now there too. Definitely let us know. It would be a huge help for us. And with that, that’s what we got for you guys today. But this is definitely going to be the first of many conversations about AI here on the BiggerPockets podcast.

Dave:
We wanted to bring you this first episode just to talk about the need for ai, the need for real estate in ai, how to use AI in real estate, and get the conversation going with our community. Because obviously Henry and I, not yet experts on ai. I don’t think anyone can really say that they’re an expert yet, and we want to invite you all in to help us learn about this together and as a community, learn how to both protect yourself against the risks of AI and embrace the good parts of AI as an investing community. So Henry, thanks for joining me for it.

Henry:
Hey, man, thank you for having me.

Dave:
Thank you all so much for listening to this episode of the BiggerPockets Podcast. We’ll see you next time.

 

Help us reach new listeners on iTunes by leaving us a rating and review! It takes just 30 seconds and instructions can be found here. Thanks! We really appreciate it!

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].



Source link


Dave:
We have been hearing for months that the housing market is slowing down, but let’s be honest, it’s not just slowing down anymore. The housing correction is here, and I’ve been saying this for a few months now, but I think it’s time that we dive into the topic thoroughly. What is a correction? Could it get worse? How long will it last? What does this mean for your investments today we’re facing the facts and figuring out how to address them head on. Hey everyone, it’s Dave. Welcome to On the Market. I know I started this episode talking about a housing correction and that is what we’re getting into today, but it’s not because I am trying to be a downer. It’s because my job is to tell you what is actually going on in the housing market, not to mask the realities of the market. Now, I’ve been trying to do this for as long as we’ve had this show.
I told you a year ago, two years ago, that I didn’t think rates would be coming down as much as people thought. I told you that I thought prices would be flat this year, and now I’m telling you that we are in a national housing correction, and I’ve been saying that casually in episodes the last couple of weeks or months actually. But I think it’s time that we actually just talk about what that is because I know when I say that it can sound scary, but it doesn’t have to be. The market and what’s going on in the market is not your enemy. It’s actually just your guide. And if you know what’s happening with the market, you can be guided to make the right adjustments and still make profits and still do great deals in real estate. So in today’s episode, that’s what we’re going to focus on.
We’ll start with a conversation about what is a correction in the first place and is it a bad thing? We’ll talk about how different regions of the country are performing. We’ll talk about why we’re in a correction and how long it might last, and of course we will talk about what you should do about it because corrections, they sound scary, but they’re actually often the best time to buy. You just need to buy, right? And we’ll get into that as well. Let’s get to it. So first up, what is a correction? What is a crash? What is the difference in the first place? Now, I understand in the media these days that it is impossible to tell the difference because it seems like anytime prices go down in any market, there are people calling it a crash. Housing market goes down 2%. It’s a crash.
Stock market’s down 4%, it’s a crash. I don’t really think that’s true. I think we need to be a little more disciplined about our definitions here. To me, a crash is rapid, widespread declines. So this would have to see prices drop not just over the course of several years, but relatively quickly, and I think you have to see at least 10% nominal declines. I could even argue 15%, but it has to be at least double digits to represent a crash in my mind. For example, in the 2000 2009, crash prices dropped 20%, so that was very significant to me. The correction is different. It is a period of slower growth and more modest declines in pricing that is basically normalizing prices after a period of overvaluation or lower affordability. So a typical correction rate, you might see three, five, 10% pullback on prices over the course of several quarters.
It could even be over the course of several years in certain instances, but it’s not this kind of like in a year prices dropped 10 to 20%. To me, that’s what a crash is. So that’s the difference between a crash and a correction. It’s the speed and the depth of the decline. Now, the reason this distinction is so important is because a crash really is an unhealthy and unusual thing that should happen, especially in the housing market. Crashes happen more commonly in the stock market in cryptocurrency, but in the housing market, if you look back a hundred years to the Great Depression, there’s been exactly one crash that actually defines a crash That was the great financial crisis, 2006 to 2009 ish period. Now when we talk about a correction, this is actually normal. It’s not everyone’s favorite part of the business cycle, but it is part of a normal business cycle.
When I say a business cycle in capitalist economies in free markets, basically what we see is there are periods of expansions. Those are the good times, right? Then there’s this peak period where things are a little frothy, they’re a little bit hot, and the peak isn’t one moment, it can be a couple of years. Then you have a correction where things go back from their frothy peak into a normal pattern. It bottoms out and things start growing again. Those are the four normal stages of a business cycle. And so when you look at a correction, I think it helps to understand that it’s not necessarily something to be scared of. It is something to be aware of because it is a normal part of the economic cycle. You can think of a correction as a normalization. We all know things got too hot, it benefited people who owned real estate, but we know this, right?
The real estate market got too hot, and so seeing a correction where things are normalizing in terms of pricing is actually a good thing. That is what is supposed to happen in a market that is overheated. I also think it’s really important to note that it is far better than the alternative, right? Because if you have an overheated market like we knew we had, affordability is too low right? Now, you basically have two options for getting back to a normal market. One is a correction, which is a slow gradual decline of prices back to normal levels of affordability and valuation. Or you can have a crash. So if you’re asking me, which I would rather have, I would clearly rather have a correction because that is a situation we as investors we can deal with that you could still invest in during a correction during a crash.
It’s a little scary, it’s a little harder to navigate that, but correction, totally normal part of the business cycle that you can invest around and like I said earlier and we’ll talk about later, can be one of, if not the best part of the business cycle actually to buy in. So that’s something really important to remember, and like I said, even though we’ve been talking about this for a while, I just think it’s high time that we just discuss it, name it, and start working around it. So when you’re looking at a correction or a crash, the main thing that you’re looking at is prices, right? Are prices going up or down or are they flat? And it’s actually not so simple to answer that question. I think that’s why some people are saying We’re in a correction. I am. Other people are saying, oh, prices are still up.
Both of those things are kind of true and I think I can help make sense of this or just give me a minute to explain the difference between nominal and real home prices. I know it sounds super nerdy, but it’s important for you as an investor to understand this. There’s two different ways of measuring home prices. One nominal means that it is not adjusted for inflation. If you need a little trick to remember this, nominal starts with no, not adjusted for inflation. So again, that’s when you go on Zillow, Redfin, the number that you see, the number that you actually pay. Those are nominal prices. But there’s an actually really important thing that we as investors need to track as well, which is what we call real prices. And whenever you hear people say real prices, real wages, that just basically means that it’s adjusted for inflation.
So those are the two things we got. We got nominal prices, we got real prices. Let’s look at what’s happening with both of them. First up, nominal prices, those are still up. So this is probably what you’re hearing or reading about in the headlines because most media outlets, most people, most people in the industry talk about nominal prices. There’s nothing wrong with that. That is the actual number that you’re paying, and they’re up about 1.7% this year. If you look at the case Schiller index, if you look at Redfin, they’re up about 2%. Zillow says they’re closer to flat, but most people agree nominally things are actually up, and I think this is the reason people are saying, oh, there’s not a correction. Prices are actually still going up, but when you look at real prices, they’re down. Because I just said case Schiller, Redfin are up 2%, right?
The most recent inflation data that we have shows that inflation is about 3%. So when you subtract inflation from that 2%, you get negative 1%. Prices are down. In a real sense, and I know this isn’t the most intuitive thing, but it is really important as investors to understand when property prices are actually growing, when you’re actually getting a real inflation adjusted return, or are the prices just going up on your homes because prices of everything are going up? That’s basically just inflation. Both things help investors because it is valuable to buy real estate to be an inflation hedge, but I think it’s hard to argue that the market is doing well when prices aren’t even keeping up with inflation, which is what’s happening right now. So that’s reason number one that I believe we’re in a correction is that real prices are negative right now, and I actually personally think that’s going to get a little bit worse.
Number two is that basically all regions are trending down, and one of the reasons at the beginning of the year, I didn’t say we were in a correction, I think a lot of people agreed with that is because we saw this totally split market where some regions of the country in the northeast and the Midwest, they were doing pretty well on a nominal basis. On a real basis, it was doing fine, but there were other ones, Austin, Florida, these markets that we all know about we’re not doing well, and so you said we’re not really in a correction. There’s certain markets in a correction, and that headline is still true. There still are markets that are up, same regions, Midwest and Northeast. There are markets that are still down, but the thing that has shifted in the last couple of months that to me solidifies the fact that we’re in a correction is that the appreciation rate is going down in pretty much every market in the country.
Meaning that even if you’re in Philadelphia or Providence, Rhode Island or Detroit, that still have positive appreciation numbers, even in real terms, they’re far down from where they were last year. So places like Milwaukee were 11% year over year growth last year. Now they’re down to like 4%, right? That’s still up. That is still up in real terms, but everything is sliding down. We don’t see any markets heating up right now, and to me that is another definition of a correction is that we have widespread cooling across almost every region, even if some markets are still positive. Let’s take a minute and talk about those regions just for a minute. I’m just pulling this data from Zillow, but the trends are pretty similar everywhere. What you see is in the majority of the country, a lot of the major markets have turned flat or negative. Florida, we know about this, but it’s Texas.
We see a lot of markets in California, Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, Utah, most of the southwest in Washington and Oregon, we’re seeing it. Most of these markets are flat to negative, and so all of them in correction, the markets that are still doing well, like Rochester, New York and Hartford, Connecticut and Detroit and Milwaukee are still up, but they’re up 4% year over year. They’re up 3% year over year. And so basically if you look at these in real terms, right? Even the best performing markets pretty close to even, right? Detroit, one of the hottest markets right now, 4% year over year, that’s really 1% in real returns. So you really need to look at this in this inflation adjusted way, and when you do, you see most of these markets are flat to negative even though some of them are still just mildly positive. There’s one other nuance besides differences that I did dig into here that I want to talk about, which is just different price tiers because sometimes when I say we’re in a correction, some people say, oh, it’s just low priced homes.
Upper tier homes are still selling well or starter homes are still selling well. So I did look into that in preparation for this episode, and what I found is somewhat similar to what’s going on in a regional level. Yes, it is true. Upper priced homes are still positive year over year, but they’re up just 0.6%, whereas a year ago they were up 5%. So that’s a really big difference. It went from 0.5 to 0.6. The trend is very clear, whereas low priced homes are doing worse, they’re at about four and a half percent. Now they’re negative 1%. Mid-priced homes came from 4.7 down to 0.2%. So the same thing is happening here too. So this is why I’m not panicking, but I’m saying when you slice and dice at different ways, you look at different regions, you look at different tiers, you look at it on a national level, everything is cooling down. Again, this is a normal part of the business cycle, but it’s important. Let’s call a spade a spade and say we are in a housing correction. Of course, we can’t just stop there. We can’t just say we’re in a housing correction and then get out of here. We got to figure out why this is happening and what we’re going to do about it. We’ll get to that right after this break.
Welcome back to On the Market. I’m Dave Meyer talking about the reality that we are in a housing correction, and we’re going to talk about what this means for your investments in just a minute, but I think it’s important to remind everyone why this is happening. I told you it’s a normal part of the business cycle, but we need to just sort of talk about how that functions logistically, what is actually happening in the market because that’s going to lead us to what you can actually do about it. So in the housing market, like I said, there’s basically four periods in the business cycle. You have an expansion, you have a peak, you have a correction, and then you have a bottom. In the housing market, the way it works is normally during an expansion you have relative balance between buyers and sellers. You probably have a little bit more buyers than you have sellers, but you have relatively stable inventory.
Prices go up at least at the pace of inflation, maybe just a little bit higher than that, so you maybe get 3.5% appreciation every year and inflation’s at 2%, right? Something like that is a normal expansion, so if you’re anchoring yourself to what happened during COVID where appreciation was 10 or 20%, nah, that’s not a normal period. A normal expansion, which is what we should be anchoring ourselves to is three or 4% annualized appreciation. Then at a certain point people start seeing, Hey, real estate’s doing really well, so more buyers tend to jump into the market. That creates a mismatch in inventory and pushes prices up, and that’s how we sort of get to this peak point where people are competing for less inventory, there’s more demand and less supply. People are competing for that. That pushes prices up to a point where it no longer is affordable for demand and demand starts to fall off, and that’s basically the point where we’re at, right?
We’ve been at this peak period honestly for a couple of years now, and I know nominal prices have gone up a little bit, but real prices have been pretty stagnant because houses just are no longer affordable, and so what we need to happen, what this correction needs to bring us, because again, the market is not our enemy, it’s actually doing something healthy for the market. What it needs to do is restore affordability back to the market, and that can happen in a couple of different ways. It can happen from mortgage rates coming down, it can happen from wages going up or it could happen from prices going down as well. Now, I’ve said it before, I’ll do an episode on this in the next couple of weeks, but I think it’s going to happen from some hopefully combination of all three of those things, but the key is either prices do need to come down or if they’re going to stay somewhat flat or go up a little bit nominally, what we need to see is mortgage rates come down and we need to see wages go up.
That’s what the correction is doing. That’s its job in the business cycle is to restore affordability to the market, and we just haven’t seen that yet, and that’s why we sort of need this correction to come through and restore some health to the housing market, and we’ll get back to that in a minute. I want to talk about how long this might take and we’ll get there, but what this actually means on the ground, you’re probably seeing this if you’re an investor or if you’re in the industry, is that inventory is up. Demand has actually stayed somewhat steady, but more people are trying to sell, so we have active listings up about 20, 25% year over year depending on who you ask. We have new listings up eight to 10% year over year, and if you’re in the market buying or selling, I am. What you see is that it’s just a slower market.
People are being much more patient. We’re not at these days where people were putting everything under contract in a week or two. It’s just a little bit slower because affordability hasn’t been restored, and I think a lot of people generally have been hesitant to talk about what’s going on in the housing market or call this a correction because they were hoping that mortgage rates would come back down and solve that affordability problem for us, but that hasn’t happened, right? We still have mortgage rates. They’re at like 6.35%, which is better than where we started the year we were at like 7.15, so they’ve come down 80 basis points. That’s not bad In a normal year, you’d be pretty stoked about that, but it hasn’t really gotten us to the affordability level that we need. It’s there is a wall of affordability and that’s where this correction pressure starts and where it’s going to continue to be applied.
Now, of course, what I’m saying here that there’s more inventory is a good thing for investors. That is a benefit obviously, that you have to offset the risk of falling prices, but just calling out, because we’re going to come back to this in a little bit that there are some good parts of being in a correction and that rising inventory is there. Now, I do want to address the elephant in a room because I understand we talked about the difference between a correction and a crash, but I just want to reiterate for everyone here why I think it’s likely to stay a correction and not turn into a crash. As of right now, the data really suggests that we are in a correction and not a crash. There’s a couple of reasons for this. First and foremost, in the housing market, you really don’t get a crash until there’s something called forced selling.
Basically, most homeowners, most sellers, if they are facing the option of selling into an adverse market like the one they’re in, they’re just going to choose not to sell, and that means inventory doesn’t spiral out of control, and it sort of sets a floor for the correction. If there’s a scenario where people are no longer paying their mortgages because maybe unemployment rises or something like that, where all of a sudden we’re seeing delinquency rates go up and foreclosure rates go up, then it could turn into a crash, but as of right now, I’ve done entire episodes on this. You can go check them out over the last couple of weeks. Foreclosures and delinquencies are not up in any meaningful way. There are some slight upticks in FHA and VA loans. Those are only about 15% of the market. I’m not personally super concerned about that yet.
If we see unemployment rates spike, sure that could change, but as of right now, it is not a big concern. That’s the reason number one, that I think it’s going to be a correction, not a crash. The second thing is even though the inventory is rising, it’s pretty manageable. We still have more choice. We are actually in what I would call more of a balanced or close to a neutral market for most markets and not systemic over supply. Just as an example, one of the houses I am trying to sell right now, it’s been sitting on the market for a little bit a while, but it’s not because there’s a flood of inventory on the market, it’s just because people are moving slowly. That’s still not great for me. It’s not the situation I want, but there is a critical difference there. It’s not because the market is getting flooded with inventory.
We have seen over the last year inventory go up, which is what you would expect because it was artificially low for the last five years because of COVID, right? So we are approaching in most markets 2019 levels, but in many, we haven’t reached there yet. So in many ways, like I said, this is a normal correction. It’s a reversion to the mean in a lot of places, and actually the interesting thing is that if you look at the markets with the deepest corrections talking about Florida and Louisiana and places like this, you actually see that their new listings, the amount of people who are listing their property for sale is actually starting to go down. Think about that. That actually makes sense, right? Because all of a sudden the people who would sell, they’re saying, oh man, prices are down 10% in Cape Coral, Florida.
I’m not going to sell. I’m just going to hold onto this property right now, and that is a sign of actually a healthy normal housing market. Like I said before, you don’t get a crash until those sellers who are choosing not to sell right now are forced to sell because they’re going to default on their mortgage, but the fact that less people are listing their properties for sale is a sign that they do not need to sell, that they can service their mortgage and they’re going to continue servicing their mortgage, which sort of puts a cap on how much inventory can grow. That’s another reason we are likely in a correction and not a crash. The third one is we’re just not seeing any panic selling. Again, that’s just kind of reiteration of. The second thing is no one’s like, oh my God, my housing price is going to go down 20%.
I better list it for market today. There’s no evidence that that’s really happening either, so my overall feeling is could there be a crash? Of course, as a data analyst, I will never say something as impossible to happen, but I think it’s a relatively low probability unless we see a huge spike in unemployment, a lot of people start losing their jobs, or if we start to see rates go back up, I know that’s not what most people are thinking about. They’re wishing rates will go down and waiting for rates to go down, which is probably the more likely case, but if inflation goes back up again, there’s good chance we’ll get higher rates, and if that happens, maybe it turns into a crash. Again, no evidence of that right now, but I’m just trying to paint for you the picture of how that could happen. Now, hopefully that provides a little context for you to understand sort of where we are and the risk of crash remaining relatively low, but I’m sure most people are wondering, how long is this going to last? We’re in a correction, fine, but I want to get back to growth. When’s that going to happen? We’ll get to that right after this break.
Welcome back to On the Market. I’m Dave Meyer going through the housing correction. We’ve talked about what it is, why it’s happening. Let’s turn our attention to how long this might last. Now, I’ve done some research into this and again, I think it’s really helpful to look at real prices here because if you look at nominal prices, just the price on paper, it can be a little confusing. There’s a little bit of noise in there that I think is cleaned up. If you look at real housing prices, what the data shows is that when you have a period of rapid price appreciation like we did during COVID, it can take somewhere between five to nine, sometimes 10 years that long for real home prices to start growing again to reach their previous peak or to go up again. Now, what we’ve seen in the market recently is that real home prices actually peaked in 2022.
Like I said, they’ve been relatively flat. They’re down a little bit right now, but for all intents and purposes, the relatively flat, we don’t need a trifle over minuscule differences. That was already 38 months ago, so we’re already three years into this real home price correction that we’re in on a national level, and so my guess is that we still have years to go. As of right now, you’re asking me, I’m recording this in the middle of October, 2025. I don’t think we’re going to see meaningful real price growth for a couple more years. Now, I’ll make more specific projections towards the end of this year, and I could be wrong because I think there’s a chance that something crazy happens and mortgage rates do drop to 5%, in which case we might see that happen, but as of right now, my read on mortgage rates is they’re probably not going to move at least for six months, and even if they do absent the Fed, doing something a little bit aggressive and I think maybe crazy like buying mortgage backed securities, which I don’t see them doing anytime soon unless that happens, I think mortgage rates are staying in the sixes maybe into the high fives, and so I don’t think affordability is going to get better all that soon.
I think it’s going to be a couple of years of real home prices staying stagnant or declining a little bit. We have mortgage rates coming down a little bit and we have wages hopefully continuing to go up though. We’ll see what AI does to the job market, and so for me, I think we’re entering this kind of stall period. I’ve called it before the great stall because I think that’s the most likely course for the housing market. Now, there are markets and there are years in this that you might see nominal home price growth, but I encourage you to think as a sophisticated investor is to look at this in real terms and think about when are your returns going to be outpacing the rate of inflation because those are the good returns. Those are the things that we want. It’s not just being defensive and hedging against inflation.
That’s when you’re actually getting outsized gains and that’s what we have to look forward to. Now, it’s important to know, I could be wrong about these things. I just think this is the most probable scenario as an investor, right? My job, I’m not going to tell you definitely what’s going to happen. I’m just telling you what I think is most likely, and I think this stall is the most likely, but regardless of whether you believe me, if you think prices are going to go up fine, that’s okay, but I would if I were, you still prepare for the stall, I would still prepare for prices to be somewhat stagnant for the less couple of years because I think that’s just the conservative prudent thing to do when there’s as much uncertainty in the housing market as there is today. So that’s my highest level advice, but next week, because every market is going to be facing something like this, I think in the next couple of months we’re going to have the full panel on Kathy, Henry James are all coming.
We’re going to talk about what they’re doing to prepare for this reality, but before that happens, because in those sessions I usually are interviewing them. I just wanted to give you a couple pieces of advice or the things, just tell you some of the things that I’m personally doing. First things first, I think this is a time to be precise. This is a period where you need to focus on precision. That means only buying the best deals, and I think there are going to be better deals. That is the trade off here is there’s going to be good deals, but you really have to look for the best deals, so you need to be precise, not just in your acquisition and your buy box, but also in your underwriting. I know people say don’t be scared. I think the opposite right now, I think you should assume flat appreciation rates.
I would assume slightly flat rent growth, we talked about that in the last episode. I think rent growth probably not picking up in 2026 in any meaningful way, so you just need to keep those things in mind. If you can find deals that work given those assumptions, you could go buy them because a correction is the time when you focus on buying great assets in a great location at a great price. If you can do that, that makes sense in any business cycle, but it has to cashflow so you can hold onto it through this cycle, and you only want to buy the cream of the crop. The key here in these types of markets is to take what the market is giving you. That is more inventory. That means probably better cashflow, right? Because if prices are going to start coming down a little bit and rent stays steady, because that’s normally what happens even during a correction, even during a recession, you usually see rent stay steady.
Your cashflow potential is likely going to get better, and so think about what’s going on right now, and three years ago, three years ago, you had to be super competitive. You couldn’t be precise, you had to be aggressive. Do the opposite. Be patient, be precise. These are the things that the market is allowing us as investors to do right now, and it is on you and all of us to take those advantages and use them in every deal that we do. Now, one other piece of advice I just want to give here is for those of you who are active investors already, you may see the value of your property on paper go down and different people react to that differently. I think if you have a great asset and you see it go down a little bit, for the most part, I can’t give advice to every single person individually, but for the most part that is what we call a paper loss.
That basically means it’s gone down on paper, but you’re not actually losing any money, right? You only lose money in those situations if you sell. Now, if you have a property that has tons of deferred maintenance, it’s in a bad neighborhood and you have a lot of fear about how it’s going to perform and you can sell it and do something better with your money, maybe you do want to sell. It depends on your market dynamics, but I would not just sell automatically because we are entering one of these periods. I’m holding the majority of my properties right now because those are good assets that I want to hold onto for a long time. And remember, a correction is a normal part of the business cycle, and if you’re cash flowing and doing the business right, then you have no reason to fear, right? If you’re still generating cashflow, you’re going to do that in a correction, and one day we don’t know when, but I am very sure that hell’s prices are going to pick up again one day, and you want to be in the game to benefit from that inevitable shift in the business cycle from the correction to the bottom, which will hit at some point to the next expansion, which you want to be a part of.
Timing that market is very difficult, so why give up great assets that you already have if you can hold onto them and they’re cash flowing? That’s what I’m doing. That’s my advice for people who own existing properties. So just to wrap up here, remember, the correction is real, but it is a normal part of the business cycle and what it’s trying to do for us as investors in a housing market and homeowners is restore some affordability to a market that has at 40 year lows for affordability. So this just needs to happen, and a gradual return to normalcy to me is something as an investor, I feel perfectly comfortable working around, and I think you should too. Remember, there’s no reason right now to panic the risk of a crash remain low, but there is a very high likelihood that in many markets we will see prices come down for sure in real terms and probably in many on nominal terms as well.
Remember, next week, we’re going to go beyond just sort of the theory and the data and the strategy, and we’re going to talk tactics. We’re going to talk about what you should literally do about buying homes, about selling homes in this kind of correcting market. We’ll have the full panel of James Dard, Henry Washington and Kathy Ky there to discuss that with me next week to make sure to come back and check out that episode. For now, that’s what we got for you. Thank you all so much for listening to this episode of On The Market. I’m Dave Meyer. See you next time.

Help us reach new listeners on iTunes by leaving us a rating and review! It takes just 30 seconds and instructions can be found here. Thanks! We really appreciate it!

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].



Source link


In real estate, timing is everything—and nowhere is that more true than in the foreclosure market. When a foreclosure filing first hits public records, it signals both distress for a homeowner and potential opportunity for an investor. The earliest stage of the process—foreclosure starts—is often the best chance for investors to act before properties hit the crowded courthouse steps or bank-owned listings. 

August 2025 data from ATTOM Data Solutions shows a notable rise in these early filings nationwide and in several key states. For investors who know how to interpret the data, this stage may represent a window to negotiate directly with homeowners and position themselves for acquisitions before the broader market reacts.

The Numbers: August 2025 Foreclosure Starts

According to ATTOM, 23,852 foreclosure starts were filed nationally in August 2025, up 0.56% month over month and 17.58% year over year. This steady upward trend points to a growing wave of homeowners entering distress.

State-level data reveals where the pressure is mounting:

  • Texas: 2,982 filings (+60.58% YoY) despite a sharp monthly decline.
  • Ohio: 1,067 filings, a 34.72% YoY increase, signaling elevated distress in the Midwest.
  • North Carolina: 728 filings, an eye-catching 46.48% YoY increase.
  • Florida: 2,803 filings, up 5.06% YoY, reflecting consistent pressure in one of the largest foreclosure markets.
  • California: 2,558 filings, a 4.71% YoY rise, suggesting stability but persistent underlying challenges.

Why Investors Should Care

Foreclosure starts matter because they’re the earliest warning sign of potential property transfers. At this stage, the homeowner still owns the property, which means investors may have options to step in creatively before the foreclosure process accelerates.

A spike in filings can foreshadow:

  • More distressed inventory hitting auctions and bank REO lists in the months ahead.
  • Regional softening in housing markets, even if national metrics appear stable.
  • Opportunities for investors to negotiate directly with motivated homeowners.

Investor Opportunities in the Pre-Foreclosure Stage

Unlike properties at auction or those already taken back by banks, foreclosure starts allow investors to work with homeowners in a more flexible, often less competitive environment. Strategies may include:

  • Short sales: Negotiating with both the borrower and lender to purchase the property for less than what’s owed.
  • Deed-in-lieu agreements: Arranging for the homeowner to voluntarily transfer ownership in exchange for debt relief.
  • Loan reinstatement or assumption: Where possible, stepping in to bring a loan current or assume an existing mortgage.
  • Cash for keys: Offering relocation funds in exchange for the homeowner vacating the property quickly and amicably.

These options can potentially lead to below-market acquisitions, while also helping homeowners avoid the lasting financial consequences of foreclosure.

State Spotlight: Where Filings Are Surging

Looking closer at the August numbers highlights why investors should be watching specific states.

  • Texas: With nearly 3,000 foreclosure starts in August alone and a staggering 60% year-over-year increase, Texas may present a wave of new distressed inventory in the coming months. For investors, this could mean more opportunities in both urban and suburban rental markets.
  • Ohio: The 34.72% annual increase puts Ohio on investors’ radar, particularly in counties where affordability challenges have collided with rising interest rates. Pre-foreclosure negotiations here could open doors to discounted properties in established rental markets like Cleveland, Columbus, and Cincinnati.
  • North Carolina: A 46.48% surge year over year is especially noteworthy in a state that has been a magnet for in-migration. Investors may find that distressed opportunities are emerging even in otherwise competitive housing markets.

What It Means for Real Estate Investors

Foreclosure starts don’t just represent individual distressed properties—they indicate trends that can shape investment strategy. A rise in early filings may mean:

  • More potential supply for investors willing to negotiate before properties reach auction.
  • A leading indicator of softening in local markets.
  • The chance to move ahead of other investors who typically enter at the auction or REO stage.

For investors using self-directed IRAs, this stage may also align with the ability to acquire properties in a tax-advantaged environment—whether as rentals, rehabs, or future resales.

Don’t Just Watch the Market—Track It

Spotting opportunities at the foreclosure start stage requires access to the right data. Monitoring filings at the ZIP code, county, and state levels gives investors a competitive edge. By tracking trends over time, investors can identify neighborhoods where distress is building and act early—before the competition.

Imagine targeting a ZIP code where filings have doubled over the last three months. That trend line may give investors a chance to step in with short sale offers or deed-in-lieu negotiations, well before the property is scheduled for auction.

Take Control of Your Investment Strategy

Foreclosure data is not one size fits all. A rising tide of filings in Texas looks very different from a spike in North Carolina or Ohio. That’s why timely, granular data is essential for investors who want to stay ahead.

With Equity’s Foreclosure Reports—powered by ATTOM Data Solutions—you’ll get monthly updates on foreclosure starts, notices of sale, and REO activity—sortable down to the ZIP code level—so you can identify opportunities before the broader market reacts.

Subscribe today for just $19.95/year for a single state, or $69.95/year for the entire country. Visit our Real Estate Reports Page and click to view the Foreclosure Reports to start tracking foreclosure data now.

Equity Trust Company is a directed custodian and does not provide tax, legal, or investment advice. Any information communicated by Equity Trust is for educational purposes only, and should not be construed as tax, legal, or investment advice. Whenever making an investment decision, please consult with your tax attorney or financial professional.

BiggerPockets/PassivePockets is not affiliated in any way with Equity Trust Company or any of Equity’s family of companies. Opinions or ideas expressed by BiggerPockets/PassivePockets are not necessarily those of Equity Trust Company, nor do they reflect their views or endorsement. The information provided by Equity Trust Company is for educational purposes only. Equity Trust Company, and their affiliates, representatives, and officers do not provide legal or tax advice. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Please consult your tax and legal advisors before making investment decisions. Equity Trust and Bigger Pockets/Passive Pockets may receive referral fees for any services performed as a result of being referred opportunities.



Source link


Most passive real estate investments forecast returns in the 12%-20% range. Some come with high risk, while others come with low or moderate risk. The critical question for investors is, “How can I tell which passive investments come with high risk versus lower risk?”

Risk is only one dimension affecting investment returns. Other dimensions include minimum investment amount, time commitment, tax benefits, personal values, and access for non-accredited investors, among others.  

Once you wrap your head around that fact, you can start looking for investments offering asymmetric returns with relatively low risk. Here are a few of the first things we look at in our co-investing club, as we vet deals to go in on together with $5,000 apiece. 

Red Flags

In particular, I watch out for these red flags among passive real estate investments.

Short-term debt

Real estate deals fall apart for one of two reasons: The operator either runs out of money or time. 

From 2022 through 2025, it’s been a bad market for either selling or refinancing. High interest rates drove up cap rates, which means lower property values. 

Operators who took out short-term bridge loans that have come due during this period have run out of time and found themselves in a terrible position. If they sell, they lose huge amounts of money. If they refinance, they also need to cough up huge amounts of money, since their properties are now worth 25-30% less on average. Read: capital calls or bailouts from supplemental loans. 

Floating rates with no protection

There’s nothing inherently wrong with floating-rate commercial loans—if the operator has protection in place against higher rates. 

That could mean a rate cap, or a rate swap, or some other way to limit the risk of higher rates. Just make sure the monthly payments won’t go through the roof if loan rates rise, and that the operator’s projections featured the highest possible rate. 

No expertise in the asset class or market

In our co-investing club, we want to diversify across many different asset classes beyond multifamily, including industrial, retail, mobile home parks, raw land, secured debt, and so forth. But when we meet each month to vet an investment, we want the operator to be a deep expert in their one narrow niche

In other words, we want our portfolios shallow and wide, with small investments across many asset classes. But each individual investment should be narrow and deep, with a niche expert operator.  

For example, we want to invest with a specialist operator who’s done 30 industrial sale-leaseback deals—not a multifamily operator who’s making their first foray into industrial real estate. 

The same logic applies to geographical markets. We want to invest with operators who know a specific market inside and out, with a proven local team on the ground.

First-time local management collaboration

When I first pre-vet a deal, one of the questions I ask is, “How many properties do you currently own in this submarket, managed by the same local team who will manage this new property?” 

Operators sometimes brag about being “vertically integrated” and having their own property management and construction teams. I don’t care about that. What matters is how many properties they’ve worked with the exact same team on managing in the past. 

I don’t want to hear an operator say, “We’re expanding into a new market, and we’re really excited about the property management team who will be taking over.” Instead, I want to hear them say, “We own 10 other properties within a three-mile radius, and the same property management team manages all of them.”

Optimistic projections

Every sponsor claims “conservative underwriting.” Obviously, not all of them do. But short of picking through every cell of every spreadsheet, how can you tell? 

A few quick items I look at include:

  • The projected exit cap rate compared to the current local cap rates for this asset type
  • The projected pace of rent hikes
  • The projected pace of insurance hikes
  • The projected pace of labor cost hikes 

Watch out for any operator projecting rent hikes faster than 3% annually, or operators projecting only modest insurance and labor cost increases. 

I also don’t want to see projected exit cap rates lower than the current market rates for this asset class. Ideally, they forecast returns based on worse market conditions, not current or better ones.  

High regulatory risk

If we’re considering a multifamily or other residential investment, we only want to invest in markets with owner-friendly regulations. 

I invested in tenant-friendly jurisdictions early in my career. It once took me 11 months to evict a nonpaying tenant. Eleven freakin’ months. When he left, he punched holes in every cabinet and intentionally scratched up the flooring as much as possible. And that’s just one particularly memorable example, among many others. 

That said, nonresidential investments can work out just fine in tenant-friendly markets. For example, our co-investing club invested in a boutique hotel in Southern California, which has performed very well. 

The only time we’ll make an exception is if the operator has such deep local property management expertise that it becomes a competitive advantage. Our co-investing club once invested in a multifamily property in the tenant-friendly Portland metro area, with an operator who actually started two decades ago as a local property management firm. That investment has done fine—because this operator knows exactly how to navigate the difficult regulations there. 

Green Flags

Now that you know what not to invest in, what are some indications of a lower- or moderate-risk passive investment?

A deep track record in the market

I love to invest with sponsors who know their local market and their asset class inside and out, backward and forward. 

Several times now, our co-investing club has invested with a sponsor who specializes in Class B value-add multifamily properties in Cleveland. They specifically target buildings servicing cops, teachers, firefighters, and the like. They’ve done dozens of similar deals, all in the same city, where the principal has lived his entire life. 

Deep experience with the same management teams

That sponsor I was just talking about? All their deals are managed by the same in-house property management and construction teams

Long-term protected debt

I couldn’t tell you whether it will be a good market for selling in three years from now. But at some point in the next 10 years, there will almost certainly be a good market for selling. 

Look for longer-term debt, which offers the operator plenty of runway to sell when the market is right—not when their short-term debt expires. And, of course, look for some kind of rate protection if they’re using a floating rate loan.

Truly conservative projections

The market shouldn’t have to improve for a deal to deliver on its projected returns. Look for deals where the projected exit cap rate is equal or preferably higher than today’s local cap rates for that type of property. Likewise, look for slow projected rent hike rates (after the initial bump from renovated units, if applicable). 

Experience through several market cycles

You can read about the 2008 housing crisis and Great Recession in as many online articles as you want, but unless you lived through it as a real estate investor, you won’t truly appreciate what a catastrophic market downturn looks and feels like. 

Operators who have invested through several market cycles will protect themselves from future downturns in a way that newer investors just don’t think to do. Knowing the risks firsthand gives you a greater respect and appreciation for how things can and will go wrong in unexpected ways. 

No online courses or textbooks can convey that feeling of losing hundreds of thousands of dollars. As someone who’s been there myself, I want to invest with operators who have also learned those hard lessons firsthand. 

Diversifying Creates a Bell Curve of Returns

Even when you check for these and other red flags, all investments come with some risk. You can optimize your odds of success by screening out higher-risk investments, like we do. But if you want a sure thing, buy Treasury bonds for a 4% return. 

When you invest in enough passive real estate investments, the returns form a bell curve. For example, I invest $5,000 at a time in 12 to 16 passive investments each year. I have about 40 passive investments outstanding currently. A few will inevitably underperform, while a few others will overperform. Most will deliver somewhere in the middle of the bell curve, typically in the mid-to-high teens. 

Over the long term, these investments average out to deliver strong returns. I put the law of averages to work in my favor. 

You don’t want to get stuck investing $50,000 to $100,000 in one or two deals a year, and having that one deal go sideways on you. That’s a recipe for lying awake at 3 a.m., chewing your fingernails. 

With one or two real estate investments a year, your returns don’t form a bell curve. You get individual data points that could end up anywhere along the curve. 

I learned long ago that I can’t predict the next hot market or asset class. So I no longer try to get clever—I just keep investing month after month, in strong economies and weak, bull markets and bears, and sleep easy knowing that the numbers on the page will average out in my favor over the long run. 



Source link


Near the top of most landlord frustrations is when good tenants decide to move. It happens frequently, according to a new report by RentCafé, which reveals that 38% of tenants move within two years. 

Tenant churn is one of the pitfalls of landlording and can significantly impact revenue due to the costs of repairing and redecorating an apartment, as well as the vacant period while trying to find a new tenant. Enhanced tenant protections from the government have limited the scope that landlords can apply fees to help offset overheads.

Over Half of Austin’s Renters Moved Within 24 Months

The RentCafé survey uses IPUMS ACS data (Integrated Public Use Microdata Series). This project collected and harmonized census and survey data from around the world. ACS refers to the American Community Survey, an annual survey conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. 

The report on 105 U.S. metro areas, looking at data between 2018 and 2023, notes that the Southeast, particularly Texas, had a high percentage of tenants with itchy feet.

In fact, Austin saw 54% of local renters moving to new addresses within two years, followed by Provo, Utah, in the West, at 60%. Charleston, South Carolina, was third, with nearly 55% of renters hitting the road within two years. Demographically, Gen Z renters contributed to 72% of all moves within two years in 2023.

Interestingly, although the numbers for tenants moving remain high, they have dropped by 2% from 2018 to 2023, to 38% from 40%. This decline is due to the pandemic ravaging high-density areas, job losses, and remote working, leading to a mass exodus of tenants. 

Correlating this data is a report from data and analytics site Point2Homes, a sister company of rental management software company Yardi Matrix, analyzing census data, shows that overwhelmingly, renters are moving to the suburbs around America’s 20 largest metros, with suburban rental populations doubling between 2018 and 2023, forcing developers to focus more on multifamily communities than urban locations. 

Why the Uptick in Renter Movement?

Affordability 

Affordability is the common cause underpinning the many reasons people move. Whether it’s job relocation, a desire to live in a more spacious property, or access to good schools, the surge is fueled by the desire to get more bang for your rental buck, as the rapid increase in the cost of living has left many Americans struggling to cover their housing costs.

Only 3% of respondents believe housing costs in the U.S. are “reasonable,” according to a survey conducted by Tavern Research for the Searchlight Institute.  An overwhelming 94% said housing costs were either “a little high,” “too high,” or “way too high.” With housing affordability at a four-decade low relative to income and 50% of renter households classified as cost-burdened, the results are hardly surprising. 

Job mobility and work-from-home flexibility

Being able to work from home appeals to renters who are no longer hitched to commutable areas.

More housing options with new construction increase tenant churn

It’s not surprising that tenants are moving to mostly Sunbelt areas, where the new construction of apartments has been most robust, according to a report from the National Multifamily Housing Council (NMHC) cited by Davis Vanguard. Conversely, where the production of new housing was limited, so was tenant mobility.

The report says:

“Our findings suggest that the underproduction of housing in the U.S., aside from making housing less affordable, may also be inhibiting renter mobility, which has been on the decline for decades. This means that renters may not always be able to move homes for better employment prospects, in search of better or cheaper housing, or even to form a household in the first place….Regardless of causality, certain types of moves, such as household formation and in-migration, simply wouldn’t be possible without the addition of new units.”

Migration Trends to Watch

Smart Rent tracks tenant migration into specific trends:

  • The attraction to Sunbelt metros shows no sign of waning: Phoenix, Tampa, Raleigh, and Nashville will continue to pull in new tenants due to affordability, employment opportunities, and lifestyle. 
  • Suburban leasing growth near major metros appeals to workers on hybrid or remote schedules, as well as those seeking more space and a better quality of life.
  • Built-to-rent (BTR) and single-family rental (SFR) expansion in Sunbelt states offers rental amenities without an apartment lifestyle.

Steps Landlords Can Take to Minimize Tenant Movement

The ideal tenant who stays five years or more may go the way of the dodo bird, as more renters struggle with the challenges of being cost-burdened. Landlords face higher expenses such as insurance, construction costs, and persistently high interest rates. However, there are some common-sense moves landlords can make to encourage their tenants to stay longer.

Offer flexible renewal incentives

Instead of the standard 12-month lease renewal with a baked-in 5% rental increase, a landlord might consider incremental rent discounts or perks on second-year renewals. Small financial levers can push tenants to stay rather than incur the cost of moving and testing the market.

Invest in the tenant experience

Whether you own a single-family rental, a small multifamily, or a large apartment complex, tenants want to feel comfortable, secure, and proud of where they live, and happy to invite friends over. Investing in the tenant experience rather than offering a standard “rental-grade apartment” can go a long way, and can also help future-proof your apartment in the process. 

Update the design

Some upgrades to consider:

  • Vinyl plank flooring is not only better-looking than carpet, but also more hard-wearing. 
  • Granite countertops are more resilient than Formica. 
  • Lighting upgrades are relatively affordable, but can make a big difference. 
  • Investing in a quality keypad entry and video doorbell offers an increased sense of security while allowing the landlord to monitor comings and goings. 
  • Appliance upgrades from electric and gas to induction not only look good, but are fireproof.

Responding to maintenance requests quickly and creating a seamless online/smartphone-compatible method of communicating and paying rent will put tenants at ease and make them more likely to respond.

Tiered lease structures and guarantees

Experimenting with multiyear lease options with moderate increases or guaranteed renewal rates offsets the fear of sudden rent surges, such as what occurred after the pandemic, giving tenants peace of mind and the ability to plan. It also offers the landlord predictable income for a period of time.

Final Thoughts

When incentivized, tenants will renew their leases, according to the Wall Street Journal, which highlighted a cash-back rewards program to keep them in place.  

Starting the lease renewal conversation early is only half the battle to keeping a tenant. Treating the job as an administrative task to be undertaken three months before your tenant’s lease ends is a mistake. Instead, it’s a job that starts the moment they walk through the front door. Ultimately, the decision to stay in a rental, if there are no extenuating circumstances, comes down to a combination of financial and lifestyle choices.

Assuming you do not own a large rental community with a slew of amenities, clubhouse events, and opportunities to bond with other tenants, being aware of your tenants’ needs while managing your own responsibilities to pay bills and make a profit is a balancing act. If a tenant is comfortable where they live, a landlord should make it easier for them to stay rather than incur the hassle of moving, which has significant financial and time costs. 

There is usually a tipping point. Finding it will help you increase your retention rates.



Source link


How much money do you need to invest to retire with real estate? We did the math, and it’s not as much as you’d think. In fact, in some markets, even with a small amount of disposable income, you could become financially free in just five years. We’re asked about retiring with rentals so often that we’re providing an in-depth answer in today’s show.

You asked, Dave and Henry are answering. Today, we’re grabbing questions directly from the BiggerPockets Forums and shooting them straight at two of the most trusted real estate investors in the industry.

One beginner wants to know how he can achieve financial independence in just five to ten years with rental properties. He has $3,000/month to invest, but will that be enough? Another rookie investor is considering the ultimate real estate portfolio to build: do you start with a single-family home and then move on to multifamily, or do something completely different? Dave and Henry both give a take that you might not expect.

To end, we have a double debate: cash flow vs. appreciation (and which makes you richer) and existing vs. new-build rental properties (is a higher price worth fewer headaches?). Want to build wealth with real estate? Today’s answers might surprise you.

Dave:
Can you really reach financial freedom in five to 10 years with real estate investing? Even if you’re starting from scratch without making a million dollars every year, how much do you need to invest and how can you get the biggest return on the money you have to invest? We’re answering all of that today, plus we’ll talk about whether you should focus on cash flow or equity when you’re buying your first rental. Hey everyone. I’m Dave Meyer, head of Real Estate Investing at BiggerPockets, and today on the show I’m joined by my friend Henry Washington. Today we’re going to answer a few questions from real investors on the BiggerPockets forums. First up, we have one from an investor who wants to start working towards a financial freedom goal but isn’t sure exactly where to start and I think we can help ’em out.

Henry:
That’s right.

Dave:
Our first question comes from Brad Hills. Brad says, I find myself in a situation where I have a bit of extra income and I want to start leveraging it. My admittedly lofty goal is to become financially free in five to 10 years. I don’t want to stop working. I just want to pivot my time to other ventures that can make some income that I enjoy. I can afford to put $3,000 a month, maybe a little more if I get aggressive towards this end. My monthly overhead is very modest. It costs me about 2,500 bucks a month to cover my living expenses, and I’m happy with the quality of life that affords me. So if you were in my shoes and wanted to quit the nine to five in five to 10 years to pursue other passion projects, how would you go about it? Consider your starting from scratch with no real savings or assets to speak of Love this question. There’s so much to unpack here. I think what this investor is probably saying is that they’re ready to start and that they can continuously put an extra $3,000 a month into their portfolio, which to me is a huge amount. That’s a really significant advantage that this investor’s going to have.

Henry:
If I were him and I was owning a home already, I would probably go buy a duplex, live in one of the units, rent the other unit and rent out the unit that I’m living in. So that gives you essentially three rental units off the bat that you can have within the next 90 days. If you start shopping for a place right now and it helps you by eliminating some of that $2,500 a month that you’re spending on living expenses, you’ll be able to eliminate some of that by house hacking and so now you bump your $3,000 a month up even more because you now have lowered your living expenses. If you want to retire in five to 10 years and you’re not going to flip houses, then you’re probably going to have to start buying assets sooner than later because they’re probably not going to cashflow very well in the first year or two. And so being able to get a couple of units by house hacking and eliminating your expenses gives you more money to play with. If you’re making a hundred to 200 bucks a month in net cashflow in the first couple of years, then with rent growth and with appreciation and debt pay down five to 10 years, that could look really, really good, especially 10 years, five years, maybe not as well.

Dave:
Yeah, I was going to ask you that. Do you think this is a reasonable timeline and goal because as Brad said, it’s a lofty ambitious goal. Do you think five to 10 years with this person’s lifestyle is reasonable?

Henry:
I wouldn’t say unreasonable. It’s definitely doable, but you’re going to have to be pretty aggressive. 10 years is very reasonable, I think.

Dave:
Yeah, I agree. Five years is pretty lofty unless like you said, you’re going to flip houses unless you’re starting with a lot of capital, it just takes a little bit longer than that. I’ve talked about it on the show. I think the average just buying on market deals, so not even doing what I would consider aggressive approach Henry’s talking about with off market deals. Yeah, I think 10 years is a little bit more realistic. It could even take 12, but I actually built this financial independence calculator. It’s on biggerpockets.com for free. You can check it out, and I’m putting in Brad’s numbers right now. I’m just showing that he can contribute $36,000 per year in his savings, and I’m assuming I’m making a big assumption here that he has initial savings of $40,000, so basically he can start with a property right now and then I put the average property price at 120,000. He lives in Akron where the median home price is 140, but as an investor, I’m assuming you’re going to go in and do 1 10, 1 20, put a little bit of money into it to rehab this kind of property with appreciation at 3%. So really nothing crazy. An average return on equity similar to cash and cash return of 7%, just doing that with pretty on market deals, we get exactly 10 years. Exactly. 10 years is a realistic number,

Henry:
And you think if you truly are going to wait 10 years, I mean you could honestly do more than one house hack. You should probably be buying a new house hack every couple of years, right?

Dave:
Yep.

Henry:
If that’s your goal is to get there in five to 10 years, if you bought one house hack and you lived in it, that gives you a couple of units that offset your living expenses. You’re renting out the house you currently live in, assuming you own your house, so now you’ve got three rental properties, right? They’re all producing income besides the one that you’re living in, but you’re not paying to live there, which gives you more cash within a year to a year and a half. You start looking to get your next one and do it again. You move out of the one you’re living in now you’ve got two more units, assuming we’re just doing duplexes, and then within another two years you do it again, and that’s just the house hacking portion. He can still do your method of buying decently, cash flowing deals off the MLS because he lives in a market where that’s actually possible. I mean, if you put those two strategies together, I bet he can get there in less than 10 years.

Dave:
He lives off of $30,000 a year in post tax income and for real estate, that’s not that hard. Now that I’m thinking about this, and if you were willing to house hack, I bet you could reduce your housing expenses to zero pretty quick. That’s probably a thousand or $1,200 of that $2,500 a month that Brad is spending. I think what two three house hacks, and you could probably do that. I think it’s five years. I think you could probably do this in five years because Brad lives a really frugal lifestyle

Henry:
And he lives in an affordable

Dave:
Market and he lives in an affordable market. That’s right. So this is not going to be a strategy or an approach that is available to everyone, but if you are in a situation like this and you are willing to live frugally, go do this, that is house hack three times, I would keep working past that point if I were Brad, because you never know Your lifestyle is going to creep eventually you want to have some cushion, and so do that. You’ll be basically financially free in five years and then work another five years, get to 10 years, you’ll probably buy four or five more rental properties and by 10 years then you’ll probably be not just replacing your current income, you’ll probably be one and a half to two times your current income, which is still a modest, that’s still 60 grand a year. Maybe that works in Akron, certainly doesn’t work in Seattle, but if that works for you, that’s great. And then you’re five plus in 10 years, which is amazing.

Henry:
Yeah, I mean I think this guy needs to take advantage of his superpowers when two of his superpowers are one that he’s frugal and two that he lives in a market where you can buy cashflow on the market. Put that to work now.

Dave:
Absolutely, and I love just the framing of this question because I think it approaches financial independence and real estate in a very realistic way. He’s saving a lot of money. The foundational thing to do, I know a lot of people say they want to get into it with no money. It’s possible, but it’s way easier if you’re saving tons of money like Brad is doing. Not everyone can do that, but he’s doing that. He’s looking to become financially free in five to 10 years as we’ve established. That is possible for most people if you’re willing to go the routes that we talked about, but for Brad, that might be possible even sooner, and he is saying that he doesn’t want to quit his job immediately. So all three of those things together are going to put Brad in a really good position to be able to pursue financial independence somewhat aggressively. So I love it. I think it’s definitely possible. So one thing we talk about Henry, is I often counsel people who are in different kinds of markets to pursue equity building strategies first, whether that’s burr or flipping or just doing cosmetic rehabs on a traditional rental property. As we talk about a lot, building equity is the pathway to cashflow later in life, but I kind of think differently. You’re in this market that offers cashflow that’s cheap and you have a frugal lifestyle. I’d probably just go after the best cashflowing deals right away, right?

Henry:
Yeah. I mean the goal with real estate is to get wealthy over time so that you have income coming in when you’re not having to work for it, and most investors get into flipping because they need to generate cash now so that they can go buy assets that they can live off of in the future. This guy technically doesn’t need to do that step because he’s saving money and he lives in a place where you can get the cashflow sooner than later. So for this investor, what I’d focus on is go try to make sure that you’re buying assets that are going to last you so that you’re not having to recycle them after five years into better assets.

Dave:
I think that’s a really good point. I invest in the Midwest too and it’s hard to find them, but trying to find properties built in the sixties ideally or later. I bought a lot in 1910s, 1920s. I bought some 1890s before and they were a pain in the butt,

Henry:
Man. Did you buy Paul Revere’s house? What was that?

Dave:
Yes, exactly. No, I mean unless they’re completely renovated, which is rare and they’re going to be more expensive than the price point we’re talking about. But yeah, Brad seems like you’re in an awesome situation, so go out and get it. We have another question coming up about portfolio goals, a topic I love to talk about, but we got to take a quick break. We’ll be right back. Managing rentals shouldn’t be stressful. That’s why landlords love rent ready. Get rented your account in just two days. Faster cashflow, less waiting, need a message, a tenant chat instantly in app so you have no more lost emails or texts, plus schedule maintenance repairs with just a few taps. No more phone tag, ready to simplify your rentals. Get six months of rent ready for just $1 using the promo code BP 2025. A link to sign up is in the show description, so don’t forget to use that promo code BP 2025 because the best landlords are using rent ready.

Dave:
Welcome back to the BiggerPockets podcast. Henry and I are here answering your questions about real estate. This one comes from Jared in California who says, I’m a rookie investor based in California looking to start building a portfolio in the area. What do you guys think an ideal portfolio composition that prioritizes modest growth in the next three to five years? Long-term rental in the single family category seem to be a good base to start cashflow, but what are your suggestions based on experience? Example, start off with two single families that move to multi or then focus on short-term rentals. I think the question here might be setting Jared up for the wrong answer because he said, what is an ideal portfolio composition? If you wanted me to run the math and tell you the precise best possible portfolio composition, I could probably do that for you, but you’re not going to find the deals.

Dave:
There’s an ideal portfolio composition and then there’s a realistic portfolio composition, and I think that’s what you need to be thinking about as a real estate investor in 2025, and that’s just always true. You need to be thinking about what’s your next best step? What is the best deals that you can do to get to your long-term goal? I actually, I don’t know about you. I don’t really think about this question that much. Like what’s the optimal thing? Do I want single families or multi-families? When do I pivot from one to another? I honestly think a lot of investors spend way too much time thinking about that. I’m just an investor. I look for opportunistic deals that fit my long-term goal and my long-term goal is 10 years from now, I want to not have to work and I want to replace more than just my regular income, but have some on top of that, and so any deal that I find that fits that criteria, I’m going to go for it. I don’t care if it’s a single family or multifamily. I’m just trying to do whatever I can opportunistically and move on to the next deal.

Henry:
I would say your focus just needs to be on figuring out how you’re going to generate leads for properties that are actually going to make you money, and then as you start to buy some of those properties and you start to figure out what is it that you’re good at, what is it that’s your superpower, then you can adjust your portfolio based on what you know now. I just don’t know that you know enough to know that your portfolio is going to look exactly like what you’re planning it to look like in the beginning. I just don’t know that it works like that.

Dave:
No, I think it’s worth, as a rookie investor spending time figuring out what your financial goals are, why are you doing this, where are you trying to go? That will really help you hone in on the right kinds of deals. But I honestly think this is an example. I mean, no offense Jared. A lot of rookie investors do this, spend a lot of time planning what they want to do and not executing, and this happens in every business. I’ve started a lot of business. I have definitely done this myself where I dropped this business plan and what I’m going to do three years from now, and literally none of it has ever

Henry:
Mattered,

Dave:
Not once in my whole life. Has that ever been a useful exercise, long-term goals, figure out where you want to go and then just focus on short-term execution. Those are really the only two things that have ever mattered to me in my own entrepreneurial career, and I know it’s sort of ingrained in this entrepreneurial philosophy that you hear all over the place in the media, in the news, whatever, is like, you got to have your business plan. You got to plan this all out. No, you don’t. You have to have goals and you need to execute on short-term things and the plan will become clear to you, I promise,

Henry:
And the plan can change.

Dave:
The plan will change a hundred percent. It will change. For example, I set a goal at the beginning of this year. It’s like I’m looking for purpose-built four units. It’s not because I have some ideal portfolio in my mind that I’m trying to get to. It’s just like I’ve just been looking at a lot of deals and those are the ones I like the best right now, if I saw a single family that worked, I would just buy that. Instead, I have to create some buy box and limitations about what I’m trying to buy. Otherwise it’s too overwhelming, but I also just want to find good deals and when they come across my desk, I’m going to take them seriously. So I just think as a rookie, execute your first deal. I think for Jared, you’re going to need to think hard about whether or not you want to invest in California. That’s just a hard thing to do as Henry alluded to, and you could invest out of state or you’re going to have to get good at construction. Those are probably the two routes for you, and that’s just the way it is, and you just kind of have to choose.

Henry:
You can build cash flow in California with the A DU strategy, but that’s pretty niche and you’re going to have to go figure that out and you’re right. Go do a deal and then reevaluate because I still have my original goals from before I did a deal when my wife and I were planning out what we wanted our real estate portfolio to look like, we wanted to buy one house a year for the next five years. That’s what we started out as our goals. We wanted to go slow based on what we knew at the time that seemed aggressive. We did five deals in our first two months once we got going, right?

Dave:
Yeah, exactly. You’re like, I can do this.

Henry:
Yes, absolutely. So don’t focus on the exit. Focus on how are you going to find deals that make sense for the numbers you’re trying to hit and the market you’re trying to be in. And if you can’t figure that out, if that doesn’t exist where you are, then maybe you’ll need to pivot markets or maybe you’ll need to pivot strategies, but I think there’s more you need to figure out.

Dave:
All right. Great question though. We have a couple more questions to answer for you guys, but we have to take another quick break. We’ll be right back. Welcome back to the BiggerPockets podcast. I’m here with Henry answering your questions. We’ve answered one about how to invest with three KA month, another one about portfolio goals for rookie investors. Next we’re going to talk about advice on building equity or cashflow. Classic question. I love it. Jessica. Juan asks, hi everyone. I’m looking to buy my first rental property, and when I was reading Dave Meyers start with strategy book, oh, my shameless plug. My God, I’m getting a call out. She didn’t spell my name, but I’ll forgive her.

Dave:
He mentioned a very interesting point. Now I’m just reading my old quote. All right. I’m going to read something I wrote in my book. It says, one approach that I personally subscribe to is focus on equity growth early in your career and then shift the balance of your portfolio towards cashflow later. The idea is not to completely ignore cashflow, but rather to seek deals for their potential for equity gains, even if that means a modest cash on cash return due to the combined forces of value, add, market appreciation, amortization and leverage seeking deals that build equity can generate large amounts of capital with which you can reinvest if you spend the early days amassing equity, getting cashflow later in your career is relatively easy. You can do it through rebalancing and de-leveraging. Jessica, that one to go on to ask, is this the strategy that you guys are using? Any advice? I’m focusing on equity or focusing on cashflow for my first rental property. This will really help with the deals I should look into. I’m currently considering long distance investing since California is not affordable to me. I already gave my opinion. I just read it to you. So Henry, what’s your opinion on this?

Henry:
I have said this before on the podcast, cashflow is the least important way that real estate pays me, especially early on. Now, later on, once properties are paid off, it’ll be a much more profitable endeavor, but cashflow now to me is more of just a measure telling me that I bought a deal that makes sense. In other words, what I learned after I started accumulating properties is that cashflow is cool, but it’s equity and appreciation that really builds wealth and allows you to be able to become wealthy and build and grow your portfolio by allowing you to leverage that equity that you have in your properties to go and build a bigger nest egg of more properties. And so that is a very long-winded way of saying that. I agree, but I always say this and then I get comments that like, oh, you’re saying don’t buy cashflow? No, I think you should absolutely buy deals at cashflow.

Dave:
Yeah, you

Henry:
Have. I’m just saying it’s not the most important factor when you’re evaluating a deal. I am okay buying a deal that breaks, even if it’s in an appreciating market, if it’s not going to give me maintenance headaches, if a deal doesn’t cashflow a ton, that doesn’t mean I won’t buy it. There are other factors that are more important to me, and so I think people should absolutely look for deals that cashflow, but it shouldn’t be the only thing that you’re evaluating properties on. And so if you’re in a position where you can invest for building equity and those properties pay for themselves, meaning the mortgage and all the expenses are covered by the rent, and you still get to put a little bit of money in your pocket afterwards, that’s going to require you to have some savings or have some money because yes, the property may cover itself, but it doesn’t always all flow at the same time.

Henry:
It’s not like you got your rent and then the AC went out and now you have the rent money to be able to pay for the ac. You may have to pay for the AC out of your pocket and then reup it with rents over time. You need to have some cash. Not every investor is in that boat where they can say, okay, I’m going to focus on deals that have a great equity return as long as they cover themselves and put a little bit of cashflow in my pocket. They may not have the cash backing to be able to float a portfolio like that. But if you’re in that kind of a position, if you’re in that good of a financial position, then I absolutely think this is what you should be focused on because it’s going to help you become wealthier faster. The cashflow will come later.

Dave:
Yep, exactly. My whole strategy has always been like, how do I get to the point when I want to live off my real estate, let’s just call it 10 years from now and have enough money that I could just go buy properties for cash and live off of that? I know that sounds like stupidly simplistic, but it’s true. If you wanted a hundred thousand dollars a year to live off of, let’s just assume in 10 years, cap rates are at 5%. So that means if you bought a property for cash, you’re making a 5% cash on cash return, how much money do you need to pull that off? $2 million, right? That’s the answer. So my whole strategy in thinking that is how do I get $2 million 10 years from now? And it’s not through cashflow, 50 bucks a month or a hundred bucks a month.

Dave:
It’s through building equity, through the things that we talk about on the show, whether it’s value add buying, deep being in the path of progress, zoning upsides where you can add additional units, doing the burr flipping. You can pick a ton of different ways to do it, but for me, that’s ultimately the goal because if I can own enough properties, totally debt-free when I want to retire, that’s a dream. And if I choose to use leverage, which I probably would, then I can probably scale even more. But that’s to me, true financial independence is like, I want to own all this without debt eventually, and that’s the simple formula to get there. How much money do you want annually? Divide that by what you think cap rates might be five or 6%. That’s the equity goal you need to go after. Go pursue that as aggressively as you can.

Henry:
Yeah, I agree. And I think people ask this question sometimes they’re still thinking of getting cashflow the way you used to be able to get cashflow five years ago, right? When I got started in 2017, yes, you could go buy a rental property, you could walk into equity of 50 to a hundred thousand dollars of equity, and that thing would cashflow 300, $400 a door. It was a different game. The properties were cheaper, the rents were allowing you to do that. The interest rates were lower, the insurance wasn’t as high. So focusing on equity if you can, is obviously going to get you there faster than just 50 to a hundred bucks a door.

Dave:
That’s a great point. It’s almost like a false dichotomy. People are like cashflow or appreciation. Well, cashflow is not that good right now. So building equity makes sense. And really cashflow is fine if you have a ton of money. If you have $2 million to invest, I could find you cashflow all day, put 50% down, buy it for cash. So that’s what gives you the flexibility. I’m kind of joking, but I’m being serious. If you have so much cap equity that you could just go out and put 50 down, 75% down, you’re going to have no problems. You’ll have no problems. So go figure out the way to accumulate that equity. And I know it’s not simple. I’m not saying that you could just go do this with no effort. You’re going to have to work for it for sure, but that to me is the fastest path to achieving financial freedom even though it puts a step in your way, right?

Dave:
It’s not I’m going after cashflow and I’m going to see more and more of my living expenses covered every month with every deal I buy. That might not be true for a while, but know that having that equity makes cashflow easy to get, and so you’re just waiting. You’re taking one strategy, an equity building strategy to start, and then you deleverage, which means you use less debt. And in the future when you deleverage, you’re just going to be able to find a lot easier cashflow. And on top of that, you’ll probably be able to buy nicer properties with less headache and get cashflow at the same time if you pursue that equity first. Boom. Done, answered. Alright, last question of the day comes from Kelly who’s wondering about new construction rentals versus older properties. She says, for property managers and landlords, have you noticed a big difference between managing new builds versus older inventory? Some investors I know are shifting towards new construction because of fewer maintenance headaches and stronger tenant demand. Would love to hear what you’re seeing. This is perfect. I just did a whole on the market episode about this, but I’ll ask you first. Henry,

Henry:
In my portfolio right now, I have two new construction homes that I’ve owned for going on three years now, and I have other assets that I’ve bought since I bought those new construction homes that are not brand new construction. And I can tell you that I have never once gotten a work order for anything repair or maintenance wise on my new construction homes. But I have gotten requests on properties I bought after I bought those new construction homes that are older than those new construction homes

Dave:
For sure.

Henry:
So yeah, managing new construction is easier

Dave:
To me. This is a no brainer. The newer the property generally speaking, or the more recently it’s been renovated, not only are you going to get fewer repairs and maintenance, Kelly also hit on the fact that you’re going to have higher tenant demand. People are going to want to live there more. They like living in renovated places and there is a big good reason why more investors are shifting towards new construction. It is cheaper than existing homes right now. It’s on average in the United States, it’s $18,000 cheaper to buy new construction than it is an existing home. Now, there’s all sorts of stuff. If you want to hear about this in detail, check out on the market feed. I did a whole deep dive into this. There’s different markets, a lot of the markets where there’s a lot of this inventory or the markets that are seeing corrections.

Dave:
So there’s all sorts of things to consider, but all things being equal, get the newer property, absolutely get the newer property. Sometimes they have warranty, they’re going to have newer systems. They might have newer appliances, which will probably break faster than the older ones. That is the one exception to the rule, but I think this is kind of a no-brainer. I’ve bought mostly old properties in my investing career. You get better deals on them for sure, but they’re a pain in the butt. And I think it just depends on where you are. Kelly’s specifically asking about management, management is always easier with a new construction, new homes that are built well up to modern code like man, it’s so much easier.

Henry:
Yeah, I think the trade-off people deal with is, so if you underwrite an older home as a rental property, you typically might see more cashflow than if you’re underwriting a newer home as a rental property because the newer home is probably going to cost more and rent might not be that much different between those two houses, let’s say for all intents and purposes, they’re the same square footage. The older home, newer home, same square footage, they’re probably going to rent for the same. And so what people are seeing is, well, if I take the older home, I get more cashflow. If I take the newer home, I get less cashflow. But that’s when you’re underwriting it.

Dave:
When you’re underwriting it wrong,

Henry:
When you look at the performance of the property, that older property, if it has a maintenance issue that goes beyond what you budgeted for maintenance, then that cashflow gets whittled down too much less and newer property is probably not going to have the maintenance issue. And so I think when you’re underwriting the two deals, you might see a bigger cashflow number on the older property, but we don’t know if that’s the cashflow number you’re going to get to. I think the underwriting on a new construction deal is more dependable because the maintenance shouldn’t be a big surprise. You shouldn’t have the surprise things that you have on the older home.

Dave:
I couldn’t agree more. And the reason I was saying that underwriting it wrong is if you’re buying an old property and you are not underwriting for a new roof or replumbing or putting a new electrical or a new hot water heater, you are underwriting it wrong. I got to be honest with you, for the first five or six years I worked at BiggerPockets, I kept being like, man, am I just buying the worst deals? These people are out here buying 15, 20% cash on cash returns. What am I doing wrong? And eventually just I realized that people are just doing the math wrong on cashflow. Everyone does. It’s like 90% of the people I meet do cashflow. They’re like, well, I have a 20% cash on cash return, but that doesn’t include maintenance and vacancy and CapEx and turnover. I’m like, well, that’s not cashflow.

Dave:
What are you talking about? Cashflow? And they’re like, yeah, when I factor that all in, it’s like break even. I’m like, so you have break even cashflow that is break even cashflow. I’m sorry. And so when Henry and I say, we’ll take break even cashflow, that’s what we’re talking about. I’m not talking about break even cashflow before I factor in 70% of the expenses I have as a business operator. You have do it, right? Sorry, this makes me so bad. But I think your point is right, that if you underwrite it correctly, the numbers on new construction are much more competitive because you’re not going to have the same amount. Yeah, I’ll budget for a new roof, but I’m going to budget for 20 years from now, 25 years from now because I’ll probably have a warranty for at least 10 of those years. That’s why you have to get good at underwriting because these sound like subtle differences, but not, this is the difference between buying the right deal and buying the wrong deal. That means you’re not going to as many deals. That’s okay. You’re going to need to underwrite more deals. That’s okay, but please just do it right, please. Okay, now I’m tired from all that yelling.

Henry:
Well, it’s hard to breathe up there on your soapbox.

Dave:
The altitude. There’s not as much oxygen up here, man. Add. All right. Well, this was a lot of fun. Thanks for coming, man. We appreciate it. Thank you so much for listening. We’ll see you next time.

 

Help us reach new listeners on iTunes by leaving us a rating and review! It takes just 30 seconds and instructions can be found here. Thanks! We really appreciate it!

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].



Source link

Pin It