Latest Posts:
Tag

Rise

Browsing
In Research & Trends

Energy Prices Rise Again in August – Eye On Housing

No Comments


Residential building material prices, excluding energy, rose 0.2% in August and were up 5.1% from a year ago. Energy prices rose sharply in August, as prices for energy inputs to residential construction rose 6.6% over the month. Prices for services also rose, up 1.5% over the month and 7.8% higher over the year.

The Producer Price Index for final demand was up 0.4% in August, after rising 0.1% in July. Compared to a year ago, final demand prices were up 5.4%. The index for final demand services rose 0.1% in August, while the index for final demand goods rose 1.1%.

The price index for inputs to new residential construction was up 1.1% in August and was up 7.8% from last year. The price of goods used in new residential construction (including energy) was up 0.9% over the month and up 7.8% from last year, while the price of services was up 1.5% over the month and up 7.8% from last year.

Input Goods

The goods component has a larger importance to the inputs to residential construction price index, representing around 60% of the total. On a monthly basis, the price of input goods to new residential construction was up 0.9% in August after rising 0.4% in July.

The input goods to residential construction index can be further broken down into two separate components, one measuring energy inputs with the other measuring remaining goods. The latter of these two components simply represents building materials used in residential construction, which makes up around 93% of the goods index.

Energy input prices rose 6.6% in August and were 46.2% higher than a year ago. Building material prices were up 0.2% in August and up 5.1% compared to one year ago.

Price increases for energy products outpaced other materials. No. 2 diesel fuel prices were up 17.7% over the month and 77.7% higher than a year ago. Unleaded regular gasoline prices rose 3.3% over the month and were 47.0% higher than a year ago. Outside of energy products, nonferrous wire and cable prices rose 2.4% over the month and were up 19.6% from a year ago. Softwood veneer and plywood prices rose 1.7% and were up 12.5% from a year ago. Some prices for products did fall over the month, as softwood lumber prices fell 2.5% but were still 13.0% higher than a year ago.

Input Services

Prices for service inputs to residential construction rose 1.5% in August. On a year-over-year basis, service input prices were up 7.8%. The price index for service inputs to residential construction can be broken out into three separate components: a trade services component, a transportation and warehousing services component, and a services excluding trade, transportation, and warehousing component (other services).

The most significant component is trade services (around 60%), followed by other services (around 29%), and finally transportation and warehousing services (around 11%). The largest component, trade services, was up 9.0% from a year ago. The price of transportation and warehousing services has risen 14.4% over the year, while prices for other services were up 2.6% over the year.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

Serious Delinquencies Edge Lower While Mortgage Transitions Rise – Eye On Housing

No Comments


Household debt delinquency rates showed signs of stabilization in the second quarter of 2026 as overall share of delinquency balances edged lower and the transition to seriously delinquent debt declined for the second consecutive quarter.

According to the latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, about 4.7% of outstanding household debt balances were in some stage of delinquency, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points (pp) from the previous quarter. Moreover, 3.3% of total household debt balances were seriously delinquent (at least 90 days delinquent) in the second quarter, down slightly from 3.4% in the first quarter.

The improvement occurred across most consumer loan categories. Serious delinquency rate for auto loans decreased to 5.5% from 5.6%, while credit card balances at least 90 days delinquent declined 0.2 pp to 12.9% in the second quarter. Nonetheless, credit cards continued to have the highest serious delinquency rate among the major debt categories. Housing-related debt had mixed results. The share of mortgage balances that were seriously delinquent fell to 0.99% from 1.1%. In contrast, the serious delinquency rate for student loans and HELOC edged higher to 10.6% and 0.99%, respectively.

The flow of balances newly entering a serious delinquency stage was more encouraging. Overall, 2.6% transitioned into serious delinquency during the second quarter, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter. This marked the second consecutive quarterly decline following a transition of 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2025. Much of the decline was driven by student loans and credit cards. The share of student loan balances newly becoming seriously delinquent fell sharply to 7.8%, from 10.9% in the first quarter. Credit card transitions also declined to 6.97%, from 7.10%.

Mortgage transitions, however, continued to move in the opposite direction. The share of mortgage balances newly entering serious delinquency increased to 1.52%, from 1.48% in the first quarter. This category has been gradually trending upward in recent years, indicating some continued deterioration in mortgage credit performance even as the stock of seriously delinquent mortgage balances declined during the quarter. Auto loan transitions also edged higher to 3.0%.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

Building Material Prices Continue to Rise Despite Energy Price Declines – Eye On Housing

No Comments


Residential building material prices, excluding energy, rose 0.5% in June and were up 4.6% from a year ago. Lower energy prices were apparent in June, as energy input prices fell 10.3% over the month. Meanwhile, prices for services rose 5.2% over the year, and were up 1.0% from the previous month.

The Producer Price Index for final demand declined 0.3% in June, after rising 0.6% in May. Compared to a year ago, final demand prices were up 5.5%. The index for final demand services rose 0.3% in June, while the index for final demand goods fell 1.4% over the month.

The price index for inputs to new residential construction fell 0.1% in June and was up 6.2% from last year. The price of goods used in new residential construction (including energy) was down 0.8% over the month and up 6.9% from last year, while the price of services was up 1.0% over the month and up 5.2% from last year. The decline in the overall residential input price index was largely driven by lower goods prices, particularly energy-related inputs.

Input Goods

The goods component has a larger importance to the inputs to residential construction price index, representing around 60% of the total. On a monthly basis, the price of input goods to new residential construction was down 0.8% in June, the first monthly decline since December of last year.

The input goods to residential construction index can be further broken down into two separate components, one measuring energy inputs with the other measuring remaining goods. The latter of these two components simply represents building materials used in residential construction, which makes up around 93% of the goods index. Energy input prices fell 10.3% in June but were 40.9% higher than a year ago. Building material prices were up 0.5% in June and up 4.6% compared to one year ago.

Among input goods, energy costs continue to show the largest price increase from a year ago. Diesel fuel costs were up 65.7% from a year ago in June. Outside of energy products, roofing asphalt product prices were up 9.2% from a year ago and rose 4.0% in June alone. Softwood lumber prices showed upward movement in June, with prices 7.0% higher than a year ago. Ready-mix concrete prices were up 1.9% from a year ago, while gypsum building material prices were down 1.1% from a year ago.

Input Services

Prices for service inputs to residential construction rose 1.0% in June. On a year-over-year basis, service input prices were up 5.2%. The price index for service inputs to residential construction can be broken out into three separate components: a trade services component, a transportation and warehousing services component, and a services excluding trade, transportation, and warehousing component (other services).

The most significant component is trade services (around 60%), followed by other services (around 29%), and finally transportation and warehousing services (around 11%). The largest component, trade services, was up 4.7% from a year ago. The price of transportation and warehousing services rose 16.0%, while prices for other services were up 2.0% over the year.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

Residential Building Material Prices Rise at Highest Rate In Over Three Years – Eye On

No Comments


Wholesale prices of goods used in residential construction rose in May as energy prices continued to climb. In May, residential building material prices, excluding energy, rose at their highest yearly rate since January 2023, as prices were up 4.4% from a year ago and up 0.7% over the month. Meanwhile, prices for services rose 4.7% over the year, but were unchanged from the previous month.

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 1.1% in May, after rising 1.1% in April. Compared to a year ago, final demand prices were up 6.5%. The index for final demand services rose 0.3% in May, while the index for final demand goods rose 2.8% over the month.

The price index for inputs to new residential construction rose 1.3% in May and was up 6.9% from last year. The price of goods used in new residential construction (including energy) was up 2.1% over the month and up 8.3% from last year, while the price of services was unchanged over the month and up 4.7% from last year.

Input Goods

The goods component has a larger importance to the inputs to residential construction price index, representing around 60% of the total. On a monthly basis, the price of input goods to new residential construction was up 2.1% in May. This monthly increase was the largest since it rose 3.3% back in March of 2022.

The input goods to residential construction index can be further broken down into two separate components, one measuring energy inputs with the other measuring remaining goods. The latter of these two components simply represents building materials used in residential construction, which makes up around 93% of the goods index.

Energy input prices rose 17.2% in May and were 62.8% higher than a year ago. Building material prices were up 0.7% in May and up 4.4% compared to one year ago.

Among input goods, the largest year-over-year increase was for No. 2 diesel fuel as prices were 105.9% higher than a year ago. Metal molding and trim prices remained higher, with prices up 42.9% from a year ago. Softwood lumber prices were up 5.6% from a year ago in May while ready-mix concrete prices were up 1.7% from a year ago. Gypsum building materials prices were down 1.1% from a year ago.

Input Services

Prices for service inputs to residential construction reported no price change in May. On a year-over-year basis, service input prices were up 4.7%. The price index for service inputs to residential construction can be broken out into three separate components: a trade services component, a transportation and warehousing services component, and a services excluding trade, transportation, and warehousing component (other services).

The most significant component is trade services (around 60%), followed by other services (around 29%), and finally transportation and warehousing services (around 11%). The largest component, trade services, was up 3.8% from a year ago. The price of transportation and warehousing services rose 17.3%, while prices for other services were up 1.7% over the year.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

Rent Prices Continue to Rise, While Absorption Remains Low – Eye On Housing

No Comments


The percentage of new apartment units that were absorbed within three months after completion was up one percentage point in the fourth quarter, according to the Census Bureau’s latest release of the Survey of Market Absorption of New Multifamily Units (SOMA). The survey covers new units in multifamily residential buildings with five or more units. The number of new multifamily units completed was 77,380 in the fourth quarter, the lowest quarterly completions since the second quarter of 2022 (76,630).

Apartments

The percentage of apartments absorbed within three months after completion was 49% for those completed in the fourth quarter of 2025. This was the sixth consecutive quarter for which new apartments were absorbed at a rate below 50%. The median asking rent for apartments completed in the fourth quarter was $2,034, up 4.5% from $1,946 last year. This also marks the first quarter where the median asking rent topped $2,000.

Along with the three-month absorption rate and completions, SOMA also reports absorption rates at six, nine, and twelve months after completion. For apartments completed six months ago (97,210 units), 68% have been absorbed into the market. For apartments completed (93,140 units) nine months ago, 80% have been absorbed. For those completed twelve months ago (92,760 units), 90% have been absorbed into the multifamily market.

Condominiums and Cooperative Units

The three-month absorption rate for new condominiums and cooperative units rose to 70%. Total completions of new condominiums and cooperative units, according to SOMA, was 4,831 in the fourth quarter of 2025.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

Slight Rise for Open Construction Jobs in March – Eye On Housing

No Comments


The number of open positions in the construction sector edged higher in March, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). The current level of open jobs is down measurably from three years ago due to declines in construction activity, particularly in housing. However, recent gains for nonresidential construction have not fully offset soft conditions for housing with respect to the demand for construction labor.

The number of open jobs for the overall economy declined, falling from 6.92 million in February to 6.87 million in March. The March reading was down from a year ago (6.95 million) due to a cooling labor market.

Previous NAHB analysis indicated that this number had to fall below eight million on a sustained basis for the Federal Reserve to move forward on interest rate reductions. With estimates remaining below eight million for national job openings, the Fed, in theory, should be able to cut further. However, this is situation is complicated by rising energy costs due to the Iran war.

The number of open construction sector jobs increased for the month, rising slightly from 201,000 in February to 224,000 in March. This total was down compared to a year ago (278,000). The chart below notes the declining trend that has been in place for unfilled construction jobs since the Fed raised the federal funds rate and home building weakened. While home building employment was declining during the second half of 2025, other subsectors of the construction industry have expanded (e.g. data centers). This has produced volatility within a reduced range in the job openings series since 2024.

The construction job openings rate increased to 2.6% in March, down from the 3.3% rate estimated a year ago.

The layoff rate in construction declined slightly to 1.7% in March. The quits rate increased to 1.7% for the month.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

New Home Sales Rise, Supported by Limited Existing Inventory    – Eye On Housing

No Comments


The U.S. housing market showed mixed but generally improving conditions in March, as new home sales strengthened and price pressures continued to ease. While inventory dynamics varied across segments, moderating home prices and increased availability at the lower end of the market provided some relief to buyers navigating ongoing affordability challenges.

Sales of newly built single-family homes increased 7.4% month-over-month in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 682,000 units, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. This represented a 3.3% increase compared to a year earlier. A new home sale is recorded when a contract is signed, or a deposit is accepted, regardless of the stage of construction. The seasonally adjusted annual rate reflects the pace of sales that would occur over a 12-month period if current conditions persist.

New single-family home inventory totaled 481,000 units in March, down 0.4% from the prior month and 4.6% from a year earlier. At the current sales pace, the months’ supply of new homes stood at 8.5 months, down from 9.2 months one year ago, though still above the six-month level generally considered to indicate a balanced market.

Combined new and existing home inventory has edged higher in recent months, with the total months’ supply reaching 4.8 months. Meanwhile, inventory conditions in the existing home market have retreated after showing gradual improvement in prior months. Moderating prices across both markets have helped support buyer demand amid ongoing affordability concerns.

At the end of March, there were 119,000 completed, ready-to-occupy homes available for sale on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, up 5.3% from a year earlier. Completed homes accounted for one-quarter of total inventory, while homes under construction made up 51%. The remaining 24% of homes sold in March had not yet started construction at the time the sales contract was signed.

Home prices showed further signs of cooling at the start of 2026. The median new home sale price was $387,400, down 6.2% from a year ago, and 9.7% below the recent peak of $429,100 reached in December 2025. Affordability improved at the lower end of the market, with 20 percent of new homes priced below $300,000. Over a quarter (28%) of homes were priced above $500,000, while the remaining share fell within the $300,000 to $500,000 range.

Regionally, year-over-year new home sales increased 8.0% in the Midwest, reflecting ongoing strength in residential construction across the Midwestern states. New home sales declined 17.6% in the Northeast, 14.0% in the West and 2.6% in the South.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

Mortgage Rates Climb as Inflation Rebounds and Yields Rise – Eye On Housing

No Comments


Mortgage rates continued to increase in April as ceasefire negotiations remain inconclusive. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.34% in April, 16 basis points (bps) higher than March. The average 15-year rate also increased by 13 bps to 5.69%. Despite the recent increase, both rates remain lower than a year ago by 39 bps and 21 bps, respectively.

The 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for long-term borrowing, averaged 4.31%, up 7 bps from the previous month. Ongoing blockades in the Strait of Hormuz have kept oil prices above $100 per barrel. This has passed through to inflation which climbed to 3.3%, nearing a two-year high. Energy components led the increase with fuel oil prices rising 30.7% and gasoline up 21.2% in March.

At its latest meeting, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% as inflation remains elevated alongside continued economic expansion. Jerome Powell’s term as Chair will end next month but has announced that he will remain on the Board of Governors. Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s pick as the next Fed Chair, indicated during a Senate Banking Committee hearing a preference for alternative inflation measures, including “trimmed averages”, which removes outliers above and below a certain threshold. For example, by stripping out outsized swings like a 50.8% annualized drop in telecom equipment and a 384.6% jump in moving and freight services, the Dallas Fed’s trimmed-mean measure last February registered 2.3%, below the 2.8% headline PCE and 3.0% core PCE.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

New Home Sales Rise Year-Over-Year as Prices Stabilize – Eye On Housing

No Comments


The new home sector has played an increasingly important role in meeting housing demand as resale inventory remains constrained in many regions. The latest data released today (and delayed because of the government shutdown in fall of 2025) indicate that new single-family home sales continue to reflect a stabilizing market after a period of heightened volatility. While month-to-month activity shows some variability, sales remain stronger than a year ago, signaling that buyer interest in newly built homes has improved.

Sales of newly built single-family homes increased 18.7 percent year over year in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 737,000 units, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. This represented a modest 0.1 percent decline from September and a 1.2 percent decrease on a year-to-date basis. A new home sale is recorded when a contract is signed or a deposit is accepted, regardless of the stage of construction. The seasonally adjusted annual rate reflects the pace of sales that would occur over a 12-month period if current conditions persisted.

New single-family home inventory totaled 488,000 units in October, unchanged from the prior month and 1.7 percent higher than a year earlier. At the current sales pace, the months’ supply of new homes stood at 7.9, down from 9.3 months one year ago, though still above the six-month level that is generally considered balanced.

Combined new and existing home inventory has edged lower in recent months, with total months’ supply declining to 4.9, reflecting slower construction activity. Meanwhile, inventory conditions in the existing home market have shown gradual improvement, and moderating prices across both markets have helped support buyer demand amid ongoing affordability concerns.

By the end of October 2025, there were 124,000 completed, ready-to-occupy homes available for sale on a not seasonally adjusted basis, up 10.7 percent from a year earlier. Completed homes accounted for roughly one-quarter of total inventory, while homes under construction made up 51 percent. The remaining 24 percent of homes sold in October had not yet started construction at the time the sales contract was signed.

Home prices showed further signs of easing in October. The median new home sale price declined 3.3 percent to $392,300, marking an 8.0 percent decrease from a year ago. Affordability improved at the lower end of the market, with 25 percent of new homes priced below $300,000, the highest share in recent months. Thirty percent of homes were priced above $500,000, while the remaining 45 percent fell within the $300,000 to $500,000 range.

Regionally, year-to-date new home sales declined in three of the four regions, falling 0.1 percent in the Midwest, 7.2 percent in the West, and 22.9 percent in the Northeast. The South was the only region to post growth, with sales up 2.9 percent.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
In Research & Trends

Building Material Prices Continued to Rise in September – Eye On Housing

No Comments


Aggregate residential building material prices rose at their fastest pace since January 2023 in the latest Producer Price Index release from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Input energy prices increased for the first time in over a year, while service price growth remained lower than goods.

The Producer Price Index for final demand increased 0.3% in September, after falling 0.1% in August. The index for final demand goods increased 0.9% in September, the largest monthly increase since February 2024. Final demand energy prices were responsible for most of the goods index increase, as they rose 3.5% in September. This index for final demand for services was unchanged in September.

The price index for inputs to new residential construction rose 0.2% in September and was up 3.1% from last year. The price of goods inputs was up 0.1% over the month and 3.5% from last year, while prices for services were up 0.3% over the month and 2.5% from last year.

Input Goods

The goods component has a larger importance to the inputs to residential construction price index, representing around 60%. On a monthly basis, the price of input goods to new residential construction was up 0.1% in September.

The input goods to residential construction index can be further broken down into two separate components, one measuring energy inputs with the other measuring remaining goods. The latter of these two components simply represents building materials used in residential construction, which makes up around 93% of the goods index.

Energy input prices rose 1.0% in September and were 3.0% higher than one year ago. Building material prices were up 0.1% in September and up 3.5% compared to one year ago. The 3.5% year-over-year increase is the largest increase since the 4.9% experienced back in January 2023. Residential building material price inflation slowly accelerated over the year, after starting around 2.0%.

The largest year-over-year price changes continue to be parts for construction machinery and equipment, sold separately, up 41.3% compared to September of last year. Metal molding and trim prices are up 31.0% from last year. Ready-mix concrete, a key input to new residential construction, has shown little price growth in 2025, up only 0.4% from last year. Additionally, softwood lumber prices were down 2.3% in September from last year. Lumber prices have experienced declines over the past few months despite higher tariffs now in place. Ongoing weaknesses during 2025 in new residential construction have led to an acute oversupply of lumber on the market, with demand below expectations.

Input Services

Prices for service inputs to residential construction reported an increase of 0.3% in September. On a year-over-year basis, service input prices were up 2.5%. The price index for service inputs to residential construction can be broken out into three separate components: a trade services component, a transportation and warehousing services component, and a services excluding trade, transportation and warehousing component (other services).

 The most significant component is trade services (around 60%), followed by other services (around 29%), and finally transportation and warehousing services (around 11%). The largest component, trade services, was up 3.1% from a year ago. The other services component was up 1.3% over the year.  Lastly, prices for transportation and warehousing services rose 2.6% compared to August of last year.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

Read More
By
Load More
Pin It