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Mortgage Activity Flat in June, ARM Share Decreases – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage applications stalled in June as higher mortgage rates dampened market activity. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, stayed relatively unchanged with a marginal decrease of 0.3% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis. The decline was driven by a 2.5% decline in refinancing applications, which offset a modest 0.7% gain in purchase applications. Compared with a year earlier, however, total mortgage application activity remained 7.9% higher, with refinance applications up 15.6% and purchase applications rising 3.1%. Meanwhile, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) decreased 9.4% over the month, bringing the ARM share of total applications to 8.2%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 5 basis points (bps) to 6.59% in June, as markets priced in inflation risks and the possibility of the Federal Reserve increasing rates this year. Nonetheless, the rate remained 27 bps lower than its level a year ago.

By loan type, applications for ARMs decreased 9.4%, while fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) increased about 0.4% from the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, applications for FRM and ARMs were up 6.9% and 22.4%, respectively. As of June 2026, the share of ARMs applications was down 0.8 percentage points from the prior month to 8.2% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis (NSA). Compared to a year ago, ARMs share were 0.6 percentage points higher. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.8% in June.

Loan sizes decreased across most categories in June, with ARM loans being the only exception. Consequently, the overall average loan size declined 3.4% to $393,800. The average purchase and refinance loan sizes decreased 1.8% to $456,500, and 5.8% to $302,500, respectively. The average ARM loan size edged up 0.8% to $944,800.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Mortgage Rates Increased in June as Markets Weigh Inflation and Fed Policy – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage rates continued to increase in June as markets priced in a rate hike due to high inflation and stronger-than-expected labor market. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.49% in June, up 8 basis points (bps) over May. Since the conflict in the Middle East began, the 30-year mortgage rate has increased by 44 basis points. The average 15-year rate averaged 5.82% in June, up 8 bps from May, and up 39 basis points since the end of February. Even so, both rates remain lower than a year ago by 33 bps and 13 bps, respectively.

The 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for long-term borrowing, held steady at an average of 4.48% in June. The 10-year yield surpassed 4.5% in the second week of the month following reports of persistent high inflation and a surprisingly resilient labor market. Furthermore, the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting revealed that nine out of 18 Fed officials indicated at least one rate hike within the year.

Nonetheless, the 10-year Treasury yield eased later in the month, ending June at around 4.44%, as the United States and Iran reached a preliminary agreement and signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU). The agreement temporarily reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping on a “toll-free” basis through mid-August to facilitate further negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Mortgage Applications Retreat in May, with ARMs Gaining Share – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage application activity declined again in May as higher mortgage rates continued to suppress the market, although adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) gained some traction. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, applications fell 5.5% month-over-month in May on a seasonally adjusted basis. The decline was driven by refinance activity, which dropped 12.3% over the month, while purchase applications posted a modest 1.8% increase. Compared with a year earlier, however, total mortgage application activity remained 14.2% higher, with refinance applications up 26.4% and purchase applications rising 6.2%. Meanwhile, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) rose 3.1% over the month, nudging the ARM share of total applications up to 9.0%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 13 basis points (bps) to 6.54% in May, as conflict in Iran pushed Treasury yields higher. Nonetheless, the rate remained 36 bps lower than its level a year ago. As borrowing costs moved up, borrowers showed some renewed interest in ARMs, which can offer lower initial rates than fixed-rate loans.

By loan type, applications for ARMs increased 3.0%, while fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) decreased about 6.1% from the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, applications for FRM and ARMs were up 12.4% and 38.2%, respectively. As of May 2026, ARMs applications, including both purchase and refinance loans, accounted for 9.0% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, up 0.7 percentage points from the prior month and 1.5 percentage points a year earlier. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.7% in April.

Loan sizes increased across most categories in May, with refinance loans being the main exception. Consequently, the overall average loan size edged up 2.5% to $407,600. The average purchase loan size increased 2.2% to $465,000, while the average refinance loan size declined 1.5% to $321,000. The average ARM loan size edged up, decreasing 1.9% to $937,200.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Mortgage Rates Increase Further as Inflation Remains Elevated – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage rates continued to increase in May as inflation accelerated. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.41% in May, up 7 basis points (bps) over April. Since the conflict in the Middle East began, the 30-year mortgage rate has increased by 36 basis points. The average 15-year rate averaged 5.76% in May, up 7 bps from April, and up 33 basis points since the end of February. Even so, both rates remain lower than a year ago by 41 bps and 19 bps, respectively.

The 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for long-term borrowing, averaged 4.47% in May, 16 bps higher than the previous month. Stronger-than-expected inflation pushed yields upward, with the 10-year yield reaching as high as 4.6% during the month. Rising energy prices kept inflation high, as fuel oil prices increased 5.8% and gasoline prices rose 5.4%.

Persistently high inflation has also strained household budgets. As people used more of their disposable income or drew down on savings to cover everyday expenses, the personal saving rate fell to 2.6% in April. The rate was the lowest since June 2022 when CPI was at its peak.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Mortgage Applications Retreats Further in April – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage application activity decreased month-over-month as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, declined 12.4% month-over-month in April on a seasonally adjusted basis. However, overall activity remained 14.2% higher than a year earlier. Applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) also fell 12.4% month-over-month, while the ARM share of total applications was unchanged at 8.3%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased four basis points (bps) to 6.41% as the conflict in Iran pushed yields higher. Nonetheless, the rate remained 39 bps lower than its level a year ago. Refinance applications fell sharply by 23.5% from March, while purchase applications held steady. Relative to April 2025, refinance and purchase activities were up 24.5% and 5.7%, respectively.

By loan type, applications for both adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) and fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) decreased approximately 12.4% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, FRM applications were up 13.9%, while ARM applications rose 13.2%. As of April 2026, ARMs applications, including both purchase and refinance loans, accounted for 8.3% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, unchanged from the prior month and a year earlier. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.6% in April.

Loan sizes declined across all categories except purchase loans in April, edging the overall average loan size down 0.9% to $397,800. The average purchase loan size increased marginally by 0.9% to $454,800, while the average refinance loan size fell 7.1% to $326,000. The average ARM loan size declined 1.1% to $919,500.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Mortgage Rates Climb as Inflation Rebounds and Yields Rise – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage rates continued to increase in April as ceasefire negotiations remain inconclusive. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.34% in April, 16 basis points (bps) higher than March. The average 15-year rate also increased by 13 bps to 5.69%. Despite the recent increase, both rates remain lower than a year ago by 39 bps and 21 bps, respectively.

The 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for long-term borrowing, averaged 4.31%, up 7 bps from the previous month. Ongoing blockades in the Strait of Hormuz have kept oil prices above $100 per barrel. This has passed through to inflation which climbed to 3.3%, nearing a two-year high. Energy components led the increase with fuel oil prices rising 30.7% and gasoline up 21.2% in March.

At its latest meeting, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75% as inflation remains elevated alongside continued economic expansion. Jerome Powell’s term as Chair will end next month but has announced that he will remain on the Board of Governors. Kevin Warsh, President Trump’s pick as the next Fed Chair, indicated during a Senate Banking Committee hearing a preference for alternative inflation measures, including “trimmed averages”, which removes outliers above and below a certain threshold. For example, by stripping out outsized swings like a 50.8% annualized drop in telecom equipment and a 384.6% jump in moving and freight services, the Dallas Fed’s trimmed-mean measure last February registered 2.3%, below the 2.8% headline PCE and 3.0% core PCE.



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Rising Rates Weigh on Mortgage Activity – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage application activity decreased month-over-month as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, declined 4.3% from February on a seasonally adjusted basis but remained 30.8% higher than a year earlier. Applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) also decreased 4.5% month-over-month, while their share of total applications was unchanged at 8.3%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 13 basis points (bps) to 6.37%, setting back the improvement seen over the last five months. Nonetheless, the rate remained 33 bps lower than its level a year ago. The increase in mortgage rates diminished refinance activity, which fell 11.4%. Purchase applications, on the other hand, increased 6.4%, driven by growth in both FHA and VA segments. Relative to March 2025, refinance and purchase activities were up 60.4% and 6.4%, respectively.

By loan type, applications for both adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) and fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) both decreased 4.5% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, FRM applications were up 28.6%, while ARM applications rose 62.4%. As of March 2026, ARMs applications–including both purchase and refinance loans–accounted for 8.3% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, unchanged from last month and 1.6 percentage points higher than a year earlier. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.6% in March.

Loan sizes declined across all categories except purchase loans in March, pulling the overall average loan size down 3.3% to $401,300. The average purchase loan size rose 1.0% to $450,800, while the average refinance loan size fell 10.4% to $351,000. The average ARM loan size declined 4.0% to $929,500.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Iran Conflict Reverses Decline in Mortgage Rates – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage rates, which dipped below 6% in February, climbed back up to end the month just under 6.4%. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.18% in March, 13 points (bps) higher than February. The average 15-year rate also increased by the same amount to 5.56%. Despite the recent increase, both rates remain lower than a year ago by 47 bps and 27 bps, respectively.

The rebound in mortgage rates was driven primarily by movements in the 10-year Treasury yield, which jumped 11 bps to 4.24% as tensions in the Middle East escalated. The ongoing Iran conflict has disrupted oil markets, pushing oil prices higher and reigniting fears that inflation could pick up again.

Amid this uncertainty, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rates unchanged at 3.5% to 3.75%. They revised their inflation expectations higher from 2.4% last December to 2.7% but maintained that one rate cut is still possible in 2026.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Lower Mortgage Rates Boost Refinancing While Purchase Activity Slows – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage application activity increased month-over-month as the 30-year fixed mortgage rates reached a three-year low. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, increased 1.5% from January on a seasonally adjusted basis and was 56.3% higher than a year earlier.  The data also indicated a rising adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share, increasing from 5.7% of mortgages to 8.3% over the past year.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed mortgage rates declined a further seven basis points (bps) to 6.14%, tracking the decline in the 10-year treasury yield. Compared with February 2025, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 73 bps lower. The decline in mortgage rates supported the continued strength in refinancing activity, which increased 11.3%. On the other hand, purchase applications decreased 12.3% as tight existing-home inventory and winter storms dampened home-buying activity. Relative to February 2025, refinance and purchase activities are up 121.1% and 9.0%, respectively.

By loan type, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) increased 18.0% month-over-month while fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) held steady. On a year-over-year basis, FRM applications were up 51.8%, while ARM applications more than doubled, rising 129.9%. As of February 2026, ARMs accounted for an average of 8.3% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, up 1.2 percentage points from January and 2.6 percentage points higher than a year earlier.

Loan sizes across all loan types increased in February with the total market increasing by 3.2% to $414,800. Average purchase loan sizes increased 2.5% to $446,300, while the refinance loan size increased by 3.7% to $391,800. The average ARM loan size climbed 4.6% to $968,300.



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Mortgage Rates Dipped Below 6% in February Amid Treasury Rally – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage rates continued to decline in February, dipping below 6% in the last week of February. According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.05% last month, 5 basis points (bps) lower than January. Meanwhile, the average 15-year rate declined only a basis point to 5.43%. Compared to a year ago, the 30-year and 15-year rates are lower by 79 bps and 60 bps, respectively.

The 10-year Treasury yield, a key benchmark for long-term borrowing, held relatively steady for most of February with an average 4.18% – a marginal decrease of 2 bps from the previous month. However, yields fell significantly in the final week of February as investors moved to secure U.S. Treasuries amid rising risk aversion in corporate credit markets, widening the spread between corporate bond yields and U.S. Treasuries. Investor concerns centered on the large capital expenditures by major technology firms to finance artificial intelligence infrastructure, much of which has been funded through corporate bond issuance, contributing to rising debt levels among these “hyperscalers”.

Following the recent escalation of conflict in the Middle East, the 10-year Treasury yield has shown signs of reversing course. Investors are closely monitoring how protracted the conflict may become and its potential implications for global energy markets. If oil prices rise significantly or remain elevated, inflation pressures could intensify, potentially pushing Treasury yields higher.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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