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Private residential construction spending fell by 0.7% in June, marking the sixth straight month of decreases. This decline was primarily driven by reduced spending on single-family construction. Compared to a year ago, total spending was down 6.2%, as the housing sector continues to navigate the economic uncertainty stemming from ongoing tariff concerns and elevated mortgage rates. 

According to the latest U.S. Census Construction Spending data, single-family construction spending declined by 1.8% in June. This decrease aligns with the weak single-family starts in June and the third lowest reading of NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) since 2012. Compared to a year ago, single-family construction spending decreased by 5.3%. Meanwhile, multifamily construction spending stayed flat for the month but continued to follow the downward trend that began in mid-2023. Compared to June 2024, multifamily spending was down 9.5%. Improvement spending (remodeling) was up 0.5% in June but was 6.1% lower on a year-over-year basis.  

The NAHB construction spending index is shown in the graph below. The index illustrates how   spending on single-family construction has slowed since early 2024 under the pressure of elevated interest rates and concerns over building material tariffs. Multifamily construction spending growth has also slowed down after the peak in July 2023. Additionally, improvement spending has been weakening since the beginning of 2025.

 

Meanwhile, spending on private nonresidential construction was down 4% over a year ago. The annual private nonresidential spending decrease was primarily driven by a $14.7 billion drop in the manufacturing category, followed by a $13.7 billion decrease in commercial construction spending.

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Personal income increased by 0.3% in June, following a 0.4% dip in May, according to the latest data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis. The gains in personal income were largely driven by higher wages and social benefits. However, the pace of personal income growth slowed from its peak monthly gain of 1.4% in January 2024.  

Real disposable income, the amount remaining after adjusted for taxes and inflation, was unchanged in June, following a 0.7% decline in May. On a year-over-year basis, real (inflation-adjusted) disposable income rose 1.7%, down from a 6.5% year-over-year peak recorded in June 2023.  

Spending also showed signs of softening. Personal consumption expenditures rose 0.3% in June, after staying flat in May. Real spending, adjusted to remove inflation, increased 0.1% in June, with expenditures on goods climbing 0.1% and spending on services up 0.1%.

 

With income growth outpacing spending, the personal savings rate increased to 4.5% in June. But with inflation eroding compensation gains, people are dipping into savings to support spending. This trend will ultimately lead to a slowing of consumer spending. 

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The count of open, unfilled positions in the construction industry held steady amid a slowdown for housing, per the June Bureau of Labor Statistics Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).

The number of open jobs for the overall economy decreased slightly from 7.71 million in May to 7.44 million in June. This is about equal to the 7.41 million estimate reported a year ago but reflects a softened aggregate labor market.

Previous NAHB analysis indicated that this number had to fall below 8 million on a sustained basis for the Federal Reserve to move forward on interest rate reductions. With estimates remaining below 8 million for national job openings, the Fed, in theory, should be able to cut further despite a recent pause. There is growing pressure on the Fed to do so.

The number of open construction sector jobs was effectively unchanged from a revised 232,000 in May to 246,000 in June. This nonetheless marks a reduction of open, unfilled construction jobs than that registered a year ago (285,000) due to a slowing of construction/housing activity. The chart below notes the recent decline for the construction job openings rate, which is now near the lows of 2019.

The construction job openings rate ticked up to 2.9% in June, although it is significantly lower year-over-year from 3.4%.

The layoff rate in construction held at 2% in June. The quits rate declined to 1.9% in June, up from 1.6% from a year ago.

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Nonfarm payroll employment increased in 27 states in June compared to the previous month, while employment decreased in 23 states and the District of Columbia. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nationwide total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 147,000 in June following a gain of 144,000 jobs in May.

On a month-over-month basis, employment data was most favorable in Ohio, which added 10,400 jobs. Illinois came in second (+9,400), followed by Georgia (+9,100). Meanwhile, a total of 108,700 jobs were lost across 23 states and the District of Columbia, with Florida reporting the steepest job losses at 20,000. In percentage terms, employment increased the highest in Alaska at 0.9%, while Rhode Island saw the biggest decline at 0.5% between May and June.

Year-over-year ending in June, 1.8 million jobs have been added to the labor market, which is a 1.1% increase compared to the June 2024 level. The range of job gains spanned from 2,800 jobs in Vermont to 198,300 jobs in Texas. Four states and the District of Columbia lost a total of 14,400 jobs in the past 12 months, with Iowa reporting the steepest job losses at 6,800. In percentage terms, the range of job growth spanned 0.1% in Massachusetts to 2.9% in South Carolina. The range of job losses in Maine, Rhode Island, Montana, Iowa, and The District of Columbia spanned 0.1%-0.8%.

Construction Employment
Across the nation, construction sector jobs data —which includes both residential and non-residential construction—showed that 21 states reported an increase in June compared to May, while 26 states and the District of Columbia lost construction sector jobs. The three remaining states, Hawaii, Mississippi, and New Hampshire, reported no change on a month-over-month basis. California, with the highest increase, added 3,800 construction jobs, while Texas, on the other end of the spectrum, lost 4,100 jobs. Overall, the construction industry added a net 15,000 jobs in June compared to the previous month. In percentage terms, Montana reported the highest increase at 1.9% and South Dakota reported the largest decline at 1.6%.

Year-over-year, construction sector jobs in the U.S. increased by 121,000, which is a 1.5% increase compared to the June 2024 level. Texas added 20,900 jobs, which was the largest gain of any state, while Washington lost 11,300 construction sector jobs. In percentage terms, New Mexico had the highest annual growth rate in the construction sector at 14.8%. During this period, Washington reported the largest decline of 5.0%.

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Single-family housing starts declined in June to the lowest rate since July 2024 as elevated interest rates, rising inventories and ongoing supply-side issues continue to act as headwinds for the housing sector.

Due to a solid increase in multifamily production, overall housing starts increased 4.6% in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.32 million units, according to a report from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau.

The June reading of 1.32 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if development kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts decreased 4.6% to an 883,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate and are down 10% compared to June 2024. The multifamily sector, which includes apartment buildings and condos, increased 30% to an annualized 438,000 pace.

Single-family building conditions continued to weaken in June as housing affordability challenges caused builder traffic to move lower as buyers moved to the sidelines. Rising levels of resale inventory are also a headwind for the industry.

Single-family home building in the South is down 12.4% on a year-to-date basis, far outpacing declines in the Northeast and the West. However, single-family home building is up 10% on a year-to-date basis in the Midwest, where housing affordability conditions are generally better than much of the nation.

On a regional and year-to-date basis, combined single-family and multifamily starts were 28.8% higher in the Northeast, 13.1% higher in the Midwest, 8.1% lower in the South and 0.6% lower in the West.

Overall permits increased 0.2% to a 1.40-million-unit annualized rate in June. Single-family permits decreased 3.7% to an 866,000-unit rate and are down 8.4% compared to June 2024. Multifamily permits increased 7.3% to a 531,000 pace.

Looking at regional permit data on a year-to-date basis, permits were 16.9% lower in the Northeast, 8.2% higher in the Midwest, 3.3% lower in the South and 3.7% lower in the West.

The declines for single-family home building have caused the number of single-family homes under construction to level off. There are currently 622,000 single-family homes under construction, which is 6% lower than a year ago. The number of apartments under construction in June, 739,000, is 18.8% lower than a year ago.

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Mortgage application activity picked up in June, supported by a slight decline in interest rates. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, which tracks mortgage application volume, rose 5.4% from May on a seasonally adjusted basis. Compared to June 2024, total applications were up 21.1%.

The average contract rate for 30-year fixed mortgages edged down by 4 basis points to 6.86%. In response, purchase applications increased 3.7% month-over-month, while refinance activity climbed 6.5%. On a year-over-year basis, the 30-year rate was 12 basis points lower, with purchase and refinance applications up 15.2% and 30.3%, respectively.

Loan sizes continued to trend lower. The average loan amount across all loan types declined 2% to $383,000. Purchase loans edged down 0.9% to $439,800, and refinance loans decreased 1.8% to $290,500. Adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) loan sizes dropped 3.1% to $1.03 million. 

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The U.S. labor market continued to show resilience in June, with steady job gains led by state/local government and health care sectors. The unemployment rate edged down to 4.1%, signaling ongoing strength in hiring despite persistent economic uncertainty. However, there were some indications that the headline number overstated the health of the labor market, including slowing wage growth and much of the job gains concentrated in state/local government.

In June, wage growth slowed. Year-over-year, wages grew at a 3.7% rate, down 0.1 percentage point from the previous month. Wage growth has been outpacing inflation for nearly two years, which typically occurs as productivity increases.

National Employment

According to the Employment Situation Summary reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 147,000 in June, following an upwardly revised increase of 144,000 jobs in May. Since January 2021, the U.S. job market has seen 54 consecutive months of job growth, making the third-longest period of employment expansion on record. In 2025, monthly employment growth has averaged 124,000, compared with the 168,000 monthly average gain for 2024.

The estimates for the previous two months were revised upward. The monthly change in total nonfarm payroll employment for April was revised up by 11,000 from +147,000 to +158,000, while the change for May was revised up by 30,000 from +139,000 to +144,000. Combined, the revisions were 16,000 higher than previously reported.

The unemployment rate declined to 4.1% in June. The June decrease in the unemployment rate reflected the decrease in the number of persons unemployed (-222,000) and the increase in the number of persons employed (93,000).

Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate—the proportion of the population either looking for a job or already holding a job—decreased by one percentage point to 62.3%. This remains below its pre-pandemic level of 63.3% recorded at the beginning of 2020. Among individuals aged 25 to 54, the participation rate rose by one percentage point to 83.5%. However, the rate for the prime working-age group (25 to 54) has been trending downward since reaching a peak of 83.9% last summer.

In June, job gains occurred in state/local government and health care. State/local government posted a large 80,000 combined net job gain for June, while the health care sector added 39,000 jobs, with the largest increases occurring in hospitals and in nursing and residential care facilities. In contrast, the federal government continued to experience job losses, shedding 7,000 positions in June and a total of 69,000 since January 2025, reflecting the effects of government cutbacks. The BLS notes that “employees on paid leave or receiving ongoing severance pay are counted as employed in the establishment survey.”

Construction Employment

Employment in the overall construction sector rose by 15,000 in June, following an upwardly revised gain of 6,000 in May. While residential construction gained 5,500 jobs, non-residential construction employment added 9,200 jobs during the month.

Residential construction employment now stands at 3.3 million in June, broken down as 959,000 builders and 2.4 million residential specialty trade contractors. The six-month moving average of job gains for residential construction was -1,833 a month, reflecting the three months of job losses recorded over the past six months, specifically in January, March, and May of 2025. Over the last 12 months, home builders and remodelers experienced a net loss of 1,400 jobs, marking the second annual decline since September 2020. Since the low point following the Great Recession, residential construction has gained 1,360,600 positions.

In June, the unemployment rate for construction workers declined to 3.5% on a seasonally adjusted basis. The unemployment rate for construction workers has remained at a relatively lower level, after reaching 15.3% in April 2020 due to the housing demand impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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After a strong rebound in May, consumer confidence resumed its downward trend in June. Consumers remain concerned about the economy and labor market amid ongoing uncertainty, especially around tariffs. This month’s decline erased almost half of last month’s sharp gain, suggesting continued volatility in consumer sentiment.

The Consumer Confidence Index, reported by the Conference Board, is a survey measuring how optimistic or pessimistic consumers feel about their financial situation. This index fell from 98.4 to 93.0 in June, the second lowest level since February of 2021. The Consumer Confidence Index consists of two components: how consumers feel about their present situation and their expected situation. In June, the Present Situation Index decreased 6.4 points from 135.5 to 129.1, the lowest since October 2024; and the Expectation Situation Index dropped 4.6 points from 73.6 to 69.0. This is the fifth consecutive month that the Expectation Index has been below 80, a threshold that often signals a recession within a year.

Consumers’ assessment of current business conditions turned negative in June. The share of respondents rating business conditions “good” decreased by 2.4 percentage points to 19.0%, while those claiming business conditions as “bad” rose by 1.6 percentage points to 15.3%. Meanwhile, consumers’ assessments of the labor market cooled somewhat in June. The share of respondents reporting that jobs were “plentiful” fell by 1.9 percentage points at 29.2%; meanwhile, those who saw jobs as “hard to get” decreased by only 0.3 percentage points to 18.1%.

Consumers were more pessimistic about the short-term outlook. The share of respondents expecting business conditions to improve fell from 19.9% to 16.7%, while those expecting business conditions to deteriorate declined from 25.4% to 24.0%. Similarly, expectations of employment over the next six months were more negative. The share of respondents expecting “more jobs” decreased by 3.2 percentage points to 15.4%, and those anticipating “fewer jobs” fell by 0.3 percentage points to 25.9%.

The Conference Board also reported the share of respondents planning to buy a home within six months. The share of respondents planning to buy a home fell slightly to 5.9% in June. Of those, respondents planning to buy a newly constructed home decreased to 0.2%, and those planning to buy an existing home dropped to 3.2%. The remaining 2.0% were planning to buy a home but were undecided between new or existing homes.

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CG&S Design-BuildSave Photo
15. Give your garage or shed a clean-out. Since you’ll likely be spending more time in your outdoor spaces during the summer, it’s a good idea to take some time at the start of the season to clear out space in your storage area. Take old paint cans to a hazardous waste drop-off point, sell or give away items you no longer want and organize what’s left into zones of use: garden tools and supplies, outdoor adventures and sports gear, and household tools.

16. Get seasonal gear ready. What with camping and beach trips, summertime activities come with a lot of gear. Get it cleaned up and ready now, so you’re not surprised by a leaky tent or blown-out beach umbrella when it’s too late to replace them. And if you plan to waterproof anything (tents or outdoor tablecloths, for example), now is the time.

How to Store Your Outdoor Gear for Summer and All Year



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Over the first half of 2024, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 514,728. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is an increase of 14.6% over the June 2023 level of 449,226.

Year-to-date ending in June, single-family permits were up in all four regions. The range of permit increases spanned 19.9% in the West to 8.2% in the Northeast. The Midwest was up by 15.8% and the South was up by 13.2% in single-family permits during this time. For multifamily permits, three out of the four regions posted declines. The Northeast, the only region to post an increase, was up by 29.7%. Meanwhile the West posted a decline of 32.0%, the South declined by 24.4%, and the Midwest declined by 12.5%.

Between June 2024 YTD and June 2023 YTD, 47 states posted an increase in single-family permits. The range of increases spanned 44.3% in Arizona to 3.0% in Alaska. Rhode Island (-0.3%), New Hampshire (-1.3%), Hawaii (-6.8%), and the District of Columbia (-9.0%) reported declines in single-family permits.The ten states issuing the highest number of single-family permits combined accounted for 64.2% of the total single-family permits issued. Texas, the state with the highest number of single-family permits, issued 84,920 permits over the first half of 2024, which is an increase of 18.2% compared to the same period last year. The succeeding highest state, Florida, was up by 9.2%, while the third highest, North Carolina, posted an increase of 10.6%.

Year-to-date ending in June, the total number of multifamily permits issued nationwide reached 237,935. This is 18.9% below the June 2023 level of 293,301.

Between June 2024 YTD and June 2023 YTD, 19 states recorded growth in multifamily permits, while 31 states and the District of Columbia recorded a decline. New York (+109.8%) led the way with a sharp rise in multifamily permits from 8,943 to 18,761, while the District of Columbia had the biggest decline of 71.0% from 1,677 to 487. The ten states issuing the highest number of multifamily permits combined accounted for 64.3% of the multifamily permits issued. Over the first half of 2024, Texas, the state with the highest number of multifamily permits issued, experienced a decline of 35.2%. Following closely, the second-highest state in multifamily permits, Florida, saw a decline of 24.1%. California, the third largest multifamily issuing state, decreased by 29.8%.

At the local level, below are the top ten metro areas that issued the highest number of single-family permits.

For multifamily permits, below are the top ten local areas that issued the highest number of permits.

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