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June Single-Family Permits Slumps, Multifamily Gains

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Single-family housing permits continued a downhill trend for the sixth month in a row. The continuous decline in single-family permits highlights persistently weak housing demand, tied to affordability challenges like high mortgage rates. Builders appear cautious amid economic uncertainty, labor constraints, and rising inventories. The uptick in multi-family permits suggests a potentially stabilizing trend, though it’s important to note its volatility. The housing market’s mixed signals—weak single-family coupled with some resilience in multi-family—could mean continued drag on residential investment and the broader economy this year.

Over the first six months of 2025, the total number of single-family permits issued year-to-date (YTD) nationwide reached 485,935. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, this is a decline of 5.6% over the June 2024 level of 514,728. For multifamily, the total number of permits issued nationwide reached 244,812. This is 2.9% higher compared to the June 2024 level of 237,935.

Year-to-date ending in June, single-family permits were up in one out of the four regions. The Midwest posted a small increase of 1.8%. The Northeast was 1.7% lower, the South was down by 6.5%, and the West was down by 8.1% in single-family permits during this time. For multifamily permits, three out of the four regions posted increases. The Midwest was up by 22.4%, the West was up by 8.0%, and the South was up by 7.1%, Meanwhile, the Northeast declined steeply by 30.0%, driven by the New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ MSA which declined by 40.0%.

Between June 2025 YTD and June 2024 YTD, 15 states posted an increase in single-family permits. The range of increases spanned 19.9% in Hawaii to 0.2% in Kentucky. The remaining 35 states and the District of Columbia reported declines in single-family permits with the District of Columbia reporting the steepest decline of 24.2%.

The ten states issuing the highest number of single-family permits combined accounted for 63.0% of the total single-family permits issued. Texas, the state with the highest number of single-family permits, issued 78,104 permits over the first six months of 2025; this is a decline of 8.0% compared to the same period last year. The second highest state, Florida, decreased by 10.6%, while the third highest, North Carolina, posted a decline of 0.9%.

Between June 2025 YTD and June 2024 YTD, 29 states recorded growth in multifamily permits, while 21 states and the District of Columbia recorded a decline. Iowa (+165.5%) led the way with a sharp rise in multifamily permits from 1,178 to 3,128, while Alabama had the largest decline of 49.6% from 1,788 to 901.

The ten states issuing the highest number of multifamily permits combined accounted for 61.8% of the multifamily permits issued. Over the first six months of 2025, Florida, the state with the highest number of multifamily permits issued, experienced an increase of 25.0%. Texas, the second-highest state in multifamily permits, saw an increase of 14.1%. California, the third largest multifamily issuing state, increased by 11.5%.

At the local level, below are the top ten metro areas that issued the highest number of single-family permits.

For multifamily permits, below are the top ten local areas that issued the highest number of permits.

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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In Home Improvement

Bathroom of the Week: Colonial-Style Home Gains Spacious En Suite

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When this Wisconsin couple settled into their 1960s Colonial-style home tucked into a quiet wooded neighborhood, they knew the existing 70-square-foot second-floor primary bathroom wasn’t going to meet their long-term needs. To achieve the spa-like en suite they envisioned, they turned to Cor Improvements and design director Jim Pitzen, who reimagined the layout by converting a bedroom into a spacious 170-square-foot bath.

The transformation includes two vanities, a freestanding claw-foot tub, a walk-in shower and a water closet — all in a welcoming blue-and-white palette with classic details that honor the home’s roots. The update also added a walk-in closet and an adjacent laundry room, creating a highly functional layout tailored for comfort and ease.



This article was originally published by a www.houzz.com . Read the Original article here. .

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In Research & Trends

Gains for Multifamily Missing Middle over Last Year

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The missing middle construction sector includes development of medium-density housing, such as townhouses, duplexes and other small multifamily properties.

The multifamily segment of the missing middle (apartments in 2- to 4-unit properties) has generally disappointed since the Great Recession. However, there has been a noticeable uptick for this type of housing construction in recent data. For the first quarter of 2025, there were 5,000 2- to 4-unit housing unit construction starts. This is flat relative to the first quarter of 2024.

However, over the last four quarters this type of construction totaled 23,000 units, up 53% over the four quarters prior to that period.

As a share of all multifamily production, 2- to 4-unit development was just above 6% of total multifamily development for the first quarter. However this is still lower than recent historic trends. From 2000 to 2010, such home construction made up a little less than 11% of total multifamily construction.

Construction of the missing middle has clearly lagged during the post-Great Recession period and will continue to do so without zoning reform focused on light-touch density. But recent data offer hope for additional housing supply for these kind of homes.

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Slight Gains for Townhouse Construction

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Townhouse construction expanded more than 2 percent on a year-over-year basis per data from the first quarter of 2025.

According to NAHB analysis of the most recent Census data of Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, during the first quarter of 2025, single-family attached starts totaled 43,000. Over the last four quarters, townhouse construction starts totaled a strong 175,000 homes, which is 2% higher than the prior four-quarter period (171,000). Townhouses made up 19% of single-family housing starts for the first quarter of the year, near a data series high.

Using a one-year moving average, the market share of newly-built townhouses stood at 17.6% of all single-family starts for the first quarter. With recent gains, the four-quarter moving average market share is the highest on record, for data going back to 1985.

Prior to the current cycle, the peak market share of the last two decades for townhouse construction was set during the first quarter of 2008, when the percentage reached 14.6% on a one-year moving average basis. This high point was set after a fairly consistent increase in the share beginning in the early 1990s.

The long-run prospects for townhouse construction are positive given growing numbers of homebuyers looking for medium-density residential neighborhoods, such as urban villages that offer walkable environments and other amenities. Where it can be zoned, it can be built.

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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In Research & Trends

Solid Job Gains in February

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The U.S. job market continued to grow at a solid pace in February, with the unemployment rate edging up slightly to 4.1%. The labor market remains healthy overall, but there are signs of potential weakness in the coming months, driven by mass federal government layoffs and ongoing policy uncertainty.

This month’s jobs report may not fully reflect the impact of these layoffs in both the federal government and private sector, as the reference period for the monthly jobs report only covers the pay period that includes the 12th of the month. In fact, government job losses totaled only 10,000 workers for the February report.

In February, wage growth accelerated. Year-over-year, wages grew at a 4.0% rate, down 0.1 percentage points from a year ago. Wage growth has been outpacing inflation for nearly two years, which typically occurs as productivity increases.

National Employment

According to the Employment Situation Summary reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 151,000 in February, following a downwardly revised increase of 125,000 jobs in January. Since January 2021, the U.S. job market has added jobs for 50 consecutive months, making it the third-longest period of employment expansion on record.

The estimates for the previous two months were revised. The monthly change in total nonfarm payroll employment for December was revised up by 16,000 from +307,000 to +323,000, while the change for January was revised down by 18,000 from +143,000 to +125,000. Combined, the revisions were 2,000 lower than previously reported.

The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in February. While the number of employed persons decreased by 588,000, the number of unemployed persons increased by 203,000.

Meanwhile, the labor force participation rate—the proportion of the population either looking for a job or already holding a job—decreased two percentage points to 62.4%. For people aged between 25 and 54, the participation rate remained unchanged, at 83.5%. While the overall labor force participation rate remains below its pre-pandemic levels of 63.3% at the beginning of 2020, the rate for people aged between 25 and 54 exceeds the pre-pandemic level of 83.1%.

In February, employment rose in several sectors, including health care (+52,000), financial activities (+21,000), transportation and warehousing (+18,000), and social assistance (+11,000). However, within the government sector, federal government employment saw a decline of 10,000, marking the worst month of federal government net hiring since June 2022.

Construction Employment

Employment in the overall construction sector increased by 19,000 in February, after a 2,000 gain in January. While residential construction gained 12,700 jobs, non-residential construction employment added 6,200 jobs for the month.

Residential construction employment now stands at 3.4 million in February, broken down as 955,000 builders and 2.4 million residential specialty trade contractors. The 6-month moving average of job gains for residential construction was 2,600 a month. Over the last 12 months, home builders and remodelers added 50,500 jobs on a net basis. Since the low point following the Great Recession, residential construction has gained 1,387,000 positions.

In February, the unemployment rate for construction workers rose to 5.3% on a seasonally adjusted basis. The unemployment rate for construction workers has remained at a relatively lower level, after reaching 15.3% in April 2020 due to the housing demand impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.

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In Research & Trends

Gains for Custom Home Building

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NAHB’s analysis of Census Data from the Quarterly Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design survey indicates gains for custom home builders after a period slight softening of market share. The custom building market is less sensitive to the interest rate cycle than other forms of home building.

There were 47,000 total custom building starts during the fourth quarter of 2024. This marks a 7% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2023. Over the last four quarters (2024 as a whole), custom housing starts totaled 181,000 homes, just below a 2% increase compared to the prior four quarter total (178,000 in 2023).

Currently, the market share of custom home building, based on a one-year moving average, is approximately 18% of total single-family starts. This is down from a prior cycle peak of 31.5% set during the second quarter of 2009 and the 21% local peak rate at the beginning of 2023, after which spec home building gained market share.

Note that this definition of custom home building does not include homes intended for sale, so the analysis in this post uses a narrow definition of the sector. It represents home construction undertaken on a contract basis for which the builder does not hold tax basis in the structure during construction.

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In Home Improvement

Yard of the Week: Craftsman-Style Home Gains a Lovely Landscape

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Nearing retirement, this Vienna, Virginia, couple decided their Craftsman-style home was ready for a glow-up. The largest part of the project was adding a pool and an addition with a sunroom and a bathroom. The architect who had designed their house back in the 1990s, Dwight McNeill, recommended Winn Design + Build for the job. “Along with the pool and additions, they also gave us a list of ‘Well, while you’re here … ’ things to do,” firm owner Michael Winn says.

That list included adding a single-car garage, a breezeway to connect the house to their existing two-car garage, and new landscaping, fencing, gates and arbors; sprucing up their front porch; replacing all the trim and some of the siding and roofing on the house; and painting the home’s exterior. The result is a home that’s a little larger, has a better backyard to enjoy and feels all freshened up.



This article was originally published by a www.houzz.com . Read the Original article here. .

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Existing Home Sales at Nearly 30-Year Low Despite December Gains

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Despite higher mortgage rates and elevated home prices, existing home sales jumped to a 10-month high in December, marking three monthly gains in annual growth, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). However, existing home sales end 2024 at 4.06 million, the lowest level since 1995 as the median price reached a record high of $407,500 in 2024. 

While inventory improves and the Fed continues lowering rates, the market faces headwinds as mortgage rates are expected to stay above 6% for longer due to an anticipated slower easing pace in 2025. The prolonged rates may continue to discourage homeowners from trading existing mortgages for new ones with higher rates, keeping supply tight and prices elevated. As such, sales are likely to remain limited in the coming months due to elevated mortgage rates and home prices.

Total existing home sales, including single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums, and co-ops, rose 2.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.24 million in December, the highest level since February 2024. On a year-over-year basis, sales were 9.3% higher than a year ago, the largest annual gain since June 2021. However, total sales in 2024 fell to 4.06 million, breaking below 2023’s record low of 4.10 million and marking the lowest annual level since 1995.

The first-time buyer share rose to 31% in December, up from 30% in November and 29% in December 2023.

The existing home inventory level fell from 1.33 million in November to 1.15 million units in December but is up 16.2% from a year ago. At the current sales rate, December unsold inventory sits at a 3.3-months’ supply, down from 3.8-months last month but up from 3.1-months a year ago. This inventory level remains low compared to balanced market conditions (4.5 to 6 months’ supply) and illustrates the long-run need for more home construction.

Homes stayed on the market for an average of 35 days in December, up from 32 days in November and 29 days in December 2023.

The December all-cash sales share was 28% of transactions, up from 25% in November 2024 but down from 29% in December 2023. All-cash buyers are less affected by changes in interest rates.

The December median sales price of all existing homes was $404,400, up 6.0% from last year. This marked the 18th consecutive month of year-over-year increases. The median condominium/co-op price in December was up 4.5% from a year ago at $359,000. This rate of price growth will slow as inventory increases.

Geographically, three of the four regions saw an increase in existing home sales in December, ranging from 2.6% in the West to 3.9% in the Northeast. Sales in the Midwest fell 1%. On a year-over-year basis, sales grew in all four regions, ranging from 6.5% in the Midwest to 12.9% in the West.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) is a forward-looking indicator based on signed contracts. The PHSI rose from 77.3 to 79.0 in November due to improved inventory. This marks the highest level since February 2023. On a year-over-year basis, pending sales were 6.9% higher than a year ago per National Association of Realtors data.

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Gains for Townhouse Construction

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Year-over-year gains for townhouse construction continued during the third quarter of 2024 as demand for medium-density housing continues to be solid despite slowing for other sectors of the building industry.

According to NAHB analysis of the most recent Census data of Starts and Completions by Purpose and Design, during the third quarter of 2024, single-family attached starts totaled 47,000, matching the highest quarterly count for townhouse construction since mid-2006. Over the last four quarters, townhouse construction starts totaled a strong 177,000 homes, which is 20% higher than the prior four-quarter period (148,000). Townhouses made up 18% of single-family housing starts for the third quarter of the year, a data series high.

Using a one-year moving average, the market share of newly-built townhouses stood at 17.4% of all single-family starts for the third quarter. With recent gains, the four-quarter moving average market share remains at the highest on record, for data going back to 1985.

Prior to the current cycle, the peak market share of the last two decades for townhouse construction was set during the first quarter of 2008, when the percentage reached 14.6%, on a one-year moving average basis. This high point was set after a fairly consistent increase in the share beginning in the early 1990s.

The long-run prospects for townhouse construction are positive given growing numbers of homebuyers looking for medium-density residential neighborhoods, such as urban villages that offer walkable environments and other amenities. Where it can be zoned, it can be built.

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This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Home Price Gains Continue to Slow

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Home price growth continues to decelerate, according to the recent release of the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Index (HPI). The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.89% for June 2024, slowing from a revised rate of 3.28% in May. Home prices have not seen an outright decrease since January of 2023. However, 1.89% is the smallest growth in prices since February of 2023. Additionally, the growth rate has shown a generally declining trend since a peak of 9.76% in August 2023.

Meanwhile, the Home Price Index released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA; SA), recorded a decline in home prices for June. The index declined at an annual rate of -1.04% for June, decreasing from a revised 0.51% rate in May. The FHFA Index has experienced just one other decrease since August of 2022, with a decline of -1.03% in January 2024.

Year-Over-Year

Home prices experienced a fourth year-over-year deceleration in June, tabulated by both indexes. The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI (not seasonally adjusted – NSA) posted a 5.42% annual gain in June, down from a 5.94% increase in May. Since June of 2023, the index has seen steady increases in the year-over-year growth rate. However, this growth rate began slowing in March of 2024 and has continued to decelerate through June. Meanwhile, the FHFA HPI (NSA) index rose 5.23%, down from 5.95% in May. This rate has decelerated from 7.19% in February.

By Metro Area

In addition to tracking national home price changes, the S&P CoreLogic Index (NSA) also reported home price indexes across 20 metro areas in May. At an annual rate, five out of 20 metro areas reported home price declines: Phoenix at -3.02%, Portland at -2.90%, Dallas at -0.69%, Charlotte at -0.56%, and Miami at -0.03%. Among the 20 metro areas, thirteen exceeded the national rate of 1.89%. Seattle had the highest rate at 10.80%, followed by San Diego at 9.18%, and then Los Angeles at 7.89%. The monthly trends are shown in the graph below.

By Census Division

Monthly, the FHFA HPI (SA) releases not only national data but census division data as well. Out of the nine census divisions, seven posted negative monthly depreciation (adjusted to an annual rate) for June, ranging from -7.59% in the Mountain division to -0.82% in the Middle Atlantic. The remaining two divisions with positive home price appreciation were East South Central at 8.66% and the South Atlantic at 3.09%. The FHFA HPI releases its metro and state data on a quarterly basis, which NAHB analyzes in a previous post.

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