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Three States Drive Over 20% of Remodeling Activity – Eye On Housing

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The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) has released its State Projections of Remodeling (SPR) for the first quarter of 2026. As a reminder, the SPR provides on a quarterly basis a state-level estimation of the market share and total dollar value of remodeling spending. The SPR is a statistical model designed to use national quarterly improvement spending data and estimate remodeling market share by state using multiple indicators and NAHB’s annual state remodeling forecast.

Q1 2026 Results

During the first quarter of 2026, remodeling spending at the national level came in at $274.7 billion on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR). Even though spending fell for the third consecutive quarter, remodeling spending has been larger than single-family construction spending for seven straight quarters and accounts for 37.7% of total private residential fixed investment.

California had the largest market share of remodeling spending at 8.0%, or $22.2 billion, followed closely by Texas (7.3%, or $20.2 billion). Florida is third at 5.5%, or $15.4 billion, with New York (4.0%, or $11.2 billion) and North Carolina (3.0%, or $8.4 billion) rounding out the top five.

The top three states (California, Texas, and Florida) account for over 20% of total remodeling spending for the quarter, or $57.8 billion. It is not unsurprising to see higher remodeling spending among more populated states since it has a high correlation value (r=0.97) when compared to 2025 estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. The top ten list by market share demonstrates a fairly even split across Census regions: three each from the Northeast and South and two each from the Midwest and West.

When looking at the top ten states by the change in remodeling spending in Q1 2026 (on a four-quarter moving average basis or 4QMA), Michigan saw its volume increase by $637.6 million, followed by Virginia (up $421.9 million), North Carolina (up $323.6 million), and Alabama (up $311.9 million). Except for the Northeast, all regions were represented within the top ten by change in spending. All ten states experienced a growth rate of at least 2.9% year-over-year with two states being double-digit (Michigan and Mississippi). Nevertheless, there were ten states which experienced negative growth rates in Q1 2026 compared to only five states in the previous quarter. This slowdown is reflected in NAHB’s forecast which showcases flat inflation-adjusted spending for 2026.

To learn more about this resource and its methodology, please visit NAHB’s SPR web page.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Residential Construction Spending Slips as Remodeling Activity Weakens – Eye On Housing

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Private residential construction spending declined 0.3% in June, while substantial downward revisions to improvement (remodeling) spending significantly altered the sector’s recent trajectory. According to the latest construction spending data from the U.S. Census Bureau, private residential construction spending stood at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of $877.1 billion in June, down 0.3% from the revised May estimate and 4.7% lower than a year earlier. May’s monthly change was also revised downward, from an initially reported 0.3% increase to a 0.3% decline.

Although remodeling was the only residential category to increase in June, the gain was modest at 0.1%. When compared to a year ago, spending has declined 7.2%. The latest April and May estimates have also been revised significantly lower by the Census. April’s month-over-month change was revised from a 1.6% increase to a 10.1% decline, while May’s change was revised from a 0.9% increase to a 0.4% decline. On a year-over-year basis, April was revised from a 10.0% increase to a 2.6% decline, and May was revised from an 8.1% increase to a 5.5% decline.

Revisions to single-family and multifamily construction spending were minor and did not alter the direction of their monthly movements. In June 2026, single-family construction spending decreased 0.6% in June, consistent with the weak builder sentiment reflected in the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI); on a yearly basis, single-family spending is down 3.3%. Multifamily construction spending also decreased 0.7% from May, and 1.5% from a year ago.

The NAHB construction spending index is shown in the graph below. The index illustrates how spending on single-family construction has slowed since early 2024, reflecting the impacts of elevated interest rates and ongoing uncertainty over building material tariffs. Multifamily construction spending growth has also slowed down after the peak in June 2023, with the index largely plateauing since late 2024. 

In contrast, improvement spending has been on an upward trend since 2023, supported in part by the aging housing stock and sustained demand for renovation. However, the latest revision indicates that a slowdown could be happening in 2026.

For private nonresidential construction, spending increased 0.1% in June to a SAAR of $745.3 billion but remained 4.7% below its year-earlier level. Meanwhile, spending on data centers, a subcategory within office construction remained strong, increasing 7.0% month-over-month and 45.8% year-over-year. The share of data centers as a percentage of spending on office construction has grown from 45.8% a year ago to 59.0% in June 2026.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Mortgage Activity Flat in June, ARM Share Decreases – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage applications stalled in June as higher mortgage rates dampened market activity. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, stayed relatively unchanged with a marginal decrease of 0.3% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis. The decline was driven by a 2.5% decline in refinancing applications, which offset a modest 0.7% gain in purchase applications. Compared with a year earlier, however, total mortgage application activity remained 7.9% higher, with refinance applications up 15.6% and purchase applications rising 3.1%. Meanwhile, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) decreased 9.4% over the month, bringing the ARM share of total applications to 8.2%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 5 basis points (bps) to 6.59% in June, as markets priced in inflation risks and the possibility of the Federal Reserve increasing rates this year. Nonetheless, the rate remained 27 bps lower than its level a year ago.

By loan type, applications for ARMs decreased 9.4%, while fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) increased about 0.4% from the previous month. On a year-over-year basis, applications for FRM and ARMs were up 6.9% and 22.4%, respectively. As of June 2026, the share of ARMs applications was down 0.8 percentage points from the prior month to 8.2% on a non-seasonally adjusted basis (NSA). Compared to a year ago, ARMs share were 0.6 percentage points higher. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.8% in June.

Loan sizes decreased across most categories in June, with ARM loans being the only exception. Consequently, the overall average loan size declined 3.4% to $393,800. The average purchase and refinance loan sizes decreased 1.8% to $456,500, and 5.8% to $302,500, respectively. The average ARM loan size edged up 0.8% to $944,800.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Single-Family Permits Continue to Decline Through April as Multifamily Activity Strengthens

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Through April 2026, residential construction activity remained uneven across housing sectors. Single-family permitting continued to soften compared with a year ago, reflecting persistent affordability challenges and elevated borrowing costs, while multifamily permitting posted solid gains supported by stronger activity in several regions. Regional and state-level permit data reveal notable differences in housing market conditions across the country.

Over the first four months of the year, the number of single-family permits issued nationwide reached 299,642. On a year-over-year basis, this represents a 6.4 percent decline compared with the April 2025 total of 320,259. On the other hand, multifamily permitting activity was stronger, with 166,252 permits issued nationwide, marking a 7.5 percent increase from the same period last year.

Regionally, year-to-date single-family permitting declined in all four regions through April. The Midwest was essentially flat, the South declined by 6.3 percent, the West dropped 8.3 percent, and the Northeast fell 13.8 percent. Multifamily permits increased in three of the four regions, led by gains in the Northeast (up 33.5 percent), followed by the West (up 20.0 percent), and the Midwest (up 19.3 percent). The South saw an 8.4 percent decline, driven largely by reductions in large metro areas across Southern states.

At the state level, 13 states and the District of Columbia recorded year-over-year increases in single-family permits in April, with gains ranging from 28.0 percent in the District of Columbia to 0.6 percent in Nebraska and Minnesota. The remaining 37 states reported declines, led by Hawaii, which posted the steepest drop at 27.1 percent.

The ten states issuing the highest number of single-family permits accounted for 63.1 percent of all single-family permits issued nationwide. Texas led the country with 48,328 permits issued at the end of April 2026, although this represented an 8.2 percent decline compared with April 2025. Florida, the second-highest state, saw permits fall by 6.3 percent, while North Carolina, ranked third, experienced a decline of 12.6 percent.

Between April 2026 and April 2025, 34 states recorded increases in multifamily building permits, while 16 states and the District of Columbia experienced declines. Rhode Island posted the largest percentage increase, with multifamily permits surging 250.6 percent, rising from 170 to 596 units. In contrast, Nevada recorded the steepest decline, with permits falling 78.5 percent, from 3,426 to 738 units.

The ten states issuing the highest number of multifamily permits accounted for 61.3 percent of all multifamily permits issued nationwide. Over the first four months of 2026, California, which issued the most multifamily permits, recorded a substantial increase of 57.0 percent. Texas, the second-highest state, posted a decline of 20.6 percent, while Florida, ranking third, saw multifamily permits fall by 41.3 percent.

At the local level, the following are the ten metropolitan areas with the highest number of single-family permits issued.

Below are the ten metropolitan areas with the highest levels of multifamily permitting activity.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Residential Building Worker Wages Remain Soft in Early 2026 Amid Slower Housing Activity –

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Wage growth for residential building workers remained subdued during the first quarter of 2026, reflecting continued softness in housing construction activity and easing labor demand. According to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, both nominal and inflation-adjusted wage gains moderated further, marking a clear transition from the rapid post-pandemic expansion toward a slower labor market.

In nominal terms, average hourly earnings (AHE) for residential building workers increased 2.1% year-over-year in March 2026, down notably from the 9.4% peak reached in mid-2024 and continuing the broader cooling trend observed throughout 2025.

After accounting for inflation, real wages declined 1.2% year-over-year in March 2026, indicating that wage gains have not fully kept pace with broader price increases. Real wage growth strengthened temporarily during parts of 2024, reaching a peak of 6.2%, but has since softened alongside the slowdown in residential construction activity.

Meanwhile, the number of open, and unfilled construction sector jobs has continued to trend downward, consistent with weaker housing demand and slower construction hiring.

Despite the slowdown in wage growth, residential building workers’ wages remain competitive relative to other industries:

8.4% higher than the manufacturing sector ($36.54 per hour)

22.4% higher than the transportation and warehousing sector ($32.34 per hour)

3.6% lower than the mining and logging sector ($41.10 per hour)

Note:

Data used in this post relates to all employees in the residential building industry. This group includes both new single-family housing construction (excluding for-sale builders) and residential remodelers but does not include specialty trade contractors.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Rising Rates Weigh on Mortgage Activity – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage application activity decreased month-over-month as the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, declined 4.3% from February on a seasonally adjusted basis but remained 30.8% higher than a year earlier. Applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) also decreased 4.5% month-over-month, while their share of total applications was unchanged at 8.3%.

The average contract rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased 13 basis points (bps) to 6.37%, setting back the improvement seen over the last five months. Nonetheless, the rate remained 33 bps lower than its level a year ago. The increase in mortgage rates diminished refinance activity, which fell 11.4%. Purchase applications, on the other hand, increased 6.4%, driven by growth in both FHA and VA segments. Relative to March 2025, refinance and purchase activities were up 60.4% and 6.4%, respectively.

By loan type, applications for both adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) and fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) both decreased 4.5% month-over-month. On a year-over-year basis, FRM applications were up 28.6%, while ARM applications rose 62.4%. As of March 2026, ARMs applications–including both purchase and refinance loans–accounted for 8.3% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, unchanged from last month and 1.6 percentage points higher than a year earlier. The average contract interest rate for 5/1 ARMs was 5.6% in March.

Loan sizes declined across all categories except purchase loans in March, pulling the overall average loan size down 3.3% to $401,300. The average purchase loan size rose 1.0% to $450,800, while the average refinance loan size fell 10.4% to $351,000. The average ARM loan size declined 4.0% to $929,500.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Demolition Activity Slows Down But Remains Above Pre-Pandemic Levels – Eye On Housing

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Residential demolition activity in 2025 declined 0.1% year-over-year but remained above pre-pandemic levels. According to NAHB analysis of data from Construction Monitor, permits pulled for residential demolition have been increasing since 2018, with the exception of 2020, when building-related activities broadly stalled. Demolition activity rebounded sharply in 2021 and 2022 but has since plateaued. Even with the recent stall, demolition permits in 2025 were still 34.2% higher than in 2018, underscoring the extent to which activity remains elevated relative to pre-pandemic norms.

While the data do not differentiate between partial or full demolitions, teardowns are often an indicator of redevelopment and neighborhood reinvestment, and thus, signals future construction. Previous NAHB survey analysis indicated that teardown-related construction projects made up approximately 7% of single-family starts in 2024.

At the state level, demolition activity is highly concentrated, with California, Texas, and Florida—the three most populous states—usually leading the nation in demolition permits. However, from 2023 through 2025, New Jersey ranked third in total demolition permits, surpassing Texas. New Jersey’s elevated demolition activity reflects the age of its housing stock. Approximately 73% of homes in the state were built before 1980, out of which 18% were built before 1939, leaving many properties functionally obsolete or in need of replacement. In response, several municipalities have pursued targeted redevelopment and blight reduction initiatives. For example, Trenton, the capital city, launched one of its largest blight reduction projects in 2023, aimed at revitalizing distressed neighborhoods and expanding the supply of quality housing.

In 2025, New Jersey accounted for approximately 10.4% of all residential demolition permits nationwide. Florida recorded the largest share at 14.6%, followed by California at 13.3%. Texas remained a significant contributor at 7.2%, while New York ranked fifth with about 4.1% of total activity. Collectively, the top five states accounted for nearly half of all residential demolition permits issued in 2025, highlighting the high degree of geographic concentration at the state level.

At a smaller geographic scale, the year-to-year variability is substantially higher. To account for this volatility, examining cumulative demolition permitting since 2018 provides insight into where demolition activity has been persistently concentrated over the current cycle. On this basis, Los Angeles County, CA accounted for the largest share of cumulative demolition permits (4.8%), followed by Harris County, TX (3.1%), Cuyahoga County, OH (2.6%), King County, WA (2.0%), and Miami-Dade County, FL (1.8%). Together, these five counties accounted for nearly 15% of all demolition activity nationwide over the period.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Lower Mortgage Rates Boost Refinancing While Purchase Activity Slows – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage application activity increased month-over-month as the 30-year fixed mortgage rates reached a three-year low. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, increased 1.5% from January on a seasonally adjusted basis and was 56.3% higher than a year earlier.  The data also indicated a rising adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) share, increasing from 5.7% of mortgages to 8.3% over the past year.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed mortgage rates declined a further seven basis points (bps) to 6.14%, tracking the decline in the 10-year treasury yield. Compared with February 2025, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 73 bps lower. The decline in mortgage rates supported the continued strength in refinancing activity, which increased 11.3%. On the other hand, purchase applications decreased 12.3% as tight existing-home inventory and winter storms dampened home-buying activity. Relative to February 2025, refinance and purchase activities are up 121.1% and 9.0%, respectively.

By loan type, applications for adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) increased 18.0% month-over-month while fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) held steady. On a year-over-year basis, FRM applications were up 51.8%, while ARM applications more than doubled, rising 129.9%. As of February 2026, ARMs accounted for an average of 8.3% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, up 1.2 percentage points from January and 2.6 percentage points higher than a year earlier.

Loan sizes across all loan types increased in February with the total market increasing by 3.2% to $414,800. Average purchase loan sizes increased 2.5% to $446,300, while the refinance loan size increased by 3.7% to $391,800. The average ARM loan size climbed 4.6% to $968,300.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Residential Building Worker Wages Slow in 2025 Amid Cooling Housing Activity – Eye On

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Wage growth for residential building workers moderated notably in 2025, reflecting a broader cooling in housing activity and construction labor demand. According to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), both nominal and real wages remained modest during the fourth quarter, signaling a shift from the rapid post-pandemic expansion to a slower-growth phase.

In nominal terms, average hourly earnings (AHE) for residential building workers rose to $39.63 in December 2025, up 3.3% from $38.37 a year ago. While this marked a modest acceleration from November’s 2.0% year-over-year gain, wage growth has slowed considerably from the peak of 9.4% recorded in June 2024. Elevated mortgage rates, ongoing affordability challenges, and persistently high construction costs constrained home building activity over the past year. As a result, labor demand eased accordingly. Meanwhile, the number of open, and unfilled construction sector jobs continued to trend downward, consistent with the overall slowdown in housing activity.

Despite the slowdown in wage growth, residential building workers’ wages remain competitive relative to other industries:

9.9% higher than the manufacturing sector ($36.07 per hour)

23.3% higher than the transportation and warehousing sector ($32.14 per hour)

2.6% lower than the mining and logging sector ($40.69 per hour)

Note:

Data used in this post relate to all employees in the residential building industry. This group includes both new single-family housing construction (excluding for-sale builders) and residential remodelers but does not include specialty trade contractors.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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Lower Rates Lift Mortgage Activity at Start of the Year – Eye On Housing

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Mortgage application activity rose sharply in January, driven primarily by a surge in refinancing activity as mortgage rates declined to a new low. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Market Composite Index, a measure of total mortgage application volume, increased 12.9% from December on a seasonally adjusted basis and was 61.3% higher than a year earlier.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed mortgages dropped 13 basis points (bps) to 6.2% following the announcement of $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS) buybacks by the GSEs. Compared with January 2025, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 81 bps lower. The decline in rates supported month-over-month gains in both purchase and refinance activity. Purchase applications increased 2.9%, while refinance applications surged 19.8%. Relative to January 2025, purchase activity increased 16.2%, while refinance applications jumped 143.8%.

By loan type, applications for fixed-rate mortgages (FRMs) and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) increased 12.9% and 7.9% month-over-month, respectively. On a year-over-year basis, FRM applications were up 57.8%, while ARM applications more than doubled, rising 113.1%. As of January 2026, ARMs accounted for an average of 7.1% of total applications on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, down 0.4 percentage points from December but 1.7 percentage points higher than a year earlier.

For loan sizes, the average loan amount across the total market increased by 1.1% to $402,000. Average purchase loan sizes increased 2.5% to $435,400, while the refinance loan size increased modestly by 0.2% to $378,000. In contrast, the average ARM loan size continued to decline, falling 4.4% to $925,600.



This article was originally published by a eyeonhousing.org . Read the Original article here. .

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